Archive›Windsor · 4 May 2026

Windsor

4 May 2026 · 8 races

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1:53 — Cuthy's Race Sponsored By TTC Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Escape Plan likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Eightthreeone led; the map had Escape Plan in front.

Our Guy won at 34.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Escape Plan

Prominent · 4

Viking GloryEightthreeoneOur GuyForever Glamorous

Midfield · 4

AdalidaUniterSun Of DollyMadman

Hold Up · 4

NebbiaFootstepinthewoodsYes WaliimMedyg

Escape Plan will take the lead unchallenged with no other confirmed front runners in this field. The prominent runners Eightthreeone, Viking Glory, and Forever Glamorous will track behind but none are aggressive pace pressers, allowing Escape Plan to dictate comfortable fractions. With nine hold-up horses including Adalida, Madman, and Nebbia packed behind a sedate pace, this sets up a furious sprint finish over the final two furlongs. This race shape strongly favors hold-up horses who can produce late kicks, as they'll benefit from the slow early pace and have plenty to aim at.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Slow Pace Sprint Finish

55% probability

If Escape Plan is allowed to coast through easy fractions unchallenged

The hold-up brigade gets perfect conditions with a moderate gallop setting up their finishing kicks. Horses like Adalida and Madman can unleash devastating late runs from off the pace.

AdalidaMadmanNebbiaYes Waliim

Front Runner Escapes

25% probability

If Escape Plan gets away with very soft fractions and kicks clear turning in

The leader gets first run on tired legs behind and holds off the late charge. Prominent runners who can stay close enough get involved in the finish.

Escape PlanEightthreeoneViking GloryOur Guy

Prominent Pressure Cooker

12% probability

If Viking Glory or Eightthreeone decide to press Escape Plan early

The increased pace stretches the field and favors horses that can race handily without being too far back. Mid-division runners benefit from the stronger gallop.

Viking GloryOur GuyEightthreeoneUniter

Messy Scramble

8% probability

If the pace completely falls apart with multiple horses going too fast or too slow

Form and class become more important than running style in a tactically muddled race. The most talented horses find a way regardless of position.

Escape PlanAdalidaEightthreeoneMadman

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Escape Plan could get away with theft if no prominent runner challenges the early pace and he kicks clear

WATCH

Viking Glory's 115-day layoff combined with tongue tie suggests connections expect improvement but fitness unknown

NOTE

Adalida's hold-up style perfectly matches the likely race shape with soft early pace setting up sprint finish

WATCH

Forever Glamorous carrying just 117lbs with claiming rider could be dangerous if the pace collapses completely

NOTE

Watch for Eightthreeone to track Escape Plan closely as the main prominent runner likely to apply pressure

2:23 — Betwright Windsor Flat Season Opener Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 7 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:58 — Cameron Smart Memorial Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Good · NOV · 14 runners

The Anthony Gover to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sponsor led; the map had The Anthony Gover in front.

Decade Of Time won at 2.62 — raced prominently, as the map had it.

4 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

The Anthony Gover

Prominent · 6

Symphony's SongDecade Of TimeBig EagleHeraldryEagles AttireWindbreaker

Midfield · 4

TurretKahinFar Far OutMostaan

Hold Up · 3

BemersydeSponsorThomas Picton

The Anthony Gover stands alone as the confirmed front-runner, likely to dictate terms unopposed in the early stages and set a comfortable tempo. Behind him, six runners (Decade Of Time, Heraldry, Mostaan, Windbreaker, Symphony's Song, Eagles Attire, Big Eagle) will create a congested prominent pack, leading to inevitable traffic problems and pace pressure from 3f out. The two unknowns Kahin and Turret add volatility - if either shows early pace, it transforms the complexion entirely. This race shape heavily favours hold-up horses like Bemersyde and Thomas Picton who can avoid the midrace squeeze and benefit from the strong pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Anthony Gover Dictates

45% probability

If The Anthony Gover gets an uncontested lead and the prominent pack gets tangled up

The leader sets fractions to suit while the traffic chaos behind allows patient hold-up horses to sweep past tired leaders. Bemersyde and Thomas Picton can capitalise on the pace collapse from their patient positions.

BemersydeThomas PictonThe Anthony GoverSponsor

Newcomer Intervention

25% probability

If Kahin or Turret shows early pace to challenge The Anthony Gover

This creates genuine pace pressure from the start, setting up a true staying test that suits horses with proven stamina. The Gosden-trained Heraldry thrives in strongly-run races while Big Eagle's recent form suggests stamina.

HeraldryBig EagleDecade Of TimeWindbreaker

Prominent Pace Collapse

20% probability

If the six prominent runners create early pressure amongst themselves while Anthony Gover escapes

The midfield congestion becomes severe with multiple horses vying for the same tactical position. Late runners can exploit the pace but need luck in running to find gaps when it matters.

Far Far OutSponsorBemersydeEagles Attire

Sustained Pace Battle

10% probability

If multiple horses challenge Anthony Gover from the start creating genuine early pace

This becomes a true test of stamina where class and experience matter most. The higher-rated newcomers and battle-hardened horses separate from the struggling field.

TurretKahinSymphony's SongHeraldry

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for Kahin or Turret showing early pace as this completely transforms the race from comfortable tempo to genuine stamina test

WATCH

Monitor the prominent pack of six horses for early positioning battles that could compromise several chances before halfway

NOTE

The Anthony Gover's early fractions are crucial - if allowed comfortable sectionals he becomes very dangerous

WATCH

Traffic concerns are severe with multiple prominent runners - watch for horses getting shuffled back at crucial moments

NOTE

Symphony's Song's market support will indicate whether the long absence is overcome or remains a significant obstacle

3:33 — BetWright Bangers N' Cash Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Crazee Icon likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pepper Fizz led; the map had Crazee Icon in front.

Legacy Rock won at 6.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Crazee Icon

Prominent · 3

UpsomdownsTough DateTamzan

Midfield · 3

Eyes FrontLa PeregrinaPepper Fizz

Hold Up · 3

Jamie SommersTinselLegacy Rock

Crazee Icon will dictate terms from the front with limited early pressure, as most runners prefer prominent or hold-up positions. Tamzan, Upsomdowns, Eyes Front, Tough Date, and La Peregrina will settle in behind the leader, but none are confirmed early pace pressers. The lack of genuine speed will create a moderate gallop through the middle stages before quickening late. This sustainable pace scenario strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and have something left for the finish, rather than hold-up horses who need a stronger tempo to set up their kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Suits Prominent

55% probability

If Crazee Icon leads unchallenged through moderate fractions

The tempo allows prominent runners to travel well and finish strongly when the race develops. Tamzan, Upsomdowns, and Eyes Front are perfectly positioned to capitalize.

TamzanUpsomdownsEyes FrontTough Date

Late Injection Benefits Closers

25% probability

If the pace quickens significantly from halfway as prominent runners press forward

A stronger gallop sets up the race for hold-up horses with tactical speed. Jamie Sommers and Legacy Rock can exploit the increased tempo with late runs.

Jamie SommersLegacy RockPepper FizzTinsel

Front Runner Dominates

12% probability

If Crazee Icon maintains the lead turning for home with energy reserves intact

The lack of early pressure allows the leader to control completely and see off all challengers. Jason Watson can dictate ideal fractions for a pillar-to-post success.

Crazee IconTamzanUpsomdownsEyes Front

Surprise from Deep

8% probability

If the early pace is genuinely slow and bunches the field for a sprint finish

Tinsel's class advantage from his last-time win could prove decisive in a cavalry charge. The lack of pace brings all runners into contention late.

TinselPepper FizzLegacy RockJamie Sommers

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Crazee Icon may get too easy a lead early and prove difficult to peg back despite moderate finishing kick

WATCH

Upsomdowns returning after 121-day absence could be vulnerable if fitness is lacking despite promising earlier form

NOTE

Jamie Sommers and other hold-up horses need the pace to strengthen significantly from halfway to be competitive

WATCH

Pepper Fizz carrying bottom weight after 203-day break presents fitness concerns despite Gina Mangan's 7lb claim

NOTE

Tamzan with Rob Hornby booking represents strong stable confidence and suits the likely race development

4:08 — BetWright Safer Gambling Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Bold Impact likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Seraphim Angel led; the map had Bold Impact in front.

Golden Long won at 6.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Bold Impact

Prominent · 3

LazzarTiger TulipAddictive

Midfield · 4

Land Of MagicGolden LongExpert AgentStrike

Hold Up · 3

Seraphim AngelJeneverAmazonian Dream

Bold Impact stands alone as the only confirmed front-runner, virtually guaranteeing he'll lead unchallenged through comfortable fractions. With prominent runners Lazzar, Tiger Tulip, and Land Of Magic likely to track him at a respectful distance, the pace will be steady rather than testing. The large field of hold-up horses including Expert Agent, Amazonian Dream, Jenever, Strike, and Seraphim Angel will be bunched behind, setting up a cavalry charge finish. This moderate pace scenario strongly favours the closers who can unleash their finishing kicks in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Comfortable Lead Holds

45% probability

If Bold Impact dictates uncontested fractions and maintains his kick

The pace-setter gets an easy time of it while the hold-up brigade comes too late despite the sprint finish. Patient tactics from the front prove decisive when the leader has enough left to resist the late charge.

Bold ImpactStrikeTiger TulipExpert Agent

Closers' Paradise

35% probability

If the moderate pace sets up perfectly for strong finishers with tactical speed

The hold-up horses get the exact race shape they want, with the leader coming back to them in the final furlong. Superior class and finishing speed tell when it matters most.

Expert AgentSeraphim AngelJeneverAmazonian Dream

Prominent Tracker Strikes

12% probability

If Lazzar or Tiger Tulip position perfectly behind the leader and pounce

The shrewd prominent runners avoid the pace-setting duties but stay close enough to strike when Bold Impact weakens. They get first run on the closers while having something left to hold them off.

LazzarTiger TulipLand Of MagicGolden Long

Pace Collapses Early

8% probability

If Bold Impact stops quickly leaving a tactical mess

The early leader folds tamely, creating a muddling pace that suits none of the hold-up horses who need something to aim at. The race becomes a war of attrition rather than a sprint finish.

Golden LongStrikeAddictiveLand Of Magic

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Bold Impact must prove he can sustain his kick over 6f having shown his best form at 7f recently

WATCH

Tiger Tulip running again just 2 days after her last race raises stamina concerns despite good form

WATCH

Addictive returning from 627-day layoff makes her fitness and current ability completely unknown

NOTE

Expert Agent needs the pace to develop properly to showcase his proven finishing kick

NOTE

Strike's versatile style means he can adapt if the race doesn't unfold as expected

4:43 — Betwright Bet The Wright Way Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Too Darn Good led; the map had Overbudget and Mehmas Engine and Queen Sana and Blue Deveron in front.

Coyy won at 7.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

OverbudgetMehmas EngineQueen SanaBlue Deveron

Prominent · 4

Too Darn GoodCoyyStaniel CayWild Act

Midfield · 1

Truly Glamorous

Hold Up · 2

Filly FodenStock Market

Overbudget, Blue Deveron, Queen Sana and Mehmas Engine will create a ferocious early gallop in this 5f sprint with four confirmed front-runners all vying for the lead. This breakneck pace will inevitably set up the race for closers, as the leaders burn each other off in a suicide mission up front. The genuine hold-up horses Filly Foden and Stock Market will have their chance to pick up the pieces, while prominent runners like Staniel Cay may find the perfect stalking position. This race shape strongly favours hold-up performers and those with finishing kicks over pure speed horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leaders Burn Each Other

55% probability

If the four front-runners go too fast early and collapse

The pace will be unsustainable with Overbudget, Blue Deveron, Queen Sana and Mehmas Engine all committed to the lead, creating perfect conditions for closers to sweep past tired leaders in the final furlong. Hold-up specialists will benefit most from this pace meltdown.

Filly FodenStock MarketStaniel CayCoyy

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If one horse finds the perfect stalking position behind the speed duel

A prominent runner will track the early leaders at a sensible distance before launching a well-timed challenge when the pace-setters weaken. This tactical approach often proves decisive in sprints with heavy early pace.

Staniel CayCoyyToo Darn GoodWild Act

Pace Leader Survives

12% probability

If one front-runner gets an easy lead and controls the tempo

Queen Sana or Blue Deveron could steal a march if the others are slow to break, allowing them to dictate terms and have enough left for the finish. Recent form suggests Queen Sana has the class edge among the speed horses.

Queen SanaBlue DeveronOverbudgetMehmas Engine

Complete Pace Collapse

8% probability

If the early pace is so fierce that outsiders benefit from the carnage

The four leaders could go so fast that even the moderate hold-up horses struggle to close the gap, allowing a bigger-priced runner to emerge from the wreckage. This would require an exceptionally hot pace from the start.

Truly GlamorousWild ActToo Darn GoodFilly Foden

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for Overbudget to be caught three wide early as Tom Marquand may struggle to find cover with so many other front-runners committed

WATCH

Monitor Blue Deveron's jumping from the stalls as any slow start could be fatal in this competitive sprint with his need to lead

NOTE

Keep an eye on Filly Foden's position turning for home as she needs to be within striking distance to capitalize on the expected pace collapse

WATCH

Watch Queen Sana's early sectionals as she cannot afford to get drawn into a speed duel with three other confirmed leaders

NOTE

Observe Staniel Cay's tactical positioning as Rowan Scott will need to judge the pace perfectly to deliver his challenge at the right moment

5:18 — Daily Prize Wheel At Betwright.com Handicap (Div I)

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Cartwheel to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Drumstick led; the map had Cartwheel in front.

Drumstick won at 11.00 — led, where the map had it was held up.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Cartwheel

Prominent · 4

Alta RicaThe UbermenschLost In WonderMasqool

Midfield · 1

Beachborough Girl

Hold Up · 3

BridgeBoubyanDrumstick

Cartwheel will lead uncontested but fades in the finish, setting honest fractions. The Ubermensch, Alta Rica, Masqool, and Lost In Wonder create a prominent logjam that becomes tactical nightmare when they hit traffic 2-3 furlongs out on Windsor's tight layout. Boubyan, Drumstick, Beachborough Girl, and Bridge hold up with clear water behind the scrum. This race shape heavily favours the hold-up horses who can navigate around the prominent congestion and benefit from Cartwheel's honest pace collapse.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If the prominent quartet gets tangled up approaching the home turn

The pace honest but Cartwheel fades, leaving prominent runners stuck behind each other while hold-up horses sweep around them with clear runs. Boubyan's class and Beachborough Girl's consistency shine through late.

BoubyanBeachborough GirlDrumstickBridge

Prominent Escape Traffic

20% probability

If one of the prominent runners gets first run before the bottleneck forms

The Ubermensch or Alta Rica break clear from the pack before the squeeze develops, using their higher ratings to hold off late closers. Traffic still hinders the other prominent runners.

The UbermenschAlta RicaBoubyanMasqool

Cartwheel Sustains Kick

8% probability

If Cartwheel doesn't fade as usual and maintains gallop to the line

The leader's honest pace sets up perfectly for his stamina to shine, holding off all challenges despite his recent poor form. Prominent runners still get hampered but can't close the gap.

CartwheelLost In WonderThe UbermenschAlta Rica

Messy Tactical Affair

7% probability

If the pace becomes crawling slow with prominent runners eyeing each other

The race becomes a sprint finish where fastest finishers regardless of position prevail, with traffic less decisive but raw speed paramount. Form figures become secondary to finishing kick.

Alta RicaBoubyanThe UbermenschBeachborough Girl

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for early crowding as The Ubermensch, Alta Rica, Masqool, and Lost In Wonder all want prominent positions behind Cartwheel

WATCH

Monitor Cartwheel's jumping and early pace-setting as any hesitation could create chaos behind with four horses wanting to press forward

NOTE

Observe Boubyan's position turning for home as he has perfect hold-up style for this race shape and proven course form

WATCH

Check if Drumstick shows any ring-rust signs after 258-day layoff as she could be value each-way if fully tuned up

NOTE

Watch for Rob Hornby's positioning on Bridge as the top jockey's booking suggests stable confidence despite long absence

5:53 — Daily Prize Wheel At Betwright.com Handicap (Div II)

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Zhang Fei v Gone RogueHISTORIC

How it ran

Lady Of The Isles led; the map had Zhang Fei and Gone Rogue in front.

Seventy won at 3.75 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Zhang FeiGone Rogue

Prominent · 1

Fast Steps

Midfield · 3

BlackwaterfootLady Of The IslesMoonlit Cloud

Hold Up · 3

Man From HavanaSeventyRevich

Gone Rogue and Zhang Fei will force the early pace as confirmed front runners, with Fast Steps likely tracking in second rank. The honest gallop over 1m2f should create a searching test, particularly with Zhang Fei's trainer running at 20% strike rate recently. This sustained pace will expose stamina limitations and favour those with proven staying power who can finish strongly. The shape strongly favours hold-up horses with tactical pace who can capitalize on the likely collapse of the early leaders.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Heroes Prevail

60% probability

If the early pace is honest and the leaders tire

The sustained gallop will find out the front runners over this staying trip, allowing patient rides to sweep past in the final furlong. Horses like Seventy and Moonlit Cloud with proven stamina and tactical speed will benefit most.

SeventyMoonlit CloudBlackwaterfootRevich

Prominent Tracker Strikes

25% probability

If Fast Steps can secure the perfect position behind the leaders

The experienced handicapper can use his tactical nous to sit off the pace battle and strike when the front runners weaken. His recent form on similar ground gives him every chance to capitalize.

Fast StepsLady Of The IslesSeventyMan From Havana

Front Runner Dominates

10% probability

If Gone Rogue or Zhang Fei can dictate terms unchallenged

A more sedate early pace allows one of the leaders to maintain their kick for home, with Gone Rogue's recent placed form suggesting he retains ability. The lack of early pressure could play into their hands.

Gone RogueZhang FeiFast StepsBlackwaterfoot

Pace Collapses Early

5% probability

If both leaders go too fast and burn out before halfway

An unsustainable early gallop creates a tactical muddle where nothing gets into a rhythm. The race becomes a lottery where any horse getting a clear run can capitalize on the chaos.

Man From HavanaLady Of The IslesRevichMoonlit Cloud

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Zhang Fei and Gone Rogue may set unsustainable fractions if both commit to the early lead battle

WATCH

Fast Steps needs to settle better than usual behind the pace rather than getting drawn into early speed

NOTE

Seventy's recent course and distance form at Kempton suggests he handles similar conditions well

WATCH

Moonlit Cloud's weight advantage could be crucial if the race becomes a stamina test in the closing stages

NOTE

Blackwaterfoot's long absence may tell against him despite his proven course form and distance credentials

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 4 May 2026.

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