Archive›Worcester · 28 May 2026

Worcester

28 May 2026 · 6 races

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2:25 — CopyBet Pay First Past The Post Mares' Handicap Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)

2m½f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

3 vying for the leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Auntie Maggie led, as the map showed.

Beorma won at 2.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 3

Caterpillar GirlAuntie MaggieFox Wallace

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

Feet On The GroundBeorma

Caterpillar Girl, Auntie Maggie, and Fox Wallace will engage from the start, creating a strong gallop throughout this 2m4f test. With three confirmed front runners in a five-horse field, there's nowhere to hide and the pace will be searching from flag to finish. The sustained tempo will stretch the field early and test stamina reserves over the final half-mile. This setup strongly favours hold-up horses who can conserve energy early and finish with late momentum.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

45% probability

If the three front runners go too hard early and weaken

The strong gallop plays into the hands of Feet On The Ground and Beorma who can sit off the pace and pick up the pieces. Their chase experience and tactical positioning becomes crucial as the leaders tire.

Feet On The GroundBeormaAuntie MaggieCaterpillar Girl

Auntie Maggie Controls Pace

30% probability

If Auntie Maggie gets first run on her rivals from an ideal position

Her proven stamina at this trip and class advantage allows her to dictate terms and kick clear when it matters. The other front runners either go too early or can't match her sustained effort.

Auntie MaggieCaterpillar GirlFeet On The GroundFox Wallace

Caterpillar Girl Breakthrough

15% probability

If the young mare learns from her Warwick fall and travels sweetly

Her class from bumper form translates to fences with Jonathan Burke keeping her balanced throughout. The strong pace sets up perfectly for her to strike late and justify the step up in trip.

Caterpillar GirlAuntie MaggieFeet On The GroundFox Wallace

Fox Wallace Revival

10% probability

If the cheekpiece removal sparks improvement and she finds her old form

She gets competitive again off her reduced mark with the strong pace suiting her front-running style. Her previous fence form suggests she can handle this company when right.

Fox WallaceAuntie MaggieFeet On The GroundCaterpillar Girl

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Fox Wallace's early positioning could be erratic given her poor recent form and equipment changes

WATCH

Caterpillar Girl's jumping under pressure after her Warwick fall when still in contention

NOTE

Beorma's finishing kick given her tendency to fade late in recent starts

WATCH

The pace battle between three front runners could set up a tactical mess early

NOTE

Feet On The Ground's jumping technique on chase debut after disappointing hurdle career

2:55 — PJ Nicholls KGM Korea Genuinely Made Handicap Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

2m7f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Mt Fugi Park likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Mt Fugi Park led, as the map showed.

Sunray Shadow won at 2.25 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mt Fugi Park

Prominent · 2

ImpatientMasterdream

Midfield · 2

Sunray ShadowZacony Rebel

Hold Up · 2

Samuel SpadeCourt In A Storm

Mt Fugi Park will take them along at his preferred prominent pace with Masterdream and Impatient likely tracking just behind him in the early stages. With only one natural front runner and several hold-up horses (Sunray Shadow, Samuel Spade, Court In A Storm, Zacony Rebel), the pace should be manageable rather than frenetic. The sustained nature of this 2m7f test means the pace will gradually build through the middle sections before a proper test of stamina in the final half-mile. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and those with tactical pace who can position handy and kick when the tempo lifts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Pace Suits Leaders

55% probability

If Mt Fugi Park dictates an even tempo without serious pressure through the first two miles

The measured gallop plays perfectly into the hands of those positioned close to the pace, allowing them to conserve energy for a sustained drive from three out. Mt Fugi Park and Masterdream can utilise their prominent styles while Impatient has the tactical pace to strike from close range.

Mt Fugi ParkMasterdreamImpatientCourt In A Storm

Hold-Up Horses Get Target

25% probability

If the prominent runners go too hard early or the pace becomes stop-start through the middle sections

Sunray Shadow and Court In A Storm benefit from a strongly-run race that sets up perfectly for their patient tactics, sweeping past tiring leaders in the final furlong. Their fresh legs from tracking the pace prove decisive as the early leaders weaken.

Sunray ShadowCourt In A StormZacony RebelSamuel Spade

Masterdream Redemption

12% probability

If Masterdream shows his old sparkle and overcomes recent poor form with aggressive tactics

The nine-year-old uses his course and distance winning experience to position perfectly behind Mt Fugi Park before taking over smoothly approaching the final fence. His class on his day proves too much for this field despite recent disappointing efforts.

MasterdreamMt Fugi ParkImpatientCourt In A Storm

Pace Collapse Benefits Closers

8% probability

If the front runners go far too fast early and come back to the field dramatically

The early pace setters Mt Fugi Park and Masterdream burn out completely, leaving the race to Samuel Spade and Zacony Rebel who have been patiently tracking from the rear. Their fresh finishing kicks prove unstoppable as the field bunches entering the straight.

Samuel SpadeZacony RebelSunray ShadowImpatient

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mt Fugi Park could steal this if allowed his own way in front without pressure through the early stages

WATCH

Masterdream's confidence levels after two poor runs - any early enthusiasm suggests he's back to his best

NOTE

Sunray Shadow's jumping on chase debut particularly at the first few fences as he adjusts to the bigger obstacles

WATCH

Samuel Spade's fitness levels after 131 days off and whether he can recapture his better form from previous seasons

NOTE

The pace through the first mile - if too strong it will set up perfectly for the hold-up horses to sweep past late

3:30 — CopyBet Daily Profit Boost Novices' Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Qualifier) (GBB Race)

2m · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Arbitration to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

So Proud and Delta Legend led; the map had Arbitration in front.

King's Scholar won at 1.29 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Arbitration

Prominent · 2

NannymooresbridgeDelta Legend

Midfield · 2

So ProudMagna Patch

Hold Up · 1

King's Scholar

Arbitration will set a sustainable pace from the front with no other confirmed leaders in this small field. So Proud and the prominent trio of King's Scholar, Nannymooresbridge, Delta Legend and Magna Patch will track behind in a compact group. The lack of early pace pressure means Arbitration can dictate throughout and potentially steal a march turning for home. This tactical setup strongly favours the front-runner and prominent racers who can stay close to the pace, with hold-up horse King's Scholar facing the toughest task from the rear.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Arbitration gets an easy lead and maintains a strong gallop

The hood addition helps him settle and he can quicken clear before the field organises a challenge. King's Scholar has too much ground to make up from his hold-up style.

ArbitrationSo ProudKing's ScholarMagna Patch

Prominent Battle

30% probability

If So Proud and the prominent runners close the gap turning in

A sustained drive develops between the pace-tracking horses with superior class telling. Arbitration may weaken after setting the fractions.

King's ScholarSo ProudArbitrationMagna Patch

Class Rises Late

15% probability

If King's Scholar gets a clear run and finds his best form

His superior flat form and recent Ludlow encouragement sees him sweep past the pace-setters despite the tactical disadvantage. The moderate pace actually helps his finishing kick.

King's ScholarSo ProudArbitrationNannymooresbridge

Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Arbitration goes too slow and the field bunches up

The race becomes a sprint finish where any horse can win from the tight pack. Form becomes less reliable in a muddling contest.

Magna PatchNannymooresbridgeDelta LegendKing's Scholar

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Arbitration's early fractions - if he goes too fast or too slow it completely changes the race dynamic

WATCH

King's Scholar's position turning in - needs to be closer than usual given the lack of pace

NOTE

So Proud's jump at the second last - his prominent position makes him the main pace threat to Arbitration

WATCH

Any pulling or settling issues in the first half mile given the hood on Arbitration and pace concerns

NOTE

The pace through halfway - this small field could easily string out or bunch up depending on Arbitration's tactics

4:00 — Safer Gambling At CopyBet Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m7f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Jubertilee to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

No horse was credited with leading.

Brionywells won at 21.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Jubertilee

Prominent · 4

WhenthemusicstopsArtiste d'AinayEdna E ModeUltra Viers

Midfield · 3

Mc'floSaint VicBrionywells

Hold Up · 3

Mexican StanBrave MoveSon Of Tyran

Jubertilee will likely dictate from the front with no obvious pressure from early pace angles, allowing him to bowl along at a sustainable gallop over this extended trip. The prominent runners Artiste d'Ainay, Whenthemusicstops, Edna E Mode, and Ultra Viers should track within striking distance but none are aggressive early types. This creates a tactical race where the pace could be moderate early before quickening from 3 out, with plenty of horses held up for late challenges including Mexican Stan, Son Of Tyran, Saint Vic and Brionywells. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and late finishers who can produce sustained runs from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If Jubertilee sets only moderate fractions and the race develops into a sprint finish

The patient tactics allow closers to unleash telling runs in the final half-mile when the early pace horses weaken. Mexican Stan and Son Of Tyran are perfectly positioned to strike late having both won recently when held up over similar trips.

Mexican StanSon Of TyranSaint VicBrave Move

Front group stays strong

25% probability

If Jubertlee maintains a solid tempo throughout and the prominent horses stay competitive

Artiste d'Ainay and Whenthemusicstops can sustain their efforts better than the field expects. The pace becomes honest enough to blunt the finishing kicks of the hold-up brigade while rewarding those who tracked the leader.

Artiste d'AinayWhenthemusicstopsJubertileeEdna E Mode

Jubertilee leads throughout

12% probability

If the leader faces no serious challenge and can dictate terms completely

His point-to-point background and stamina reserves allow him to control the race from pillar to post. The lack of early pressure means he conserves energy for a sustained kick that the field cannot match despite his modest recent form.

JubertileeUltra ViersArtiste d'AinayMexican Stan

Pace collapses completely

8% probability

If the early gallop becomes crawling and turns into a pure sprint

The tactical affair suits horses with the highest cruising speed rather than stamina. Son Of Tyran's class edge and Mexican Stan's recent confidence boost become decisive factors in a dash from the final hurdle.

Son Of TyranMexican StanWhenthemusicstopsSaint Vic

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Son Of Tyran and Mexican Stan both fade in the finish according to their profiles, so watch if they're still travelling strongly turning for home

WATCH

Jubertilee has modest recent form despite his placings, so monitor if he's actually able to build a meaningful lead

NOTE

Artiste d'Ainay weakened late at Hexham over this trip, so watch his stamina reserves in the final half-mile

WATCH

Whenthemusicstops was a weak 16-1 chance on handicap debut, so check market support for any confidence

NOTE

Saint Vic is only second run back from a lengthy break, so improvement expected but watch for signs of ring-rustiness

4:30 — Read Johnny Burke's Blog At CopyBet Handicap Hurdle

2m · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Siam Park to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fidendum led; the map had Siam Park in front.

Crown Of India won at 8.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Siam Park

Prominent · 1

Cawthorne Banker

Midfield · 3

Charging ThunderGet The ValueCrown Of India

Hold Up · 2

FidendumScintillante

Siam Park will dictate this race as the sole confirmed front-runner, likely setting a sustainable tempo without early pressure given the hold-up heavy field composition. The remaining six runners - Scintillante, Fidendum, Get The Value, Charging Thunder, Crown Of India all being hold-up merchants with only Cawthorne Banker showing any prominent tendencies - will settle in behind creating a bunched field. This creates a tactical race where the front-runner can control the fractions and kick when ready. The shape heavily favours Siam Park's lead tactics and any horse capable of tracking him early, as the hold-up brigade will face a wall of horses in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Siam Park Controls All

45% probability

If Siam Park sets steady fractions and isn't pressured early.

He can dictate when to quicken and the hold-up horses face a wall of traffic behind him. His front-running style becomes a major tactical advantage in this field composition.

Siam ParkCawthorne BankerFidendumScintillante

Late Charge Succeeds

30% probability

If the pace becomes too slow and the field bunches up.

The hold-up horses get a clear run through and superior class tells in a sprint finish. Scintillante's recent Warwick fourth suggests returning form could be decisive.

ScintillanteFidendumCharging ThunderGet The Value

Fidendum Makes All

15% probability

If Fidendum jumps prominently and challenges Siam Park for the lead.

The pace lifts and it becomes a test of stamina where Fidendum's recent Market Rasen win shows he has the engine. Two pace-setters could set it up for hold-up horses though.

FidendumScintillanteSiam ParkCharging Thunder

Outsider Benefits

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a cavalry charge.

Crown Of India or Get The Value could sneak through at big odds when the favourites don't get clear runs. The 14lb difference between top and bottom weight becomes significant in a sprint.

Crown Of IndiaGet The ValueCawthorne BankerCharging Thunder

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Siam Park could get an uncontested lead and prove impossible to peg back with this tactical advantage

WATCH

Fidendum's tendency to run out means he's unreliable despite his Market Rasen win last time

WATCH

Charging Thunder returning after 180 days could need the run despite his proven hurdle ability

NOTE

Scintillante's position turning in will be crucial given his hold-up style in this tactical race

NOTE

The pace early on determines everything - if it's too slow the hold-up horses get their chance

5:05 — CopyBet Overnight Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Hurdle

2m4f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Scottish Dancer likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Scottish Dancer led, as the map showed.

Mancero won at 5.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

5 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Scottish Dancer

Prominent · 2

ManceroChurchman

Midfield · 4

Georgia's CharmMan Oh ManDontaskchrisStay Hopeful

Hold Up · 3

Tsavo ParkPlayful FoxGreer Hill

Scottish Dancer will likely set the pace from the front with minimal early pressure, as most runners prefer to sit off the pace. Churchman and Mancero could track in behind but both can settle, leaving Scottish Dancer to dictate terms through the early stages. The sustained gallop over 2m4f will test stamina reserves, with the real action beginning from three out as the hold-up horses begin their challenges. This pace setup strongly favours the prominent racers and those with tactical speed, as they can position close enough to strike without getting caught behind a wall of horses in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front Running Wins

45% probability

If Scottish Dancer gets an uncontested lead and maintains rhythm

The lack of early pace pressure allows the leader to conserve energy for a strong finish, making it difficult for closers to peg back. Prominent racers can track the pace and have every chance to challenge.

Scottish DancerChurchmanManceroPlayful Fox

Hold-Up Horse Sprint

30% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely slow early and quickens dramatically late

The stamina-laden finish becomes a sprint from the final flight, suiting horses with a turn of foot. Skelton's guidance gives Playful Fox the tactical edge in this scenario.

Playful FoxMan Oh ManTsavo ParkGeorgia's Charm

Prominent Tracker Strikes

15% probability

If Scottish Dancer sets steady pace but fades from two out

The race sets up perfectly for horses positioned in second or third to inherit the lead. Churchman's recent form in similar trips makes him the prime beneficiary.

ChurchmanManceroScottish DancerPlayful Fox

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If Scottish Dancer goes too slow and field bunches up turning in

The race becomes a messy cavalry charge with little between them at the last. Light weights and in-form horses get first run in a blanket finish.

ManceroStay HopefulMan Oh ManPlayful Fox

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Scottish Dancer's fitness after 222 days off - any signs of blowing up from two out kills the front-running scenario

WATCH

Playful Fox's jumping under pressure - his unseating two runs back shows he can get careless when challenged

NOTE

Churchman's early positioning - if he's further back than usual it suggests connections expect a stronger pace

WATCH

Man Oh Man's tendency to find trouble in running - his hold-up style often leaves him with too much to do

NOTE

The pace through the first mile - if Scottish Dancer goes too fast early, it opens the door for closers with stamina

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 28 May 2026.

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