Archive›Wexford · 16 May 2026

Wexford

16 May 2026 · 8 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

1:30 — Wexford Racecourse Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m4f · Good To Soft · MDN · 12 runners

Mollys Dolly likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Dromana Mist won at 9.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 12 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mollys Dolly

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

ScathachErsudalyDictionary CornerRubi TuesdayKeep The HeadLady FromentroStrand Street Lass

Hold Up · 4

HunskelperDromana MistMoonlight ParadiseShing Shang Lily

Mollys Dolly is the only confirmed front runner and will set a sustainable pace from the flag without pressure. The vast majority of this field - including Dromana Mist, Dictionary Corner, Shing Shang Lily, Lady Fromentro, Moonlight Paradise, Hunskelper, Ersudaly, Rubi Tuesday, Keep The Head and Strand Street Lass - are hold-up horses who will track behind in a bunched group. With one lone leader and ten hold-up horses, this creates a tactical nightmare where the back-markers will be queuing up for racing room turning for home. This race shape heavily favours front runners and prominent racers, as Mollys Dolly will have a clear advantage despite her modest ability.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Lone Leader Dominates

55% probability

If Mollys Dolly maintains a steady gallop and the hold-up horses interfere with each other

The bunched field behind will struggle for room and momentum while Mollys Dolly gets first run on them all. Her tactical advantage outweighs her modest OR of 74 in this tactical race.

Mollys DollyDictionary CornerDromana Mist

Late Surge Prevails

25% probability

If the hold-up brigade can organize themselves and produce a sustained finish

The better-rated horses like Dromana Mist or Dictionary Corner will overcome the tactical disadvantage through superior ability. Their higher ratings will tell in the closing stages.

Dromana MistDictionary CornerMoonlight ParadiseShing Shang Lily

Traffic Problems Decide

12% probability

If the hold-up horses get badly hampered and struggle for clear runs

The race becomes a lottery where positioning and luck matter more than ability. Horses with the clearest passage will benefit regardless of rating.

Shing Shang LilyMoonlight ParadiseErsudalyRubi Tuesday

Chaos and Outsider

8% probability

If the pace collapses and Mollys Dolly fades badly in the straight

An unfancied hold-up horse with better stamina reserves will pick up the pieces. The tactical mess allows a bigger price to sneak through.

Lady FromentroErsudalyRubi TuesdayHunskelper

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for a cavalry charge of hold-up horses causing severe interference in the straight when ten similar styles converge

WATCH

Watch Mollys Dolly's stamina reserves as she has fade warnings but will have the race run to suit from the front

NOTE

Watch if any of the hold-up horses can get prominent early to avoid the traffic nightmare that awaits them

WATCH

Watch for late scratches as several horses haven't run recently and conditions may not suit all connections

NOTE

Watch the pace through the early stages as Mollys Dolly may go too slow and allow the field to stay in touch

2:05 — Forth Mountain Trails Mares Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 16 runners

Crystal Gold to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

One Night Standard led; the map had Crystal Gold in front.

Morell River won at 8.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Crystal Gold

Prominent · 6

Two PairJoshua's DaylamiKimyMiss LiaLast NoteLily Milan

Midfield · 4

Lakewood RoseFair DamselMorell RiverGame And Glory

Hold Up · 5

Born BrightRoxhill RoiseSimple ThingsOne Night StandardMalikanna

Crystal Gold will take the field along from the front at a steady gallop, with no other confirmed leaders to pressure her early. Two Pair and Miss Lia should track in prominent positions, while the majority of this field prefer to be held up including Born Bright, One Night Standard, and Simple Things. The lack of pace pressure means Crystal Gold can dictate terms through the early stages before the hold-up horses launch their challenges in the straight. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position close to the pace without having to come from too far back in the closing stages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Holds

45% probability

If Crystal Gold maintains her jumping and isn't pressured early by the prominent runners

She can control the tempo and kick clear at the last, making it hard for the hold-up horses to peg her back on this going. Her style perfectly suits getting first run on a field full of hold-up horses.

Crystal GoldTwo PairMiss LiaKimy

Prominent Pounce Late

30% probability

If Two Pair or Miss Lia track Crystal Gold closely and time their move perfectly at the second last

The prominent runners can get into the race without using too much energy early, then outstay Crystal Gold in the final furlong. Two Pair's recent Bellewstown win shows she has the tactical speed.

Two PairMiss LiaCrystal GoldSimple Things

Hold-Up Horse Charges

20% probability

If the pace becomes truly crawling and Born Bright or One Night Standard get the perfect trip from the back

The race becomes a sprint finish where class tells and the hold-up horses can use their turn of foot. Born Bright's dual chase wins last summer show she has the ability when fresh.

Born BrightOne Night StandardSimple ThingsMalikanna

Pace Collapse Chaos

5% probability

If Crystal Gold stops or makes a jumping error when the field is still bunched approaching the straight

The race becomes a scramble where any horse in the right position can capitalize on the disruption. This creates opportunities for outsiders who get lucky positioning.

Morell RiverMalikannaJoshua's DaylamiSimple Things

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Crystal Gold could get an uncontested lead with amateur Josh Williamson and dictate throughout

WATCH

Born Bright has the class edge if fit enough returning from 266 days off for in-form connections

NOTE

Two Pair and Miss Lia both need to be positioned close enough to Crystal Gold to strike in the straight

WATCH

Multiple runners returning from long breaks including One Night Standard (284 days) and Joshua's Daylami (391 days)

NOTE

Morell River won over course and distance off lower mark and could outrun odds from the back

2:40 — Slaney River Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

2m1f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 17 runners

Mo Ghille Mar likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mo Ghille Mar led, as the map showed.

Mo Ghille Mar won at 23.00 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mo Ghille Mar

Prominent · 3

Garrick PainterDeise CrystalBohemian Bay

Midfield · 8

BallindeniskLiberated LightDemanding GerryMiss DonnaPleasureofpressureDoyen OgYoung And FoolishDontdooddson

Hold Up · 5

Deed PoleAny ChanceRay GunThe Dancen KidBoogie Inthejungle

Mo Ghille Mar is the confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the start, likely accompanied by Deise Crystal and Garrick Painter in the early positions. With 13 of 17 runners preferring hold-up tactics, the early pace should be manageable rather than fierce, allowing the leaders to control proceedings through the first mile. The large field of hold-up horses will create a cavalry charge from the back straight, but many will have too much to do. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those comfortable tracking the pace, as they can position close enough to strike while avoiding the traffic problems that will engulf the hold-up brigade.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running

45% probability

If Mo Ghille Mar or Deise Crystal maintain a steady gallop without serious pressure

The leader stays strong in the straight while hold-up horses struggle to make ground from too far back. Prominent racers get first run on the field and prove hard to peg back.

Mo Ghille MarDeise CrystalGarrick PainterBohemian Bay

Early Pace Collapse

30% probability

If the front runners go too slow and bunch the field entering the home straight

A messy scramble develops with traffic problems galore, favouring those already in striking positions. The best-handicapped horses with clear runs can capitalise on the chaos.

DontdooddsonPleasureofpressureLiberated LightThe Dancen Kid

Sustained Gallop

15% probability

If multiple prominent runners push the pace beyond Mo Ghille Mar's comfort zone

The early leaders tire and fade, creating opportunities for the stronger stayers coming from midfield. Those with proven stamina reserves can pick up the pieces.

Deed PoleDemanding GerryGarrick PainterAny Chance

Hold-up Hero

10% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong and the field strings out significantly

The early speed merchants pay the penalty and a patient ride from the back pays dividends. A well-handicapped closer gets the perfect setup to unleash a winning burst.

Liberated LightMiss DonnaPleasureofpressureThe Dancen Kid

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mo Ghille Mar could get an uncontested lead with so many hold-up horses behind him, making him very dangerous if allowed easy fractions

WATCH

Traffic problems are inevitable in the straight with 13 hold-up horses converging from the rear, positioning will be crucial

WATCH

Garrick Painter returns from 342-day absence but won easily last hurdles start and prominent style suits the race shape

NOTE

Dontdooddson carries just 140lbs compared to top weights on 168lbs, significant advantage for the proven course winner

NOTE

Several 7lb claimers reduce experience levels in a competitive handicap where positioning and race-reading matter greatly

3:15 — Slaney River Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

2m1f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 17 runners

Fedneys Park likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Avandra led; the map had Fedneys Park in front.

Gamigin won at 5.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Fedneys Park

Prominent · 4

Final DecisionButch CoolidgeMenas MiracleCraic Eile

Midfield · 7

Annie's BelleLa Tulipe NoireLost FeaturesWestern OperaCholoEsticky EndAvandra

Hold Up · 5

GamiginTeagarden JazzBossing ItComanche MoonBoltlander

Fedneys Park looks the only confirmed front-runner in this field, likely to set an uncontested lead with the next tier of prominent runners (Butch Coolidge, Final Decision, Menas Miracle, Craic Eile) sitting just behind rather than challenging early. This creates a sustainable gallop that won't overly test stamina reserves over 2m1f. With most of the field committed to hold-up tactics and needing to make ground from the back, the lack of early pace pressure clearly favours those who can track the leaders and strike from prominent positions rather than relying on late kicks from rear.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Holds

45% probability

If Fedneys Park gets an easy lead and doesn't fade as badly as recent form suggests

The lack of pace pressure allows her to conserve energy and kick clear approaching the last, with prominent trackers unable to reel her in. Her Bellewstown fourth suggests improved stamina management.

Fedneys ParkMenas MiracleButch CoolidgeFinal Decision

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the early pace is steady enough for prominent runners to conserve energy for a sustained finish

Butch Coolidge or Menas Miracle can track Fedneys Park comfortably before taking over from the second-last, exploiting their superior recent form. The hold-up horses get caught flat-footed by the acceleration.

Butch CoolidgeMenas MiracleFinal DecisionGamigin

Hold-Up Horse Surges

15% probability

If Fedneys Park sets stronger fractions than expected and burns out approaching two out

Gamigin or Bossing It capitalize on their proven finishing kicks as the pace collapses, sweeping past tired leaders. Their class advantage shows when the race becomes a true test.

GamiginBossing ItAnnie's BelleWestern Opera

Weak Pace Chaos

10% probability

If Fedneys Park doesn't lead or gets headed early, creating messy fractions throughout

The race becomes a scramble with no clear tactical advantage, allowing an outsider like Final Decision to benefit from the confusion after his long break. Form lines become unreliable in stop-start conditions.

Final DecisionWestern OperaCholoAnnie's Belle

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Fedneys Park could get an uncontested lead and prove very hard to peg back if she doesn't fade as usual

WATCH

Butch Coolidge has the perfect stalking position but needs to prove his stamina over this trip

WATCH

Gamigin requires strong early fractions to set up his finishing kick but may not get them

NOTE

Final Decision could outrun odds if fit enough after 400-day absence given his prominent racing style

NOTE

Menas Miracle drops to basement mark and won over course and distance before struggling off higher ratings

3:50 — Ambrex Switchgear Handicap Hurdle

3m · Good To Soft · HCAP · 17 runners

Jackmoon likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Krishna Bellevue led; the map had Jackmoon in front.

Teenage Kiss won at 6.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Jackmoon

Prominent · 6

WhatsavailableKeep Em QuiteJetaway NanaKrishna BellevueDalmaticElbow Lane

Midfield · 5

Teenage KissAre You BusyRhythmic TuneNashville NotionsJohnny Cakes

Hold Up · 5

MalbasWatching The ClockBeggars RockMidleton RareAine's Lad

Jackmoon will likely set a comfortable early gallop as the only confirmed front runner, with prominent racers Jetaway Nana, Keep Em Quite, and Dalmatic tracking close behind. The large field of 17 runners includes predominantly hold-up horses who will be looking for cover in the early stages over this stamina-testing 3m trip. With no genuine pace pressure on Jackmoon and the majority of the field sitting back, this sets up for a tactical affair that will develop into a sprint finish. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and strong finishers who can produce a late kick, as the moderate early pace will leave plenty in reserve for those with finishing speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

60% probability

If the pace stays moderate throughout and the race becomes a sprint finish

The patient tactics suit the numerous hold-up horses who can unleash late runs. Strong stayers like Beggars Rock and Teenage Kiss can time their challenges perfectly when others have shot their bolt.

Beggars RockTeenage KissWatching The ClockWhatsavailable

Front End Advantage

25% probability

If Jackmoon gets away with a very soft lead and kicks clear

The uncontested leader builds an unassailable advantage while the hold-up horses are caught flat-footed by the sudden injection of pace. Prominent racers who can go with the move have the best chance of bridging the gap.

JackmoonJetaway NanaKeep Em QuiteDalmatic

Stamina Test Victory

10% probability

If the pace quickens significantly from halfway and becomes a true staying test

The 3m trip sorts out the genuine stayers from the speed horses as many tire in the closing stages. Only those with proven stamina reserves can sustain their effort to the line.

Midleton RareAine's LadWhatsavailableMalbas

Pace Collapse Finish

5% probability

If multiple horses try to follow Jackmoon early and the pace becomes unsustainable

The early pace battle leaves the front runners vulnerable to late closers who have been given an easy ride in behind. Fresh finishers can pick up the pieces in a slowly-run finish.

Nashville NotionsAre You BusyRhythmic TuneJohnny Cakes

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Jackmoon could get away with soft fractions as the only pace angle and prove hard to peg back

WATCH

Multiple reserves may not get a run, affecting market dynamics and reducing field size

NOTE

Ian Donoghue saddles three runners and his 2/22 recent form suggests stable in good order

NOTE

Several horses making handicap debuts including Keep Em Quite whose market support would be significant

WATCH

Ground conditions showing as Good To Yielding consistently may not suit horses wanting softer surface

4:25 — T.C. Cullen Memorial Novice Chase

2m · Good To Soft · NOV · 6 runners

Workahead to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Supersundae led; the map had Workahead in front.

Workahead won at 2.38 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Workahead

Prominent · 2

Ma Jacks HillChosen Shant

Midfield · 1

Reiki Revolution

Hold Up · 2

SupersundaeWild Bill Hickok

Workahead will dictate terms from the front with no obvious pace pressure in this small field. The confirmed front-runner can bowl along at a comfortable gallop with Ma Jacks Hill and Chosen Shant likely tracking prominently but not applying early heat. This sets up a tactical affair where the hold-up horses Supersundae, Wild Bill Hickok and Reiki Revolution can get into contention turning for home. The lack of genuine pace pressure strongly favours the closers who can produce their finishing kicks off what should be a sedate gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Slow Pace Suits Closers

60% probability

If Workahead dictates at a steady tempo without being challenged early.

The hold-up horses get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing speed in the final half-mile. Quality prevails as the better-rated runners with pace to spare capitalize on the tactical nature.

SupersundaeWild Bill HickokReiki RevolutionWorkahead

Workahead Kicks Clear

25% probability

If the front-runner maintains his advantage and finds extra when challenged.

Having established a comfortable lead, he proves hard to peg back despite the moderate early pace. His fitness edge from regular racing shows as others struggle to close the gap.

WorkaheadMa Jacks HillSupersundaeWild Bill Hickok

Prominent Trackers Strike

10% probability

If Ma Jacks Hill or Chosen Shant press Workahead and quicken the tempo.

The increased pace plays into the hands of horses sitting in behind the leaders who can pounce. Those tracking closest benefit from being in the right position when the race develops.

Ma Jacks HillChosen ShantWild Bill HickokSupersundae

Messy Tactical Affair

5% probability

If multiple horses refuse to commit early and create a stop-start rhythm.

The race becomes a sprint from the last fence with positioning crucial rather than raw ability. Jockey tactics and ground position determine the outcome more than form ratings.

Wild Bill HickokMa Jacks HillChosen ShantReiki Revolution

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Workahead's 67-day layoff could see him fade if pressed hard in the closing stages

WATCH

Wild Bill Hickok's 7lb claiming jockey navigating crucial tactical decisions in small field

NOTE

Supersundae's jumping under pressure as he steps up in class for first time over fences

WATCH

Reiki Revolution showing any signs of ring-rustiness after nearly five-month absence

NOTE

Ma Jacks Hill's early positioning as he tries to bounce back to Galway form

4:55 — Treo Eile Handicap Chase

3m1½f · Good To Soft · HCAP · 12 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ceroc led, as the map showed.

North Of Nashville won at 10.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Tell Nobody NothinCerocHit The Frame

Prominent · 2

RiggsPlain Or Battered

Midfield · 3

Sense The TensionMastermindBarely Made It

Hold Up · 4

One Horse ArmyFavori LogiqueMount ShenshanNorth Of Nashville

Tell Nobody Nothin, Ceroc, and Hit The Frame will dictate a strong early gallop over this stamina-sapping 3m1½f trip. Tell Nobody Nothin has stamina doubts having failed to see out 3m2f previously, while Ceroc lacks a chase win but runs prominently, and Hit The Frame returns from a break but won over course and distance. The sustained pace will stretch the field significantly in the closing stages. This race shape strongly favours patient hold-up horses with proven stamina who can finish powerfully when the front-runners weaken.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Collapse

45% probability

If the three front-runners maintain a relentless gallop through the middle stages

The pace will tell brutally in the final half-mile as Tell Nobody Nothin's stamina gives out and the leaders tire dramatically. Hold-up horses with class like Favori Logique and One Horse Army can sweep past exhausted pace-setters.

Favori LogiqueMount ShenshanNorth Of NashvillePlain Or Battered

Front Runner Survives

25% probability

If Tell Nobody Nothin or Hit The Frame can control the tempo and kick clear

One of the pace-setters will measure the gallop better and have enough left to repel late challengers. Hit The Frame's course and distance win gives him the edge if he can dictate terms from the front.

Hit The FrameTell Nobody NothinRiggsPlain Or Battered

Mid-Division Strike

20% probability

If the pace becomes unsustainably fast and creates a stop-start rhythm

The race will fragment with prominent runners like Plain Or Battered and Riggs finding the perfect tactical position. They can avoid the early burn-up while staying close enough to strike when the leaders falter.

Plain Or BatteredRiggsMount ShenshanNorth Of Nashville

Outsider Ambush

10% probability

If the handicap weights and trip exposure create major upsets among the principals

North Of Nashville's course and distance win and light weight could see him outrun his odds dramatically. The extended trip will suit his stamina reserves better than his recent shorter efforts.

North Of NashvilleBarely Made ItMastermindSense The Tension

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Tell Nobody Nothin could fold dramatically if he sets too strong a pace early given his stamina doubts over this extended trip

WATCH

Riggs might need his first run back after 260 days off despite winning this race last year from a much lower mark

NOTE

Hit The Frame should improve significantly for the run after his rusty Down Royal return 34 days ago

WATCH

One Horse Army needs softer ground for his best form and this good to yielding surface may not be ideal

NOTE

Plain Or Battered has scope for further improvement on just his eighth chase start and could outrun his modest rating

5:32 — Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares INH Flat Race

2m · Good To Soft · DEFAULT · 17 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 16 May 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →