2:15

Archive›Wexford · 8 August 2026

Wexford

8 August 2026 · 7 races

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2:15 — Wexford Fillies Maiden Hurdle
2m1f · Good · MDN · 12 runners
Casheldale Lass likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Tell The Boys led; the map had Casheldale Lass in front.

Kingside Lady won at 34.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Casheldale Lass
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 7
Willows WordSonasBaby PearlBanner BeautyBallyhahillFelicity SmoakShakita
Hold Up · 4
Tell The BoysStaywitherjohnnyRibadoraKingside Lady
Casheldale Lass is the sole confirmed pace-setter here, redistributed to the front despite a natural hold-up style, meaning this race will be run at a measured, uncontested gallop — she will drift to the front by default rather than through genuine front-running intent, which typically produces a steady early tempo that compresses into a stamina test in the closing stages. With no genuine rival pressing her for the lead, the pace is unlikely to be punishing, favouring those who can travel comfortably in behind and pick up off the bridle late. The field contains a pronounced cluster of hold-up types — Banner Beauty, Ballyhahill, Felicity Smoak, and Shakita are all genuine hold-up performers who have been mapped to midfield simply because there is insufficient room at the rear to represent them all — meaning the back half of the race will be congested with horses out of their natural position. This race shape, with a soft gallop set by a reluctant leader, most favours genuine hold-up horses with proven finishing ability in good ground who can travel sweetly through the race and produce a late run — runners with honest form at this trip on similar ground are best placed to exploit the steady tempo.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Steady Pace, Late Surge
52% probability
If Casheldale Lass sets a sustainable, uncontested tempo that keeps the race together until the final flight.
The uncontested gallop means the field travels in a tight bunch, and the race becomes a stamina-and-class test in the final half-mile with horses finishing off at similar speeds; runners who handle good ground and have shown progressive form at this sort of trip are best suited.
Tell The BoysRibadoraFelicity SmoakBanner Beauty
B
Casheldale Lass Steals It
22% probability
If Casheldale Lass, despite her redistribution to the front, settles well and uses the lack of pressure to build an unassailable lead that is never properly challenged.
With no horse willing or able to close the gap before the last hurdle, the steady pace paradoxically turns into a wire-to-wire success for the reluctant pace-setter; her fitness edge from racing 27 days ago and course experience at this trip become critical advantages.
Casheldale LassTell The BoysBaby PearlSonas
C
Prominent Grinders Land
17% probability
If the race develops into a war of attrition on the Good ground and horses racing prominently off the slow pace grind out the finish ahead of the late-runners stuck in traffic.
The congested midfield of redistributed hold-up types creates interference late, giving the horses who track the steady pace closest first run and enough momentum to hold on; good ground suits those who can maintain rhythm throughout rather than needing a clear run.
Tell The BoysBallyhahillCasheldale LassKingside Lady
D
Unknown Quantity Strikes
9% probability
If one of the lightly-raced debutants or returning runners — Sonas, Willows Word, or Baby Pearl — has been prepared specifically for this conditions race and produces a sharp performance on debut or return.
A genuinely unexposed mare handled sympathetically by her connections can exploit a modest pace on good ground when the established form lines are modest and the winner's bar is low in a fillies maiden hurdle; the De Bromhead yard has two runners here and form figures in this race are generally unimpressive.
SonasBaby PearlWillows WordBanner Beauty

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHCasheldale LassWillows WordtSonasBaby PearlBanner BeautytBallyhahillpFelicity SmoakShakitatTell The BoyshStaywitherjohnnyRibadoraKingside Lady5. Casheldale Lass6. Willows Word7. Sonas8. Baby Pearl4. Banner Beauty9. Ballyhahill3. Felicity Smoak10. Shakita1. Tell The Boys11. Staywitherjohnny2. Ribadora12. Kingside Lady
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Ribadora ran just yesterday (1 day since last run) — monitor for signs of fatigue or stilted jumping mid-race as a horse asked to run on back-to-back days over hurdles.
WATCH
The congested midfield of redistributed hold-up types (Banner Beauty, Ballyhahill, Felicity Smoak, Shakita) creates a significant traffic-risk scenario from the third-last hurdle — watch for interference or horses failing to find a run at a critical stage.
WATCH
Casheldale Lass is a reluctant pace-setter — if she is slow to go forward from the gate and another runner takes up the lead, the entire pace map shifts and the shape assumptions become unreliable.
NOTE
Sonas and Willows Word are both debutantes from established yards (De Bromhead and Rooney respectively) — early market moves on either should be noted as a signal of stable confidence that cannot be read from the form.
NOTE
Tell The Boys is the only runner combining a win and a place finish at this exact distance on good ground — watch how Kevin Sexton positions him early, as the trainer's 14-day strike rate of 3/7 suggests the yard is in form.
2:50 — Shamrock Farm Enterprises Handicap Hurdle
2m4f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners
Harpy Eagle likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Ocean Murphy led; the map had Harpy Eagle in front.

Harpy Eagle won at 5.00 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Harpy Eagle
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 4
Morell RiverMarian AvenueOcean MurphyIsdistheone
Hold Up · 2
It's Bobsled TimeCamino Rock
Harpy Eagle is the sole confirmed front-runner in this seven-runner handicap hurdle over 2m4f on Good ground at Wexford, and with no genuine rival to press him from the outside, he is expected to set a controlled, sustainable gallop from the front. The remainder of the field is predominantly made up of hold-up horses — Morell River, Marian Avenue, Ocean Murphy, and Isdistheone are all natural closers who have been redistributed to midfield on the map simply because there is insufficient space at the rear to place them all accurately; in reality, the chasing pack will be strung out behind a single pace-setter. Camino Rock and It's Bobsled Time complete a field in which almost every runner prefers to come from off the pace, meaning Harpy Eagle faces no real test of his lead and the tempo is entirely in his hands. This race shape strongly favours horses with tactical versatility or a late turn of foot, but the lone, unchallenged front-runner operating at a comfortable clip on Good ground over an extended trip holds a significant positional advantage — hold-up horses must produce a sustained finish from a long way out with no true target-setters to drag them into contention early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Harpy Eagle Dictates Unchallenged
64% probability
If Harpy Eagle bowls along at a comfortable, uncontested gallop and the field fails to apply meaningful pressure at any stage of the race.
Harpy Eagle controls every fraction from the front, conserving energy through the middle section before kicking for home turning in; with no horse able to sustain a run from far back on a flat Good surface, the leader proves difficult to reel in.
Harpy EagleMorell RiverCamino RockOcean Murphy
B
Strong Finisher Reels Him In
18% probability
If the pace set by Harpy Eagle proves just quick enough to compromise his stamina in the final half-mile, opening the door for a horse with a strong finishing run.
A runner who has settled comfortably in mid-division — most likely Morell River, who has demonstrated genuine closing ability on Good ground — picks up smoothly off a true enough gallop and gets to the leader close home.
Morell RiverOcean MurphyCamino RockIt's Bobsled Time
C
Pace Collapses, Prominent Gets In
11% probability
If Harpy Eagle fades dramatically in the straight and a horse who has raced prominently rather than from deep proves best placed to capitalise.
With the field strung out and no sustained forward move from the true hold-up horses, a horse sitting just off the pace in second or third converts the momentum advantage into a winning run late.
Camino RockMarian AvenueHarpy EagleIsdistheone
D
Hold-Up Horse Lands Late
7% probability
If the tempo is genuinely strong throughout and the entire front half of the field weakens, allowing a deep-seated closer to swoopfrom off the bridle.
This is the least likely shape given only one genuine pace-setter and a cluster of natural hold-up types who will struggle to generate the necessary ground-making run from far back on Good ground over this trip.
It's Bobsled TimeIsdistheoneOcean MurphyMarian Avenue

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHHarpy EagleMorell RiverMarian AvenueOcean MurphypIsdistheonetIt's Bobsled Ti…Camino Rock1. Harpy Eagle2. Morell River5. Marian Avenue4. Ocean Murphy6. Isdistheone7. It's Bobsled Time3. Camino Rock
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Harpy Eagle sets the entire race tempo alone — if he is allowed to dictate an easy fractions in the front half, the field may find it impossible to close him down in the straight and he becomes the danger regardless of his modest Good-ground record.
WATCH
Morell River is the most likely closer to threaten given his two wins on Good ground and course-distance form, but Ricky Doyle will need to position him far closer to the pace than his natural style demands — watch for where he is placed at the third hurdle.
WATCH
Ocean Murphy's hood first-time application is a live unknown — horses wearing headgear for the first time can race more keenly or erratically, which could disrupt the shape of the chasing pack behind Harpy Eagle in the early stages.
NOTE
It's Bobsled Time and Marian Avenue both carry stamina-fade flags — if either gets competitive approaching the home turn, watch for them weakening inside the final two hurdles and opening gaps for other hold-up horses to exploit.
NOTE
The compressed weight range (147–166lbs) and the volume of hold-up types means traffic in the straight is a real possibility — Darragh O'Keeffe on Ocean Murphy and Josh Williamson on Camino Rock are the jockeys most likely to need to navigate around beaten horses late.
3:25 — Wexford Racecourse Park Run Beginners Steeplechase
2m3f · Good · DEFAULT · 7 runners
Nadia's Boy to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Jackson Lamb led; the map had Nadia's Boy in front.

West Away won at 11.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Nadia's Boy
Prominent · 3
William TellScalpnagoonJackson Lamb
Midfield · 1
West Away
Hold Up · 2
KelyaBegger
Nadia's Boy (Paul Townend, W P Mullins) is the one confirmed front-runner in this seven-runner beginners' chase and, with no serious challenger for the lead, is expected to dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop from the front over the 2m3f trip on Good ground. Jackson Lamb and Scalpnagoon will press from prominent positions just off the pace, while William Tell, despite a prominent style, has shown inconsistency and is unlikely to challenge Nadia's Boy for the front early. The hold-up horses — Begger, Kelya, and West Away — will be operating from the rear, though West Away is a genuine hold-up type redistributed into a midfield slot on the map because the field's shape pushes true closers further back than the visual suggests; this field contains more hold-up types than the rear of the map can accommodate, and West Away in particular is unlikely to secure a more forward position than shown. With one dominant front-runner setting an unhurried, measured gallop on Good ground, this race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can track the leader without burning energy and pounce in the straight, rather than horses who need a strong pace to reel in runners from off the bridle.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Nadia's Boy Controls Throughout
70% probability
If Nadia's Boy bowls along uncontested at a steady pace, Townend dictates terms and kicks clear before the last.
Nadia's Boy's form figures of two wins at this trip on Good ground, combined with Townend's masterclass in front-running, make this the path of least resistance; the lack of any genuine pace challenger means the leader is never seriously threatened going to the final fence. Prominent types Jackson Lamb and Scalpnagoon finish best of the rest but are outclassed if Mullins' runner is given a soft lead.
Nadia's BoyScalpnagoonJackson LambWilliam Tell
B
Prominent Duo Reel Him In
16% probability
If Jackson Lamb or Scalpnagoon applies sustained pressure from the second half of the race and Nadia's Boy's jumping falters or weakens.
Scalpnagoon's consistent placing record (four times placed in five recent starts on Good ground) and Jackson Lamb's winning form at 21f on Good suit a race where the pace is honest enough to keep them primed for a late surge. If Nadia's Boy makes a costly error at a fence, the prominent pair are best placed to capitalise immediately.
ScalpnagoonJackson LambNadia's BoyWilliam Tell
C
Closers Land Late
9% probability
If Nadia's Boy sets a genuinely stronger pace than expected and ties himself up approaching the last, allowing hold-up horses to finish powerfully.
Kelya is returning from 513 days off but showed a win in her most recent completed run and has Good-ground form; Begger, however, is flagged as fading in finishes and may not see out the race strongly. This scenario requires a material pace collapse from the leader — which Nadia's Boy's profile does not strongly suggest — making it a low-probability but live threat if conditions surprise.
KelyaWest AwayBeggerScalpnagoon
D
Race Implodes — Errors Cost
5% probability
If Nadia's Boy or multiple leading contenders make jumping errors at crucial fences, opening the race up for whoever survives cleanest.
Begger carries a form string showing unseated rider entries (U) which raises jumping doubts, and William Tell's recent U also flags jumping fragility; in a chaos scenario, the horse who jumps cleanest and is handiest at the final fence wins regardless of style. Scalpnagoon's solid placing record and reliable jumping in comparable fields gives it the best fall-back profile if the favourite exits.
ScalpnagoonWilliam TellKelyaJackson Lamb

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHNadia's BoyWilliam TelltScalpnagoontJackson LambpWest AwayKelyaBegger1. Nadia's Boy4. William Tell2. Scalpnagoon3. Jackson Lamb5. West Away6. Kelya7. Begger
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Nadia's Boy's jumping must be monitored at every fence — if Paul Townend's front-runner makes a jumping error mid-race, the entire race shape collapses and prominence horses Scalpnagoon and Jackson Lamb immediately become the primary threats.
WATCH
Begger carries two unseated rider entries in recent form and William Tell has a recent U on his card — in a beginners' chase with seven runners, a fallers' chain or interference incident in the back straight is a live risk that could dramatically alter the shape of the race.
WATCH
Kelya's 513-day absence is the longest layoff in the field and her jumping in a beginners' chase context must be treated as an unknown quantity; Emmet Mullins' 2/21 T14 record is modest, and if she makes errors, she could interfere with hold-up horses operating behind her.
NOTE
West Away's redistribution from true hold-up to midfield means any punter expecting it to produce a late sustained run from the rear should note the race shape does not provide the strong pace required — its 1W from 11 Good-ground starts underlines the narrow margin for error if it cannot get a clean run from its actual position.
4:00 — Wexfordraces.ie Handicap Steeplechase
2m3f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners
Leave In Secret likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Leave In Secret led, as the map showed.

Beggars Rock won at 7.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Leave In Secret
Prominent · 2
Following OrdersAvec Espoir
Midfield · 3
CentreofattentionOneforgonzoTemptationinmilan
Hold Up · 3
Freddie RobdalBeggars RockTequila Talkin'
Leave In Secret is the lone confirmed front-runner in this 9-runner handicap chase and, with no genuine challenger for the lead, should dictate a controlled, sustainable gallop from the front over the 2m3f trip on good ground at Wexford. Following Orders and Avec Espoir are prominent types who may track close behind, but neither has the profile to seriously pressurise Leave In Secret early, meaning the pace is likely to be honest rather than searching. The hold-up contingent — Freddie Robdal, Beggars Rock, Tequila Talkin' — will be doing their work from well off the pace and will need the tempo to lift in the final mile to generate the ground-closing momentum they depend on. This race shape strongly favours a prominent racer able to travel economically in the slipstream of Leave In Secret and pounce turning for home, rather than a pure closer who needs a strong pace to get into it. The field holds more hold-up types than the pace map can accommodate at the rear — Centreofattention, Oneforgonzo, and Temptationinmilan are true hold-up horses pushed into a midfield projection; of those, Centreofattention is the most likely to secure the closest position to the pace given the nature of Wexford's tight circuit.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Leave In Secret Controls
62% probability
If Leave In Secret bowls along uncontested and sets a measured, rail-hugging gallop that suits a prominent tracker.
Leave In Secret or the closest prominent follower dictates the fractions, the hold-up horses are left with too much to do from the rear, and a horse racing in the top three throughout pounces between the last two fences. Good ground and a steady gallop reward jumping fluency and economical travel over raw finishing speed.
Leave In SecretFollowing OrdersFreddie RobdalCentreofattention
B
Closers Get Lucky Break
20% probability
If the pace quickens sharply from halfway and Leave In Secret's lead begins to crumble, opening a late run for the hold-up types.
Freddie Robdal or Beggars Rock, given enough room on the final bend, produces a strong late surge if the tempo has been genuinely testing throughout. Tequila Talkin' is also capable on these terms, having finished second twice at this sort of distance on good ground.
Freddie RobdalBeggars RockTequila Talkin'Centreofattention
C
Jumping Error Reshuffles
12% probability
If a prominent horse blunders or falls at a critical fence, opening space for a midfield tracker to inherit a winning pitch.
On a tight track like Wexford the complexion can change instantly at any fence, and a horse like Centreofattention or Oneforgonzo, travelling in the midfield pack, could benefit from attrition ahead and suddenly find themselves in a winning position. These horses are natural hold-up types racing closer than ideal, but a reshuffle by jumping errors could accidentally deliver them the position their style fits.
CentreofattentionOneforgonzoTemptationinmilanTequila Talkin'
D
Pace Collapse, Closer Swoops
6% probability
If Leave In Secret's jumping deteriorates or it ties up late, removing all front-running control and causing a chaotic finish.
Without Leave In Secret holding form, the race loses its shape entirely and the result becomes a lottery among the hold-up and midfield types who have been travelling within themselves. Temptationinmilan and Beggars Rock are veteran types who could capitalise, though their recent records suggest this is a low-probability route to success.
Beggars RockTemptationinmilanFreddie RobdalFollowing Orders

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLeave In SecrettFollowing OrdersbAvec EspoirCentreofattenti…pOneforgonzopTemptationinmil…pFreddie RobdaltBeggars RocktbTequila Talkin'h1. Leave In Secret2. Following Orders5. Avec Espoir4. Centreofattention6. Oneforgonzo7. Temptationinmilan3. Freddie Robdal8. Beggars Rock9. Tequila Talkin'
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Leave In Secret's jumping must be monitored at every fence — if it makes a meaningful error in the first half of the race, the entire pace map breaks down and the result becomes unpredictable, with Following Orders most likely to inherit the front.|
WATCH
Avec Espoir is 307 days absent and 13 years old; any sign of laboured jumping or early distress could cause interference for the prominent horses immediately behind, most notably Following Orders and Leave In Secret.|
WATCH
Centreofattention, Oneforgonzo, and Temptationinmilan are all genuine hold-up horses competing for limited rear-field space — watch for traffic problems on the tight Wexford bends, particularly turning out of the back straight where bunching is likely.|
NOTE
Freddie Robdal's 56-day absence for a De Bromhead yard that has been firing (4/31 over 14 days) is worth noting — if the horse travels smoothly mid-race and is produced with a well-timed run between the last two fences, it is the most dangerous late challenger to a prominent winner.|
4:35 — Poolcourt Engineering Handicap Steeplechase
3m1f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners
Lead contested: Rockonliam v CerocHISTORIC

How it ran

Ceroc and Sphagnum led, as the map showed.

Rockonliam won at 2.75 — was held up, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2
RockonliamCeroc
Prominent · 3
SphagnumJacovec CavernRue Taylor
Midfield · 1
Teenage Kiss
Hold Up · 1
Duty Bound
Rockonliam and Ceroc are the two confirmed front-runners in this 3m1f handicap chase, and with both carrying handlers who have been in recent form, neither is likely to cede the lead without a fight — a genuinely contested early gallop is the most realistic outcome over this trip on Good ground at Wexford. The honest, pressured pace they create across the early fences will stretch the field and test jumping accuracy, favouring horses who can travel comfortably in behind without expending energy fighting for position. Sphagnum, Jacovec Cavern, and Rue Taylor all sit naturally in the prominent-to-midfield bracket and are best placed to exploit a strong-run race from a stalking position. This field holds more front-running and prominent types than can all secure their preferred position — Rockonliam and Ceroc are most likely to actually dominate the front rank, with Teenage Kiss and Duty Bound both true prominent racers who will be shuffled into less natural roles. The race shape strongly favours patient, prominent-to-midfield stalkers who travel smoothly in a contested gallop and produce a clean round of jumping late, particularly from the second-last fence onwards.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Contested Pace, Stalkers Strike
62% probability
If Rockonliam and Ceroc burn each other up setting a genuine gallop, leaving prominent-to-midfield chasers to pounce from the second-last.
The two front-runners honest gallop depletes their reserves up the Wexford straight, allowing Sphagnum, Jacovec Cavern, and Rue Taylor to pick up the pieces with fresher legs. All three have good similar-going records and the Good surface suits; this is the dominant race shape given the dual front-runner dynamic.
Jacovec CavernRue TaylorSphagnumTeenage Kiss
B
Front Runner Dominates Wire
22% probability
If Rockonliam breaks clear early and Ceroc is unable to match his stride, allowing a lone pacesetter to control tempo and conserve enough to last home.
Rockonliam's two recent wins both came on Good ground over 20f and he has the form profile to suggest he can dominate if given a soft lead; De Bromhead and O'Keeffe connecting in a Grade-level form run is a serious platform. The shorter trip relative to those around him in the field and strong handler stats (T14: 4/31) make front-running solo domination a live danger at this price.
RockonliamCerocRue TaylorJacovec Cavern
C
Late Pace Collapse, Closers Profit
10% probability
If the early duel between Rockonliam and Ceroc is fierce enough to bring the whole field into a messy, strung-out affair where late-staying types benefit most.
This scenario depends on Duty Bound and Teenage Kiss being repositioned further back than natural and actually delivering a late run — both are redistributed prominent types and not genuine hold-up horses, which markedly reduces the credibility of a closing finish. Only if the front two truly blow up entirely would any rear-of-field finisher get into this.
Duty BoundTeenage KissSphagnumJacovec Cavern
D
Carnage, Attrition Race
6% probability
If the Good ground proves more demanding than the going report suggests and jumping errors reduce the field, leaving the most resolute stayer to grind it out.
A 3m1f chase with competitive weights and multiple pace angles creates carnage risk; Ceroc's recent P-runs and Sphagnum's 0-run in latest start hint at vulnerability. Whichever runner produces the cleanest round of jumping and carries a light weight to the last is best placed — Rue Taylor (156lbs, 3 recent wins on similar going) or Jacovec Cavern both have the durability profile.
Rue TaylorJacovec CavernRockonliamSphagnum

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHRockonliamtCeroctbSphagnumbJacovec CavernpRue TaylortbTeenage KisspDuty Boundtp5. Rockonliam6. Ceroc3. Sphagnum1. Jacovec Cavern2. Rue Taylor4. Teenage Kiss7. Duty Bound
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Ceroc's two non-completion runs (P entries in 52F-P5 form) make him a live jumping risk at 3m1f if Rockonliam forces a fierce early pace — watch Enright for any signs of Ceroc being outpaced into fences in the first mile.
KEY
Rockonliam must handle a significant trip extension from 20f to 26f; if his stamina fails after the third-last, the race could open dramatically for Jacovec Cavern or Rue Taylor tracking just behind.
WATCH
Teenage Kiss and Duty Bound are both natural prominent racers pushed into unnatural positions — watch for both to drift forward from the flag despite their mapped positions, potentially creating more early congestion than the two confirmed front-runners alone would generate.
WATCH
Sphagnum's latest run was a 0 (pulled up or fell, unspecified) which is unexplained — watch for any paddock signs of soundness or wellbeing before accepting the form at face value on a step back up in trip.
NOTE
Good ground is consistent across the entire Wexford card — no going drift to worry about, but the uniform surface means class and jumping accuracy will separate these runners rather than any ground bias or slog factor.
5:05 — BOYLE Sports Handicap Steeplechase
1m7½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners
Ned In The Park likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Bynx led; the map had Ned In The Park in front.

Rightfolksplease won at 3.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Ned In The Park
Prominent · 2
Kilbrin RoccoRightfolksplease
Midfield · 2
Lady DoyanneBallybrittas
Hold Up · 2
Solsbury HillBynx
Ned In The Park is the sole confirmed front-runner in this seven-runner handicap chase over 1m7½f on Good ground at Wexford, and with no genuine challenger for the lead, he should dictate an uncontested, measured gallop from the front. Kilbrin Rocco and Rightfolksplease will push forward to dispute second and third early, creating a functional but not pressured pace that is unlikely to stretch the field significantly through the early stages. The field contains more hold-up types than can realistically sit in their natural position — Lady Doyanne and Ballybrittas are genuine hold-up horses mapped to midfield because the rear is overcrowded in this race shape, and neither is likely to secure their preferred ground at the back of the field. With Ned In The Park setting a controlled tempo unchallenged, this race shape most favours prominent racers who can travel fluidly just off the lead and pounce from a handy position, rather than true hold-up horses who will need a pace injection that may never materialise.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Ned In The Park Dictates
68% probability
If Ned In The Park travels comfortably and sets a controlled lead that no rival is able to challenge or disrupt.
Ned In The Park dictates throughout on a comfortable lead, the pace stays honest but not fast, and horses who travel prominently into the straight are best placed to land a blow; hold-up types get an insufficient test and lack the fuel to finish through.
Kilbrin RoccoRightfolkspleaseNed In The ParkBynx
B
Prominent Pair Fight Out
16% probability
If Kilbrin Rocco or Rightfolksplease push Ned In The Park for the lead and a competitive early gallop develops among the front three.
A genuine contest for the lead lifts the pace and tests stamina more rigorously, and those who travel prominently but with cover just off the front rank are best positioned to benefit when rivals cry enough; the hold-up horses still struggle to find sufficient momentum from the rear.
Kilbrin RoccoRightfolkspleaseNed In The ParkSolsbury Hill
C
Hold-Up Horse Swoops Late
10% probability
If the pace set by Ned In The Park is genuinely searching and hold-up types find the racing room to finish through.
Solsbury Hill or Bynx, coming from off the pace, would need the tempo to have emptied the front rank and a clean run into the straight to produce a telling late surge; the redistribution of Lady Doyanne and Ballybrittas means the true hold-up profile is underrepresented and less likely to deliver.
Solsbury HillBynxLady DoyanneBallybrittas
D
Chaos And Carnage
6% probability
If jumping errors or fallers disrupt the race order and create an unpredictable finish from an unusual position.
A chase at a right-handed track like Wexford at a sharp distance invites jumping mishaps, and any disruption to Ned In The Park's rhythm could scramble the race shape entirely; Ballybrittas or Lady Doyanne, shuffled forward by circumstance, could benefit from positional chaos.
BallybrittasLady DoyanneKilbrin RoccoRightfolksplease

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHNed In The ParkKilbrin RoccotRightfolkspleasetLady DoyanneBallybrittasSolsbury HilltBynx3. Ned In The Park1. Kilbrin Rocco2. Rightfolksplease5. Lady Doyanne6. Ballybrittas7. Solsbury Hill4. Bynx
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Ned In The Park's jumping must be monitored closely — if he makes a significant error early he loses the lead and his entire tactical advantage evaporates, scrambling the race shape for every other runner.
WATCH
Lady Doyanne and Ballybrittas are natural hold-up horses who will be pushed forward out of their comfort zone by the race shape; if either loses their position and drifts to the rear, they face a materially worse chance than their form figures suggest.
WATCH
Kilbrin Rocco returns on just 11 days' rest; if any fitness shortfall shows in the latter stages of a race that stays honest rather than truly searching, his chance fades at a crucial moment.
NOTE
The Good ground is consistent across the card and genuinely in play for all runners — no horse carries a significant going concern, but the sharper Wexford track rewards accurate jumping, and any errors at the fences could cost lengths in a small field where every position counts.
5:35 — Racing Again 28th August Fillies Flat Race
2m · Good · DEFAULT · 10 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 8 August 2026.

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Wexford pace map, 8 August 2026 — PaceMap