5:15

Archive›Wolverhampton (AW) · 16 June 2026

Wolverhampton (AW)

16 June 2026 · 8 races

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5:15 — Download The At The Races App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap
1m½f · Standard · HCAP · 13 runners
Quick Quasar likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Quick Quasar led, as the map showed.

Pentonville won at 3.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

7 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Quick Quasar
Prominent · 2
ImolaHashtagnotions
Midfield · 6
This RibSandretEbn SabtPipilyHarbour VisionMolly Valentine
Hold Up · 4
Rhythm N RockSilky LassPentonvilleVolto Di Medusa
Quick Quasar is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 13-runner amateur handicap over 1m½f at Wolverhampton, and with no genuine rival to press her from the break, she is expected to control proceedings at a measured, sustainable gallop on Standard AW ground. Imola and Hashtagnotions will look to track prominently behind her, creating a compact early order but without the combustion of a contested pace. The field holds more hold-up types than the map can accommodate at the rear — Harbour Vision, Sandret, Molly Valentine, Ebn Sabt and Pipily are all natural closers but several will be forced to race closer to the pace than ideal, diluting any true late surge from the back. With a lone, uncontested leader setting a controlled tempo over this staying trip, the race shape strongly favours prominent racers who can travel smoothly in second or third and quicken off a steady pace without needing a strong gallop to deliver their effort.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Lone Leader Controls
52% probability
If Quick Quasar dictates an uncontested, honest gallop and the field settles without incident behind her.
If Quick Quasar dictates an uncontested, honest gallop and the field settles without incident behind her.
Quick QuasarImolaSilky LassRhythm N Rock
B
Prominent Pair Strike
27% probability
If Quick Quasar fades in the final two furlongs and the horses tracking just off the pace inherit the race.
If Quick Quasar fades in the final two furlongs and the horses tracking just off the pace inherit the race.
ImolaSilky LassRhythm N RockVolto Di Medusa
C
Hold-Up Closers Pounce
13% probability
If the pace is genuinely strong enough to string out the field and create a true late opening for hold-up horses.
If the pace is genuinely strong enough to string out the field and create a true late opening for hold-up horses.
Rhythm N RockVolto Di MedusaSilky LassSandret
D
Chaos And Interference
8% probability
If the large 13-runner field causes significant trouble in running, with pockets, wide trips or checks disrupting the expected order.
If the large 13-runner field causes significant trouble in running, with pockets, wide trips or checks disrupting the expected order.
PentonvilleRhythm N RockVolto Di MedusaImola

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHQuick QuasarpImolaHashtagnotionspThis RibtSandretEbn SabtbPipilypHarbour VisionbMolly ValentinepRhythm N RockSilky LassPentonvillepVolto Di Medusap1. Quick Quasar2. Imola5. Hashtagnotions6. This Rib7. Sandret8. Ebn Sabt9. Pipily10. Harbour Vision11. Molly Valentine4. Rhythm N Rock3. Silky Lass12. Pentonville13. Volto Di Medusa
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Quick Quasar's stamina over 12 furlongs is unproven — if she ties up in the final two furlongs after setting a lone pace, Imola and Silky Lass are best positioned to capitalise immediately.
WATCH
Sandret's 291-day absence is a significant fitness concern in a competitive handicap; backers should watch paddock condition and early market moves closely before committing.
WATCH
Ebn Sabt steps up from 8f to 12f on just his seventh career start — monitor how he travels in the middle stages, as stamina failure here would be swift and decisive.
NOTE
With 13 runners on the Wolverhampton AW over the final bend, horses drawn widest or buried deep in mid-pack (including several redistributed hold-up types) face a real traffic risk rounding for home — positional luck mid-race will matter.
NOTE
Pipily returns after 318 days off and has never run beyond 7f or on AW — watch for any early market drift as a signal that connections are treating this as a comeback run rather than a winning venture.
5:45 — Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice (EBF Restriced Race Qual') (GBB) (Div I)
6f · Standard · NOV · 10 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
6:15 — Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice (EBF Restriced Race Qual') (GBB) (Div II)
6f · Standard · NOV · 10 runners
Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.
6:45 — Cavani Best Dressed Handicap
6f · Standard · HCAP · 13 runners
Guernsey Angel likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Nzuri and Enter Sandman led; the map had Guernsey Angel in front.

King Of Chaos won at 6.50 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Guernsey Angel
Prominent · 1
She's Divine
Midfield · 7
Victor CeeTie FighterKing Of ChaosGoldenstateofmindFilly FodenNzuriBeach Partee
Hold Up · 4
Wyle CopEscape PlanEnter SandmanGo Lockers Go
Guernsey Angel is the sole confirmed front-runner in this 13-runner 6f handicap on Wolverhampton's Polytrack, and with no genuine challenger for the early lead, Pat Cosgrave can dictate a controlled, unchallenged gallop from the outset. The pace is therefore unlikely to be truly searching — a single horse setting fractions without pressure on a Standard surface typically produces a race where tactical position off the leader becomes the premium asset, favouring prominent-to-midfield horses who can travel close enough to pounce at the 2f pole. The field is overloaded with natural hold-up types: Victor Cee, Tie Fighter, King Of Chaos, Goldenstateofmind, Nzuri, Beach Partee and Filly Foden are all genuine rear-of-field runners redistributed into midfield on the map because they simply cannot all settle at the back — several will race closer than usual without it being their comfort zone. In a sustainable-pace scenario, the tactical verdict firmly favours horses who can race prominently or in a close-chasing position, specifically She's Divine and Enter Sandman, who have the natural style to sit just off Guernsey Angel and exploit a race run to suit hold-up horses only if the pace collapses entirely.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Guernsey Angel Dictates Alone
52% probability
If Guernsey Angel leads unchallenged and sets a fair but controlled tempo that leaves nothing for late closers.
If Guernsey Angel leads unchallenged and sets a fair but controlled tempo that leaves nothing for late closers.
She's DivineEnter SandmanGo Lockers GoWyle Cop
B
Prominent Hold-Up Lands Close
26% probability
If one of the redistributed hold-up types secures an unexpectedly handy position and sustains a run from 2f out.
If one of the redistributed hold-up types secures an unexpectedly handy position and sustains a run from 2f out.
Tie FighterVictor CeeKing Of ChaosGoldenstateofmind
C
Late Closers Rattle Home
14% probability
If the pace quickens sharply mid-race, creating a truly run contest that strings the field out and leaves ground for true hold-up horses.
If the pace quickens sharply mid-race, creating a truly run contest that strings the field out and leaves ground for true hold-up horses.
Wyle CopEnter SandmanGo Lockers GoBeach Partee
D
Pace Collapses, Field Bunches
8% probability
If Guernsey Angel's solo lead is so slow that the entire field travels in a tight group, turning it into a sprint from 2f.
If Guernsey Angel's solo lead is so slow that the entire field travels in a tight group, turning it into a sprint from 2f.
She's DivineGo Lockers GoVictor CeeFilly Foden

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHGuernsey AngelShe's DivineVictor CeeTie FighterbKing Of ChaosGoldenstateofmi…bFilly FodenNzuriBeach ParteevWyle CopbEscape PlantEnter SandmantpGo Lockers Goh5. Guernsey Angel1. She's Divine6. Victor Cee7. Tie Fighter8. King Of Chaos9. Goldenstateofmind10. Filly Foden11. Nzuri12. Beach Partee4. Wyle Cop13. Escape Plan2. Enter Sandman3. Go Lockers Go
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Guernsey Angel's early gallop sets the entire shape: if Cosgrave elects to crawl, the field will bunch dangerously and She's Divine or Enter Sandman will be perfectly positioned to pounce; watch the opening two furlongs carefully.
WATCH
Several redistributed hold-up horses — particularly Tie Fighter and Victor Cee — will contest midfield positions they do not naturally want; crowding and interference around the 4f-3f mark is a realistic risk in a 13-runner field on this track.
WATCH
She's Divine is 161 days absent — if she shows any sign of blowing hard or missing the break, her prominent-racing profile that makes her attractive in this shape is immediately negated.
NOTE
Enter Sandman's Wolverhampton Standard record (two wins, hist shows 1/6f/STA twice) is the standout course-and-distance angle in the field; watch to see if George Wood slots him in just behind Guernsey Angel early.
NOTE
Go Lockers Go's 38-day break combined with the hood headgear and Daniel Muscutt booking suggests the Bell yard may have had a reason to freshen this filly — monitor market moves as a potential market mover.
7:15 — Call 01902 390016 To Name A Race Handicap
1m4f · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners
No obvious leaderHISTORIC

How it ran

Panthere Noir led.

Ada Rose won at 15.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 0
None
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 7
Last FlightKeep It ClassicEthereal CharmAda RoseRisk Averse RebelPanthere NoirLady Lauren
Hold Up · 3
BumaanAl AmirahMick The Hat
With every single runner in this ten-horse 1m4f handicap carrying a hold-up profile, there is no confirmed front-runner and no horse whose natural instinct is to lead — the early stages are likely to be pedestrian, with runners jostling cautiously for position before the tempo accelerates late. The absence of any genuine pace-setter means the race will almost certainly compress into a bunched, slow-burn contest that ignites only in the home straight, producing a sprint finish from a closely grouped field. At Wolverhampton over 1m4f on Standard going, a slow early tempo followed by a late rush typically favours the horse with the sharpest turn of foot from a prominent position rather than a deep hold-up, because the track's sharp final bend and short straight punish those who leave too much to do. The field holds significantly more hold-up types than the map can honestly place at the rear — Last Flight, Ethereal Charm, Keep It Classic, Ada Rose, Risk Averse Rebel, Panthere Noir and Lady Lauren are all genuine hold-up horses redistributed into midfield positions because the rear of this field is genuinely overcrowded; whoever establishes a midfield berth with the least crowding and the most ground to travel in the straight will be best served, and Bumaan and Al Amirah, having the clearest hold-up credentials with no redistribution flag, are the truest representatives of that profile. The shape overwhelmingly favours the horse who can secure a clean run from mid-to-rear as the field bunches, with a sustained late finish rather than a sharp kick being the decisive factor.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Slow Pace Sprint Finish
44% probability
If the field drifts through the first mile at a crawl and the race ignites only inside the final two furlongs.
If the field drifts through the first mile at a crawl and the race ignites only inside the final two furlongs.
BumaanAl AmirahRisk Averse RebelMick The Hat
B
Modest Pace Stays Test
28% probability
If one or two redistributed horses drift to the front purely by default and set a modest but genuine gallop that stretches the field.
If one or two redistributed horses drift to the front purely by default and set a modest but genuine gallop that stretches the field.
Risk Averse RebelMick The HatAda RosePanthere Noir
C
Traffic Trouble Chaos
18% probability
If the bunched, leaderless field creates interference and blocked runs turning for home.
If the bunched, leaderless field creates interference and blocked runs turning for home.
Ada RoseBumaanLast FlightPanthere Noir
D
Front Default Dominates
10% probability
If a hold-up horse accidentally secures a prominent position unchallenged and effectively leads by default from halfway.
If a hold-up horse accidentally secures a prominent position unchallenged and effectively leads by default from halfway.
Panthere NoirMick The HatKeep It ClassicAl Amirah

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHLast FlightKeep It ClassicpEthereal CharmAda RoseRisk Averse Reb…Panthere NoirpLady LaurenBumaantAl AmirahMick The Hat5. Last Flight6. Keep It Classic7. Ethereal Charm8. Ada Rose3. Risk Averse Rebel9. Panthere Noir10. Lady Lauren1. Bumaan2. Al Amirah4. Mick The Hat
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Watch for a falsely slow gallop in the first mile — with no natural front-runner, the entire field of ten hold-up types could crawl for the first six furlongs, compressing the finish dangerously and increasing the risk of interference rounding the final bend at Wolverhampton.
WATCH
Keep It Classic is explicitly flagged as fading in the finish — if Darragh Keenan attempts to position forward to compensate, it could set a deceptively moderate tempo before weakening inside the last furlong and creating trouble for those tracking it.
WATCH
Risk Averse Rebel has the most consistent placed form in the field and Gina Mangan will be under instructions to find a clean run — watch whether she can extricate the horse from what may be a tightly bunched midfield group entering the straight.
NOTE
The redistribution of seven horses into midfield means the home straight at Wolverhampton — already narrow and punishing for wide runners — will be unusually congested; jockeys on Ada Rose (Jack Mitchell) and Bumaan (Jack Callan) will need to commit to a clear line early to avoid being trapped behind a wall of horses.
NOTE
Al Amirah steps up significantly in trip for Mason Paetel — if the early pace is genuinely slow, the 1m4f stamina question will only be answered in the final two furlongs, making its finishing effort worth monitoring as an indicator of whether the distance has been fully met.
7:45 — Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Classified Stakes
1m½f · Standard · DEFAULT · 12 runners
Taskheer likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sorted and First Encounter and Arlecchino's Rex led; the map had Taskheer in front.

Rockafeller Skank won at 1.80 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Taskheer
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 7
SortedManton RoadSmoker BellamyRogue SoldierVecchioThomas TallisRockafeller Skank
Hold Up · 4
SaturnaliaGloriolaFirst EncounterArlecchino's Rex
Taskheer is the lone confirmed front-runner in this 12-runner field over 1m½f on Wolverhampton's Polytrack, and with no genuine challenger for the lead, she will dictate an uncontested, metronomic gallop from the front — a sustainable pace that gives her every chance of controlling the race from flag to finish. Behind her, the field is overwhelmingly composed of hold-up types, with Sorted, Manton Road, Smoker Bellamy, Rogue Soldier, Thomas Tallis, Vecchio and Rockafeller Skank all redistributed to midfield because the map cannot accommodate the volume of genuine rear-of-field runners this race contains — those jockeys will be competing for positions they do not naturally want. With Taskheer setting a comfortable, unforced tempo, the race is unlikely to generate the searching gallop that pure hold-up horses need to produce a late burst, meaning prominent and midfield runners who can respond to Taskheer early in the straight are best placed. This race shape strongly favours horses with the tactical speed to sit just off the leader or in mid-division and sustain their effort into the closing stages — Arlecchino's Rex and First Encounter, both genuine hold-up/prominent types with strong Wolverhampton AW profiles, are archetypal beneficiaries, while true closers face the double jeopardy of a slow tempo and a crowded pocket.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Taskheer Controls Unchallenged
52% probability
If Taskheer is allowed to stride clear and sets a steady, uncontested gallop that turns the race into a test of sustained speed over closing furlongs.
If Taskheer is allowed to stride clear and sets a steady, uncontested gallop that turns the race into a test of sustained speed over closing furlongs.
Arlecchino's RexFirst EncounterSaturnaliaRockafeller Skank
B
Prominent Stalkers Pounce
26% probability
If the pack settles just off Taskheer at a moderate pace and a prominent-sitting horse picks her off inside the final furlong.
If the pack settles just off Taskheer at a moderate pace and a prominent-sitting horse picks her off inside the final furlong.
Arlecchino's RexFirst EncounterSaturnaliaSorted
C
Late Rush Breaks Through
14% probability
If the steady gallop paradoxically creates a bunched field and a reshuffling in the straight that opens a late lane for a hold-up horse.
If the steady gallop paradoxically creates a bunched field and a reshuffling in the straight that opens a late lane for a hold-up horse.
Rockafeller SkankSortedSmoker BellamyRogue Soldier
D
Taskheer Weakens, Chaos
8% probability
If Taskheer's 41-day absence tells and she fades sharply entering the straight, collapsing the race shape entirely.
If Taskheer's 41-day absence tells and she fades sharply entering the straight, collapsing the race shape entirely.
Arlecchino's RexFirst EncounterGloriolaManton Road

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHTaskheertSortedManton RoadbSmoker BellamybRogue SoldierbVecchiopThomas TallisRockafeller Ska…SaturnaliapGloriolaFirst EncounterbArlecchino's Rexh5. Taskheer6. Sorted7. Manton Road8. Smoker Bellamy9. Rogue Soldier10. Vecchio11. Thomas Tallis4. Rockafeller Skank3. Saturnalia12. Gloriola2. First Encounter1. Arlecchino's Rex
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Taskheer's fitness after 41 days off is the single biggest variable — if she shows any sign of blowing up or fading early in the straight, the entire pace structure collapses and the race opens up unpredictably for every runner.
WATCH
Rockafeller Skank makes her AW debut with sharp turf form (two recent wins) and a trainer firing at 6/16 over 14 days — watch her in the market; if she handles the Polytrack surface she is the redistributed closer most likely to overcome her unfavourable pace scenario.
WATCH
With seven or more genuine hold-up horses competing for similar midfield positions, significant traffic problems are likely turning into the straight — horses drawn wide such as Arlecchino's Rex and First Encounter may benefit from cleaner air and an unobstructed run.
NOTE
Sorted returns from 84 days off under Jack Mitchell — Mitchell is capable of producing fresh horses cold, and if Loughnane has him cherry-ripe, the Wolverhampton form (5/6 runs at this track) means he should not be ignored even in an unfavourable race shape.
NOTE
The Richard Spencer yard's 14-day strike rate of 6/16 is the standout trainer stat in this field — Rockafeller Skank represents their best chance of capitalising, and any market move from an opening price should be treated as significant given the surface unknown.
8:20 — Book To Stay At Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
5f · Standard · CLS4 · 8 runners
Spaceman likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sheik Yerbouti and Project Wallace and Roy Lane led; the map had Spaceman in front.

Spaceman won at 1.91 — raced midfield, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Spaceman
Prominent · 1
Argy Bhaji
Midfield · 4
Project WallaceGood Guys GirlBaby GMoonlight Melody
Hold Up · 2
Sheik YerboutiRoy Lane
Spaceman is the one confirmed front-runner in this eight-runner 5f maiden and should stride into an uncontested lead from the outset on Standard Wolverhampton AW, setting a sustainable but not dawdling gallop that controls tempo throughout. With no genuine challenger for the lead, Spaceman dictates from flag to finish, meaning the race is unlikely to develop into a true test of finishing speed — the pace will be honest enough to suit those travelling prominently but not so strong that it hands rein to closers. Argy Bhaji is the most natural prominent companion, sitting just off Spaceman's shoulder, while Roy Lane and Sheik Yerbouti will be asked to make ground from the rear in a race that offers limited room for late swoops over just 5f. The field does hold more hold-up types than the map can naturally accommodate — Moonlight Melody, though a true hold-up horse, is mapped to midfield given the traffic, but is unlikely to find a clean late run on a flat sprint with a dictating leader up front; this race shape favours prominent racers who can stalk the pace and capitalise in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Spaceman Controls, Prominent Pounce
65% probability
If Spaceman leads uncontested and sets a fair gallop, allowing a prominent rival to stalk and overhaul inside the final furlong.
If Spaceman leads uncontested and sets a fair gallop, allowing a prominent rival to stalk and overhaul inside the final furlong.
Argy BhajiProject WallaceSpacemanBaby G
B
Front Runner Holds On
18% probability
If Spaceman's gallop is slow enough that its stamina advantage turns the race into a sprint-and-hold from the front.
If Spaceman's gallop is slow enough that its stamina advantage turns the race into a sprint-and-hold from the front.
SpacemanBaby GArgy BhajiGood Guys Girl
C
Debutant Produces Late Burst
11% probability
If one of the unexposed debutants Baby G or Good Guys Girl shows natural ability to pick up late having been produced wide and fresh.
If one of the unexposed debutants Baby G or Good Guys Girl shows natural ability to pick up late having been produced wide and fresh.
Baby GGood Guys GirlArgy BhajiProject Wallace
D
Hold-Up Horse Closes Late
6% probability
If the pace is genuinely strong enough to set up a late run for a hold-up horse pushed back off the natural pace.
If the pace is genuinely strong enough to set up a late run for a hold-up horse pushed back off the natural pace.
Sheik YerboutiMoonlight MelodyRoy LaneArgy Bhaji

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHSpacemanArgy BhajiProject WallaceGood Guys GirlBaby GMoonlight MelodySheik YerboutiRoy Lanep3. Spaceman1. Argy Bhaji2. Project Wallace5. Good Guys Girl4. Baby G6. Moonlight Melody7. Sheik Yerbouti8. Roy Lane
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Argy Bhaji has three placed efforts on Standard AW and races prominently — watch whether Daniel Muscutt slots directly behind Spaceman at the break, as that position would give him the ideal stalking role into the straight.
WATCH
Baby G and Good Guys Girl are both debutants whose stall draw and early pace reaction are completely unknown — either could break smartly and complicate the predicted front-running shape if they push forward unexpectedly.
WATCH
Roy Lane returns after 53 days wearing a hood for the first time — watch the paddock and early stall behaviour, as headgear additions on a hold-up horse can produce an unpredictable early pace reaction that disrupts the expected running order.
NOTE
Spaceman carries a STYLE_FIT flag suggesting this prominent/lead role is not always secured — if he is slow out of the stalls or Argy Bhaji rushes up to press, the uncontested lead scenario weakens and the race shape tightens considerably.
8:54 — Cavani Modern Gentleman Handicap
1m1½f · Standard · HCAP · 11 runners
Study Up likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Le Pelerin led; the map had Study Up in front.

Kaaranah won at 5.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1
Study Up
Prominent · 0
None
Midfield · 7
KaaranahBeachborough GirlWolf Of BadenochAsian JourneyImplied VolatilityLe PelerinHave You A Minute
Hold Up · 3
SalikoEagle DayPleasant Man
Study Up is the lone confirmed front runner and, with no genuine pace rivals to pressure them, Jonny Peate can dictate from the front at a sustainable gallop around Wolverhampton's flat polytrack, controlling tempo from the off and potentially stealing a decisive advantage into the straight. The field is overwhelmingly comprised of hold-up horses — Kaaranah, Beachborough Girl, Wolf Of Badenoch, Asian Journey, Implied Volatility, Le Pelerin and Have You A Minute are all true hold-up types redistributed to midfield on the map simply because the rear of the field cannot accommodate them all. Of those, Beachborough Girl (recent course form), Kaaranah and Asian Journey are most likely to press forward from their natural positions and get closer to the pace than their map slots suggest, though none is a natural front runner capable of matching Study Up's early initiative. With a single pace-setter dictating a controlled gallop to a field full of closers who will be bunched in behind, the race shape strongly favours a horse that can travel prominently or make a forward move from a handy position early in the straight, as a pedestrian tempo risks flattening out the finishing kicks of true hold-up types who need a strong pace to close into.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

A
Study Up Controls Unchallenged
58% probability
If Study Up is allowed to bowl along uncontested and sets a controlled, even tempo that drains the finishing speed of the hold-up pack.
If Study Up is allowed to bowl along uncontested and sets a controlled, even tempo that drains the finishing speed of the hold-up pack.
Study UpBeachborough GirlKaaranahAsian Journey
B
Prominent Challenger Sweeps Through
22% probability
If a horse travelling in second or third slot tracks Study Up comfortably and produces a decisive move rounding the final bend.
If a horse travelling in second or third slot tracks Study Up comfortably and produces a decisive move rounding the final bend.
Beachborough GirlKaaranahStudy UpAsian Journey
C
Late Closers Swamp The Field
13% probability
If the pace is genuinely slow enough to bunch the field and a wall of finishers arrives simultaneously in the final furlong.
If the pace is genuinely slow enough to bunch the field and a wall of finishers arrives simultaneously in the final furlong.
Asian JourneyPleasant ManSalikoEagle Day
D
Pace Collapse Creates Chaos
7% probability
If Study Up overcooks the gallop or weakens sharply inside the final two furlongs, leaving the result wide open.
If Study Up overcooks the gallop or weakens sharply inside the final two furlongs, leaving the result wide open.
Eagle DayHave You A MinutePleasant ManSaliko

Race position map

STARTMID-RACE3 OUTFINISHStudy UptKaaranahBeachborough Gi…tpWolf Of BadenochAsian JourneytImplied Volatil…Le PelerintpHave You A Minu…SalikopEagle DayPleasant Manp1. Study Up3. Kaaranah2. Beachborough Girl5. Wolf Of Badenoch4. Asian Journey6. Implied Volatility7. Le Pelerin8. Have You A Minute9. Saliko10. Eagle Day11. Pleasant Man
LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY
Study Up's ability to control the gallop unchallenged is the single biggest shape factor — if Jonny Peate establishes a comfortable lead in the first two furlongs without any horse pressing, the race could be effectively over by halfway.
WATCH
Beachborough Girl, Kaaranah and Asian Journey are all natural hold-up horses who may force their way forward from the outset, creating an unplanned jostle for tracking positions that could disrupt Study Up's rhythm and compress the pack.
WATCH
Eagle Day carries a fade flag at the finish and has gone 9th and 10th twice in five runs — Pat Cosgrave may ride aggressively to compensate, which could inject unexpected pace into the early stages.
NOTE
Have You A Minute and Implied Volatility both return from very long absences (197 and 151 days respectively) — watch the market for any unexpected support, as neither yard has given a strong public signal about their readiness.
NOTE
Saliko switches from a hood to no headgear today — monitor behaviour in the pre-parade ring, as hold-up horses who have previously needed headgear to focus can be unpredictable on the AW when the gear is removed.

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 16 June 2026.

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Wolverhampton (AW) pace map, 16 June 2026 — PaceMap