Archive›Wolverhampton (AW) · 29 May 2026

Wolverhampton (AW)

29 May 2026 · 6 races

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6:05 — Download The At The Races App Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

1m4f · Standard · HCAP · 12 runners

Pleasant Man likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Green Team led; the map had Pleasant Man in front.

Green Team won at 9.50 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pleasant Man

Prominent · 1

Green Team

Midfield · 6

Lenny's SpiritSisterandbrotherBeauneGlitter CodeNow Then WendySomeone's Wish

Hold Up · 4

I'd Go ManiacRelocalJack SparoweArth's Gold

Pleasant Man and Green Team are the only confirmed front-runners, but neither has genuine early pace which suggests a moderate tempo early. With ten hold-up horses including recent winners Sisterandbrother, Jack Sparowe, and Arth's Gold all needing to be wound up from the rear, this creates a tactical nightmare where everyone wants cover. The lack of genuine pace-setters means the leaders can dictate fractions and kick when they choose. This race shape strongly favours the prominent runners and those with tactical speed who can position close to the pace, as the hold-up brigade will find limited room and pace to aim at in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Two Dominate Field

45% probability

If Pleasant Man and Green Team are allowed to dictate a steady pace without pressure

The leaders can time their kicks perfectly while the massed ranks of hold-up horses get in each other's way turning for home. Pleasant Man's class edge and Green Team's course form become decisive when they have first run on the field.

Pleasant ManGreen TeamI'd Go ManiacSisterandbrother

Late Surge Prevails

30% probability

If the pace quickens significantly in the final three furlongs creating gaps

Jack Sparowe and Sisterandbrother can use their proven finishing kicks to mow down tiring leaders. The recent winners benefit from having that winning momentum and confidence when the race gets competitive.

Jack SparoweSisterandbrotherArth's GoldRelocal

Tactical Speed Wins

15% probability

If one of the hold-up horses manages to get an ideal position tracking the leaders

I'd Go Maniac or Lenny's Spirit can use their tactical pace to sit closer than usual and pounce. Their course experience becomes crucial in timing the decisive move before the back-markers can get involved.

I'd Go ManiacLenny's SpiritPleasant ManGreen Team

Complete Pace Collapse

10% probability

If both leaders go too slow and get swamped by the entire field in a cavalry charge

Arth's Gold and Relocal emerge from the pack with the strongest late kicks. The lack of early pace creates a messy sprint finish where class and a clean passage matter most.

Arth's GoldRelocalGlitter CodeBeaune

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pleasant Man and Green Team must be monitored early - if they establish a soft lead unopposed they become extremely dangerous

WATCH

Jack Sparowe in blinkers again after breaking his losing run - any market move suggests connections confident of following up

WATCH

Sisterandbrother ran just two days ago at Beverley and defends this title, check for any signs of quick turnaround effects

NOTE

I'd Go Maniac keeps the cheekpieces that worked last time and returns to his winning course and distance

NOTE

Now Then Wendy and Someone's Wish are both returning from hurdles after lengthy breaks, watch for any market confidence

6:40 — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m½f · Standard · NOV · 6 runners

Always Happy to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Venetian Sky led; the map had Always Happy in front.

Flagpole won at 11.00 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Always Happy

Prominent · 2

Hollywell StreamVenetian Sky

Midfield · 1

Hatour

Hold Up · 2

FlagpoleMoonlit Surf

Always Happy will take this field along from the front with minimal pressure, given the lack of other confirmed pace angles in this small field. Hollywell Stream and Venetian Sky may track her prominently but both have shown they can settle, while the hold-up horses Hatour, Flagpole and Moonlit Surf will likely be content to sit back in the rear half. The lack of pace pressure means Always Happy can dictate comfortable fractions before kicking clear, while the closers may find themselves with too much ground to make up on the all-weather surface. This race shape strongly favours the front-running Always Happy and any prominent racers who can track her into contention.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Always Happy Controls

65% probability

If Always Happy gets soft fractions on the lead without early pressure

She can dictate throughout and prove hard to peg back in the straight, with her proven course form and higher rating telling. The hold-up horses will struggle to make up the ground on this surface against her controlled tempo.

Always HappyHollywell StreamVenetian SkyHatour

Prominent Pressure

20% probability

If Hollywell Stream or Venetian Sky press Always Happy early for the lead

The increased pace will set up the race for late-running types like Hatour and Flagpole who have shown they finish strongly. Always Happy may crack under pressure having been odds-on beaten last time.

HatourFlagpoleVenetian SkyAlways Happy

Fresh Returns Fire

10% probability

If the long-absent Hollywell Stream shows significant improvement after 217 days off

Her class as a Lope De Vega filly from the Chapple-Hyam yard could see her take a big step forward second time out. Murphy's booking suggests confidence despite the layoff.

Hollywell StreamAlways HappyHatourVenetian Sky

Gosden Surprise Package

5% probability

If either Hatour or Flagpole shows unexpected early pace to disrupt the predicted pattern

The race becomes more truly run which would suit their finishing kicks, especially Hatour who ran on well last time. Both carry the powerful Gosden stable form behind them.

HatourFlagpoleAlways HappyVenetian Sky

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Always Happy may get too easy a lead with no obvious pace pressure, allowing her to dictate comfortable fractions

WATCH

Hollywell Stream returning after 217 days could be rusty early but Murphy's presence suggests yard confidence

NOTE

Hatour and Flagpole both represent the in-form Gosden stable whose runners often improve significantly for recent outings

WATCH

Venetian Sky showed big improvement last time but steps up in distance for the first time

NOTE

The small field and lack of pace may result in a slowly-run race that favours those who can travel and finish

7:15 — Free Tips On attheraces.com Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Standard · NOV · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

7:50 — Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap

7f · Standard · HCAP · 11 runners

3 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Dublin Bay led, as the map showed.

Dublin Bay won at 4.33 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Dublin BayFlytaInferno

Prominent · 4

EnamorusWyle CopCompradorParanjape

Midfield · 1

Horwich

Hold Up · 3

Night MissionCourt Of StarsChapman's Peak

Dublin Bay, Flyta, and Inferno will ensure a strong gallop from the start in this 7f handicap. Dublin Bay has shown natural pace and will likely lead early, with Flyta and Inferno pressing close behind creating a genuine tempo. The sustained pace over 7f on this sharp track will stretch the field and test stamina reserves in the final furlong. This strong gallop will suit prominent racers and those with tactical speed who can sit close enough to strike, while pure hold-up horses may find themselves with too much to do against the clock.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Holds

45% probability

If Dublin Bay, Flyta and Inferno maintain a solid gallop throughout

The strong early pace will string out the field and favour those racing prominently who can quicken when it matters. Horses like Court Of Stars and Comprador, who can sit handy and have tactical speed, will benefit from the setup.

Court Of StarsCompradorEnamorusParanjape

Pace Collapses Late

30% probability

If the three leaders go too hard early and tie up in the final furlong

The strong early gallop will set things up perfectly for the closers who can come with a late rattle. Hold-up horses like Chapman's Peak and Night Mission will have the perfect target to aim at.

Night MissionChapman's PeakHorwichWyle Cop

Tactical Battle

15% probability

If the pace setters are more restrained than expected creating a tactical affair

Without the anticipated strong gallop, this becomes more about raw ability and tactical positioning in the final 2f. The more experienced handicappers with proven track form will have the edge.

Dublin BayWyle CopCourt Of StarsParanjape

Front Runner Dominates

10% probability

If Dublin Bay or Flyta get an easy lead and control the tempo

One of the leaders will get soft fractions early and have enough left to repel all challengers in the straight. The pace advantage will prove decisive on this sharp course.

Dublin BayFlytaInfernoCourt Of Stars

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Dublin Bay and Flyta could go too fast early if they clash for the lead, setting up the race for closers

WATCH

Enamorus returning from 258 days off may need the run despite Palmer's good record with returning horses

NOTE

Night Mission and Chapman's Peak will need the three leaders to maintain strong pace to get competitive positions

WATCH

Inferno adding blinkers first time could be too keen early given his natural front-running tendencies

NOTE

Court Of Stars showed improved form last time and represents the in-form Sangster yard with claims

8:25 — Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap

5f · Standard · HCAP · 10 runners

Hedge Fund to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mick's Spirit led; the map had Hedge Fund in front.

True Promise won at 2.75 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Hedge Fund

Prominent · 4

True PromiseCurious RoverMick's SpiritJojo Rabbit

Midfield · 2

Blue ForceAncient State

Hold Up · 3

AlondraSpendmore LaneDark Kestrel

Hedge Fund is the sole confirmed leader but faces immediate pressure from four prominent runners (True Promise, Curious Rover, Blue Force, Mick's Spirit) who will crowd the early positions. This creates a fast pace scenario over 5f with sustained pressure throughout, as the prominent quartet jostle for position behind Hedge Fund. The hold-up horses (Alondra, Dark Kestrel, Spendmore Lane, Ancient State) get perfect pace-setting conditions to unleash finishing kicks. This race shape strongly favours the hold-up runners who can sit off the pace and benefit from the strong gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

65% probability

If the prominent quartet pressure Hedge Fund into a strong pace

The sustained gallop sets up perfectly for closers who can sit off the pace and benefit from the collapse ahead. Alondra and Ancient State both have excellent recent AW form and thrive when unleashing late kicks.

AlondraAncient StateSpendmore LaneDark Kestrel

Prominent runner survives pace

20% probability

If one of the prominent quartet can secure an uncontested position behind Hedge Fund

True Promise or Mick's Spirit could benefit from tracking the pace rather than making it, allowing them to kick clear when the leader tires. Their class advantage shows in a sustained drive.

True PromiseMick's SpiritBlue ForceCurious Rover

Hedge Fund steals it

10% probability

If the prominent runners fail to apply sustained early pressure

Hedge Fund gets an easier lead than expected and can dictate terms to suit his front-running style. His reduced mark and Tom Marquand's tactical riding could exploit a more patient approach from behind.

Hedge FundTrue PromiseSpendmore LaneAlondra

Pace collapses completely

5% probability

If the prominent quartet cancel each other out in brutal early skirmishing

The pace becomes stop-start with no sustained gallop, favouring horses who can quicken from any position rather than pure closers. This chaotic scenario opens the door for improving types with tactical speed.

Blue ForceJojo RabbitAncient StateTrue Promise

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

True Promise, Curious Rover, Blue Force and Mick's Spirit all want prominent positions behind Hedge Fund creating traffic chaos

WATCH

Dark Kestrel and Spendmore Lane are often slowly away which could compromise their chances in a strongly-run 5f race

NOTE

Ancient State missed the break badly when narrowly beaten last time and cannot afford a repeat over this minimum trip

WATCH

Hedge Fund faces his toughest pace test with four prominent runners ready to apply immediate pressure

NOTE

Alondra has the best tactical position as a pure hold-up horse in a race likely to set up perfectly for closers

9:00 — attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Standard · HCAP · 4 runners

High Storm likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mythical Bay led; the map had High Storm in front.

Galilean Quality won at 4.33 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

High Storm

Prominent · 1

Baltic Fleet

Midfield · 2

Galilean QualityMythical Bay

Hold Up · 0

None

High Storm appears the sole natural front-runner among these four prominent runners, likely to dictate terms from the start without pressure. Baltic Fleet, Galilean Quality and Mythical Bay all prefer racing handy rather than leading, creating a potential tactical dilemma as they'll need to sit closer than ideal. The lack of genuine pace-pressers should allow High Storm to control fractions and kick clear when ready. This setup strongly favours the leader High Storm, as the chasers will struggle to generate the tactical speed needed to reel in a horse allowed an easy lead over this extended distance.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

High Storm Controls All

65% probability

If High Storm gets an uncontested lead and dictates moderate fractions

The Burke gelding can kick clear turning for home with the three prominent runners unable to generate enough tactical pace to close the gap. His Doncaster win proves he can make all when getting soft fractions.

High StormGalilean QualityBaltic FleetMythical Bay

Galilean Quality Pounces Late

20% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong with multiple horses tracking closer

Lee's mount can use his proven stamina edge to outlast rivals in the final furlong when the pace collapses. His Southwell success shows he stays this trip well when others weaken.

Galilean QualityMythical BayHigh StormBaltic Fleet

Baltic Fleet Times Run

10% probability

If Loughnane can secure an ideal tracking position behind High Storm

The Boughey gelding can use his higher RPR rating to strike late when High Storm begins to tire. His Bath second suggests he's returning to form after the gelding operation.

Baltic FleetHigh StormGalilean QualityMythical Bay

Mythical Bay Grinds Through

5% probability

If Murphy decides to force the pace early and pressure High Storm

The Balding runner could create enough pace to set up his own staying kick, using his proven AW form. However, this requires a significant tactical shift from his usual style.

Mythical BayGalilean QualityHigh StormBaltic Fleet

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

High Storm building an unassailable lead through slow early fractions with no genuine pace pressure applied

WATCH

Galilean Quality and Baltic Fleet both trying to track High Storm in the same prominent position creating traffic issues

WATCH

Murphy making an uncharacteristic front-running move on Mythical Bay to disrupt the expected pace dynamic

NOTE

High Storm showing any signs of freshness issues after 44-day break when asked to quicken turning for home

NOTE

Baltic Fleet responding better to pressure after recent gelding operation compared to his Newmarket disappointment

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 29 May 2026.

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