Archive›Wincanton · 1 April 2026

Wincanton

1 April 2026 · 7 races

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2:20 — Bath & West Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m5½f · Good · NOV · 5 runners

Lead contested: Amatchmadeinheaven v Catwalk GirlFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Catwalk Girl and Amatchmadeinheaven led, as the map showed.

Sogna In Grande won at 5.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

AmatchmadeinheavenCatwalk Girl

Prominent · 1

Grand Vendetta

Midfield · 1

Sogna In Grande

Hold Up · 1

Sure To Be Sure

Catwalk Girl and Amatchmadeinheaven will contest the early lead with both horses showing confirmed front-running tendencies. This will create an honest gallop from the start, potentially setting up the race for Grand Vendetta and Sure To Be Sure to come from off the pace, while the lightly-raced Sogna In Grande remains the tactical unknown.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Early Pace

40% probability

If the two leaders settle into a rhythm without over-racing

The pace will be fair but not destructive, allowing the front two to stay involved deep. Amatchmadeinheaven's proven ability on similar going gives him the edge over Catwalk Girl.

AmatchmadeinheavenCatwalk GirlGrand VendettaSogna In Grande

Strong Gallop Throughout

35% probability

If Catwalk Girl and Amatchmadeinheaven battle from flag to finish

The relentless pace will set up perfectly for Grand Vendetta's prominent style and Sure To Be Sure's hold-up tactics. Both closers will have every chance to pick up the pieces late.

Grand VendettaSure To Be SureSogna In GrandeAmatchmadeinheaven

Tactical Surprise Package

15% probability

If Sogna In Grande shows improved tactics from his lightly-raced profile

The unknown quantity could benefit from race fitness while others clash early or struggle with positioning. His higher OR suggests untapped potential if connections have found the key.

Sogna In GrandeGrand VendettaSure To Be SureAmatchmadeinheaven

One Leader Dominates Early

10% probability

If either Catwalk Girl or Amatchmadeinheaven gets an uncontested lead

The lone leader will dictate terms and prove hard to catch, particularly if it's Amatchmadeinheaven given his superior going record. The field will struggle to close the gap over this staying trip.

AmatchmadeinheavenCatwalk GirlGrand VendettaSure To Be Sure

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Catwalk Girl and Amatchmadeinheaven could burn each other out if they engage in sustained early battle

WATCH

Sure To Be Sure's mixed going form includes poor runs on heavy, though good going should suit

NOTE

Sogna In Grande's tactical approach remains unknown given limited exposed form

WATCH

Grand Vendetta needs the leaders to go too fast to set up his prominent running style

NOTE

The 2m5½f trip will test stamina reserves if the early pace becomes too demanding

2:50 — Bridles Care Home In Wincanton Handicap Hurdle

2m5½f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Matthias to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Geezer Rockstar and Jena d'Oudairies led; the map had Matthias in front.

Geezer Rockstar won at 10.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Matthias

Prominent · 3

Twist Of FatecatchJukebox KingGeezer Rockstar

Midfield · 2

Jena d'OudairiesWispit Twob

Hold Up · 2

Calme OlympienGold Link

Matthias will lead uncontested with four prominent runners (Jukebox King, Twist Of Fatecatch, Jena d'Oudairies, Geezer Rockstar) tracking within striking distance. The sustainable pace favors the hold-up trio of Calme Olympien, Gold Link and Wispit Twob who can unleash late kicks, while the prominent quartet must time their moves perfectly to deny the closers.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

35% probability

If Matthias gets an easy lead and quickens off the bend

The front-runner kicks clear turning for home while the prominent runners fail to respond quickly enough. Hold-up horses have too much ground to make up despite the sustained gallop.

MatthiasGeezer RockstarTwist Of FatecatchJena d'Oudairies

Prominent Pressure Pays

30% probability

If the prominent quartet apply sustained pressure from the back straight

Matthias cracks under the relentless pace as Twist Of Fatecatch and Geezer Rockstar battle it out. The hold-up horses benefit from the strong gallop but can't quite get there.

Twist Of FatecatchGeezer RockstarCalme OlympienMatthias

Hold-Up Heroes Strike

25% probability

If the pace becomes truly testing and the field comes back to the closers

Calme Olympien and Gold Link produce trademark late surges as the early leaders pay for their exertions. The winner emerges from the pack with a devastating finishing kick.

Calme OlympienGold LinkWispit TwobGeezer Rockstar

Tactical Muddle Emerges

10% probability

If Matthias goes too slow early and bunches the field

A messy, stop-start pace creates a cavalry charge finish where positioning at the last hurdle proves crucial. The most balanced runner who avoids trouble prevails in a tight finish.

Jena d'OudairiesJukebox KingTwist Of FatecatchGold Link

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Matthias must not be allowed to coast in front as his OR advantage disappears if pressured early

WATCH

Calme Olympien and Gold Link need a truly-run race to unleash their finishing kicks effectively

NOTE

Twist Of Fatecatch's ability to sustain pressure on good going could be key to the pace dynamics

WATCH

The prominent quartet could get in each other's way if they all commit simultaneously

NOTE

Wispit Twob's low rating means he needs the pace to completely collapse to feature

3:20 — Bridles New Luxury Care Home Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m1f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Loup De Maulde likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Law Of Supply and Golan Loop and Muskoka led; the map had Loup De Maulde in front.

Broomfields Cave won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Loup De Maulde

Prominent · 1

Golan Loop

Midfield · 2

MuskokaLaw Of Supply

Hold Up · 2

Broomfields CaveIgnore The Door

Loup De Maulde likely takes them along as the most natural front runner, with Golan Loop, Muskoka, and Law Of Supply tracking prominently behind. The strong prominent contingent should create a solid gallop that sets up the race for the hold-up horses Broomfields Cave and Ignore The Door to mount late challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained pace favours leaders

35% probability

If the prominent quartet maintain a strong gallop throughout the 3m1f trip

Loup De Maulde and Golan Loop benefit from being positioned closest to a genuine pace. The stamina test eliminates late finishers as the race becomes a test of who can best sustain their effort.

Loup De MauldeGolan LoopMuskokaLaw Of Supply

Tactical affair suits closers

30% probability

If the pace becomes pedestrian with the prominent horses marking each other

Broomfields Cave and Ignore The Door get their ideal scenario with plenty left for their finishing kicks. The race becomes a sprint from the last fence with fresh hold-up horses having the edge.

Broomfields CaveIgnore The DoorGolan LoopMuskoka

Midrace acceleration fragments field

25% probability

If one of the prominent horses ups the tempo significantly from halfway

Muskoka and Law Of Supply, with their proven ability to quicken, benefit most from the change of pace. The sustained kick suits their racing styles better than pure front-running or hold-up tactics.

MuskokaLaw Of SupplyGolan LoopLoup De Maulde

Stamina sapping reduces field

10% probability

If the combination of trip and good ground creates an extreme test of staying power

Broomfields Cave's proven stamina reserves and Golan Loop's consistent form over similar distances give them the edge. Many rivals fail to see out the trip as the pace takes its toll late.

Broomfields CaveGolan LoopIgnore The DoorLoup De Maulde

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Loup De Maulde setting too strong an early pace could compromise his own finishing effort over this demanding trip

WATCH

Broomfields Cave and Ignore The Door need the pace to be strong enough early to set up their hold-up tactics

NOTE

Golan Loop's jumping under pressure as he typically races prominently and will need to be accurate when the race develops

WATCH

Muskoka's ability to find that extra gear when the pace lifts as his record suggests he often finds one too good

NOTE

The prominent contingent marking each other too closely early could create a stop-start rhythm that suits nobody

3:50 — Visit Bridles Care Home Wincanton Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

3m½f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Harry Junior to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

All Night Parking led; the map had Harry Junior in front.

Square Du Roule won at 4.33 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Harry Junior

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

WalkinthepresentAll Night ParkingSquare Du RouleStage Show

Hold Up · 2

It's A BreezeLydeard Girl

Harry Junior stands alone as the confirmed front runner, meaning he'll dictate proceedings at a sustainable gallop without early pressure from pace rivals. The remaining six runners all adopt hold-up tactics, creating a tactical race where positioning at the final turn becomes crucial as they converge behind Harry Junior's honest gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

35% probability

If Harry Junior maintains his rhythm and jumps cleanly throughout

His uncontested lead allows him to control the tempo perfectly, leaving the hold-up brigade with too much ground to make up when they launch their challenges. The lack of early pace pressure plays directly into his hands over this stamina test.

Harry JuniorWalkinthepresent

Perfect Hold-Up Storm

30% probability

If the pace becomes truly sedate and multiple closers time their runs perfectly

The tactical runners converge in a bunch turning for home, creating a cavalry charge finish where class and current form separate the field. Walkinthepresent and It's A Breeze benefit most from this scenario given their recent winning form.

WalkinthepresentIt's A Breeze

Harry Cracks Late

25% probability

If Harry Junior's early freedom leads to him going too fast or making jumping errors under pressure

His uncontested lead becomes a burden as the stamina-sapping trip takes its toll, allowing the fresher hold-up horses to sweep past in the final half-mile. The highest-rated closer It's A Breeze capitalizes on Harry Junior's decline.

It's A BreezeAll Night Parking

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If Harry Junior falls or refuses early, leaving no pace-setter

The race becomes a stop-start affair with reluctant pace-makers among the hold-up specialists, creating an unsatisfactory test that favors the most adaptable. Stage Show's recent course win suggests tactical flexibility that could exploit the chaos.

Stage ShowSquare Du Roule

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Harry Junior's jumping under pressure - any mistake amplifies when leading alone and could end his chances instantly.

WATCH

The pace through the middle section - if Harry Junior goes too slow, it negates the stamina test and favors sprint finishers.

WATCH

Walkinthepresent's position turning for home - recent winner needs to be handy enough to capitalize on his current form.

NOTE

It's A Breeze's tracking position - needs to avoid getting buried among the hold-up horses when they all make their moves.

NOTE

Stage Show's early positioning - course advantage means little if he gets too far back in this tactical affair.

4:20 — Bridles Care Home In Wincanton Handicap Chase

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Rangatira Jack to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Move With The Beat and Hatos and My Rockstar led; the map had Rangatira Jack in front.

Move With The Beat won at 5.50 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Rangatira Jack

Prominent · 2

HatosMy Rockstar

Midfield · 2

ApplicationofcashUniversal Secret

Hold Up · 2

Move With The BeatKingcormac

Rangatira Jack will take them along from the front with Hatos and My Rockstar likely to track him in the early stages, creating a sustainable gallop rather than a burn-up. With five hold-up horses including the class acts Move With The Beat and Kingcormac, this sets up perfectly for a strong-finishing conclusion where the pace will quicken significantly from the home turn.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained Gallop Finish

35% probability

If Rangatira Jack maintains a solid tempo without getting into a speed duel early

The pace stays honest throughout allowing the front rank to stay competitive deep into the race. The hold-up horses get their chance but can't quite reel in the prominent runners who've conserved energy.

Rangatira JackHatosMy RockstarApplicationofcash

Class Acts Deliver

40% probability

If the pace becomes truly testing from three out and the race develops into a proper stamina test

Move With The Beat and Kingcormac get the strong gallop they need to show their superior ratings. Their hold-up styles prove decisive as they power past tiring leaders in the final furlong.

Move With The BeatKingcormacUniversal SecretHatos

Tactical Battle Unfolds

15% probability

If Rangatira Jack goes too fast early or gets pressured by the prominent runners

The early pace becomes unsustainable and the race falls apart for the leaders. The best of the hold-up horses with tactical speed like Applicationofcash can strike, but it becomes a muddling affair.

ApplicationofcashUniversal SecretMove With The BeatMy Rockstar

Front Rank Collapse

10% probability

If no one tracks Rangatira Jack closely and he builds a big lead before tying up badly

The race becomes a sit-and-sprint from an impossible position. Only the hold-up horses with the most natural ability can bridge the gap in time.

KingcormacMove With The BeatUniversal SecretApplicationofcash

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Rangatira Jack must be monitored early - if he goes too fast or gets pressured by Hatos/My Rockstar the race shape changes completely

WATCH

Move With The Beat needs the pace to be strong enough to set up his finishing kick from the back

NOTE

Applicationofcash showed course form last time and could be the each-way value if getting first run on the leaders

WATCH

The jumping quality of the hold-up horses will be crucial as they'll need to be traveling smoothly to mount challenges

NOTE

Kingcormac's position turning for home will tell the story - he needs to be within striking distance despite his style

4:50 — Bridles New Luxury Care Home Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Victory Shout to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Prairie Diamond led; the map had Victory Shout in front.

Prairie Diamond won at 10.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Victory Shout

Prominent · 3

Lake TiberiasPrairie DiamondAthena's Dream

Midfield · 4

Forest HillsPrince RhinegoldEric GorcombeSawpit Sienna

Hold Up · 4

Get In OrderBread And ButterManceroWalk In The West

Victory Shout will dictate a measured tempo from the front with no obvious challengers for the early lead. Lake Tiberias and Prairie Diamond will track prominently in second and third, creating a sustainable rhythm that should set up the race for the large contingent of hold-up horses including Get In Order, Bread And Butter, and Prince Rhinegold to mount late challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustained gallop finish

35% probability

If Victory Shout maintains a steady tempo without early pressure and the pace doesn't collapse

The prominent runners get first run but the hold-up horses with proven stamina get the perfect setup. Get In Order and Bread And Butter benefit most from the strong pace over this extended trip.

Get In OrderBread And ButterPrince RhinegoldForest Hills

Front runners dominate

25% probability

If Victory Shout kicks clear turning for home and the pace has been genuinely strong throughout

Prairie Diamond and Lake Tiberias are perfectly positioned to capitalize on any weakening from Victory Shout. The hold-up horses find themselves with too much ground to make up in the closing stages.

Victory ShoutPrairie DiamondLake TiberiasAthena's Dream

Messy scramble develops

25% probability

If Victory Shout gets headed early or the pace becomes stop-start with prominent runners interfering

The rhythm gets disrupted and horses get unbalanced, creating gaps for opportunistic finishers. Prince Rhinegold and Forest Hills could exploit the chaos with their patient styles proving advantageous.

Prince RhinegoldManceroForest HillsSawpit Sienna

Collapse and sprint

15% probability

If Victory Shout goes too slow early and turns it into a sprint finish from the home turn

The prominent horses get first run but tire quickly, while the freshest hold-up horses sweep past. However, the shorter distance run favors those with tactical pace rather than pure stamina.

Lake TiberiasAthena's DreamGet In OrderPrairie Diamond

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Victory Shout getting headed or pressed early would completely change the race dynamics and favor different finishers

WATCH

Walk In The West and Eric Gorcombe both show patterns of fading in the finish which could cost connections in a tight finish

NOTE

Prairie Diamond tracking Victory Shout closely early could indicate intention to press on and make it a genuine test

NOTE

Get In Order's position turning for home will be crucial given his need for strong gallop over this trip

WATCH

Forest Hills jumping fluently will be key given recent heavy ground disappointments affecting confidence

5:20 — Visit Bridles Care Home Wincanton Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

1m7f · Good · CLS5 · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 1 April 2026.

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