Archive›Yarmouth · 11 April 2026

Yarmouth

11 April 2026 · 8 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:02 — TigerBet.co.uk Grand National Specials Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 16 runners

Dashing Donkey to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

No Knee Never and Grand Citadel led; the map had Dashing Donkey in front.

Queen Of Good News won at 10.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 14 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Dashing Donkey

Prominent · 3

The UbermenschDevious DevanGrand Citadel

Midfield · 7

Queen Of Good NewsMini MacSouth KensingtonMerapiPotters PrinceBorderline MadnessThe Spotlight Kid

Hold Up · 5

No Knee NeverLe PelerinKamawayMoonlight BombMiss Monte Carlo

Dashing Donkey will take the field along as the sole confirmed front-runner, likely joined by prominent runners Devious Devan and The Ubermensch in the early stages. With only one natural leader, the pace should be manageable rather than suicidal, allowing Dashing Donkey to dictate terms without excessive pressure. The large field of hold-up horses will be relying on the pace to set up properly, but with limited early speed this may not develop into the strong gallop they need. This race shape clearly favours the early-positioned horses who can secure good positions without having to fight for them.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Controls

45% probability

If Dashing Donkey gets an easy lead with minimal early pressure from the prominent runners

The leader can dictate a steady tempo and kick clear when ready, while the hold-up brigade struggles to pick up the pieces from a modest pace. Early pace horses like The Ubermensch and even Devious Devan can track the leader without being softened up.

Dashing DonkeyThe UbermenschDevious DevanGrand Citadel

Sustainable Strong Pace

30% probability

If Devious Devan and The Ubermensch press Dashing Donkey early to ensure a proper gallop

The genuine pace will set up perfectly for the better hold-up horses to unleash their finishing kicks in the final furlong. Quality closers like The Spotlight Kid and Moonlight Bomb will have the race run to suit their patterns.

The Spotlight KidMoonlight BombMini MacNo Knee Never

Tactical Crawl

15% probability

If all the early runners are overly cautious and nobody wants to commit to making the running

The race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole with positioning crucial as horses fan wide looking for racing room. Those drawn well or ridden positively will have significant advantages over those caught behind horses.

Queen Of Good NewsPotters PrinceSouth KensingtonBorderline Madness

Early Duel Collapses

10% probability

If Devious Devan's known tendency to fade combines with The Ubermensch over-racing to pressure Dashing Donkey

The early pace will collapse entering the final 2f, allowing a strong closer who avoided the early skirmishing to sweep through and win going away. This suits the patient hold-up horses with the best turn of foot.

Mini MacLe PelerinMerapiNo Knee Never

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Devious Devan's tendency to fade in the finish could leave Dashing Donkey unopposed if The Ubermensch doesn't press

WATCH

The massive field of hold-up horses will struggle for racing room if the pace is too steady early

NOTE

Miss Monte Carlo's 540-day absence makes her impossible to assess but creates potential eliminator for multiples

WATCH

Several runners returning from lengthy breaks including Le Pelerin (156d) and Queen Of Good News (176d) face fitness questions

NOTE

Watch for Dashing Donkey's early fractions - if uncontested the leader will be very hard to peg back

2:37 — TigerBet.co.uk National Extra Places Paid Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · NOV · 5 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:12 — TigerBet.co.uk Fast Sign Up Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · NOV · 9 runners

Ottoman Empress likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Premier Cru led; the map had Ottoman Empress in front.

Harriet Quimby won at 5.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ottoman Empress

Prominent · 3

Harriet QuimbyHarper VioletBintsaleh

Midfield · 3

MaldivesI'm The OneEmerald Reine

Hold Up · 2

Bint KilfrushPremier Cru

Ottoman Empress will take this field along at a steady gallop with minimal early pressure, given the lack of other committed front-runners in this fillies' novice field. Harper Violet and Harriet Quimby may track her in second and third, but neither appears keen to force the issue early. The pace will be genuine but not frantic, allowing the field to stay in touch through the first mile before the real test begins in the final two furlongs. This controlled tempo strongly favours prominent racers who can stay close to Ottoman Empress and hold-up horses with finishing kicks over the extended straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front End

45% probability

If Ottoman Empress dictates uncontested fractions and stays on strongly

The pace-setter gets first run turning for home and proves tough to peg back up the Yarmouth straight. Her class edge and tactical advantage prove decisive against these lightly-raced rivals.

Ottoman EmpressHarriet QuimbyBint KilfrushI'm The One

Late Closer Surge

30% probability

If the steady early pace sets up a sprint finish over the final two furlongs

The hold-up horses get their perfect scenario as the race becomes a dash from the back. Fresh legs and finishing speed trump early position in a bunched finale.

Bint KilfrushI'm The OneMaldivesPremier Cru

Prominent Pressure

15% probability

If Harper Violet or Harriet Quimby apply early pressure to Ottoman Empress

The pace quickens beyond comfort levels for the front-runner, opening the door for those tracking in fourth and fifth. Mid-race positioning becomes crucial as the early leaders weaken.

Harriet QuimbyEmerald ReineHarper VioletBintsaleh

Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Ottoman Empress goes too slowly and gets swamped late

The lack of early pace creates a messy sprint where any horse can win from anywhere. Form and class become secondary to luck in running and jockey judgment.

Premier CruMaldivesHarper VioletBintsaleh

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ottoman Empress's behaviour in the preliminaries after 172 days off - any signs of ring-rustiness could undermine her clear form advantage

WATCH

I'm The One and Emerald Reine for market support given their powerful connections - significant money would suggest readiness despite debuts at this level

NOTE

The early fractions set by Ottoman Empress in the first half-mile will determine if hold-up horses get their ideal scenario

WATCH

Harper Violet's fitness levels after nearly six months off for a yard that typically has them ready first time back

NOTE

How prominently Harriet Quimby is ridden given her versatile style could influence the overall pace dynamic

3:42 — Ma And Pa Peak Birthday Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Something led, as the map showed.

Salamanca City won at 4.50 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 13 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

ShihokuSomethingMc'tedDesert Heart

Prominent · 3

SiouxfonicYaa MinCurrumbin

Midfield · 2

Beach PointSilver Gunn

Hold Up · 4

Patagonia GirlSalamanca CityBintabuhaA Major Payne

Desert Heart, Shihoku, Something, and Mc'ted will set a genuine gallop from the start, with Desert Heart likely to take them along early before the others engage. This strong pace will stretch the field over the extended 1m2f trip, creating a searching test of stamina on Good ground. The early gallop will soften up the leaders and set up the race perfectly for hold-up horses who can stay the trip and finish strongly. This race shape strongly favours patient, staying types who race from off the pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

65% probability

If the front-runners maintain a strong gallop throughout the early and middle stages.

The pace will collapse in the final two furlongs, allowing the patient closers with stamina to sweep past tired leaders. Horses like Salamanca City, Silver Gunn, and A Major Payne are perfectly positioned to capitalize on this likely scenario.

Salamanca CitySilver GunnA Major PaynePatagonia Girl

Pace Collapses Early

20% probability

If Desert Heart and the other leaders go too fast early and burn out before halfway.

The race will become a sprint finish with prominent racers taking over, but the genuine stayers still hold the advantage. Siouxfonic and Yaa Min can bridge the gap between pace and closers in this situation.

SiouxfonicYaa MinSalamanca CitySilver Gunn

Sustained Gallop Throughout

10% probability

If Something or Shihoku prove tougher than expected and maintain the gallop to the line.

The leaders will take some catching if they can sustain their effort over this stamina-sapping trip. Only the very best stayers with tactical speed will get there in time.

SomethingShihokuSilver GunnA Major Payne

Tactical Crawl Develops

5% probability

If the front-runners are more cautious than expected and the early pace becomes moderate.

The race becomes more about tactical positioning and a turn of foot, suiting horses who can quicken from prominent positions. This would be the least likely outcome given the number of confirmed pace-setters.

SiouxfonicPatagonia GirlYaa MinSilver Gunn

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Desert Heart and Shihoku could set unsustainably fast fractions early if they engage in a speed duel

WATCH

Patagonia Girl and Silver Gunn returning from long layoffs may need the run despite their obvious suitability to the pace shape

NOTE

Salamanca City's market position will reveal connections' confidence after his 206-day absence

NOTE

The pace through the first half-mile will determine whether the hold-up horses get the setup they need

WATCH

Something and Mc'ted may not handle the step up to this extended trip despite their front-running styles

4:25 — In Memory Of Roger Clarke - Vet Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

1m · Good · NOV · 12 runners

Master Of Keraunos to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Generic led; the map had Master Of Keraunos in front.

Generic won at 3.25 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Master Of Keraunos

Prominent · 2

My Mate RogerAl Maslool

Midfield · 5

Whole Lotta RosieSierra SueSharp RomanceMokataTimely Salute

Hold Up · 4

GenericEnemy AgentThunderhoofStrong Voice

Master Of Keraunos is the sole confirmed front runner and will face no early pressure, allowing him to dictate a comfortable gallop through the first half mile. My Mate Roger and Al Maslool will sit prominently behind, but neither has the pace to challenge early. The majority field comprises hold-up horses including Generic, Enemy Agent, and Thunderhoof, creating a compressed pack tracking the leader into the home straight. This setup strongly favours the front runner and prominent racers who can avoid traffic problems that will inevitably plague the large group of hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Master Of Keraunos maintains his rhythm without serious challenge until the final furlong

He gets soft fractions and kicks clear when the field starts their run, holding off late challengers who struggle to make up the ground. The tactical advantage of racing alone up front proves decisive over a straight course.

Master Of KeraunosMy Mate RogerAl MasloolGeneric

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If My Mate Roger or Al Maslool can position perfectly behind Master Of Keraunos and time their challenge

They get first run on the leader while the hold-up horses are still finding racing room in behind. The combination of good position and tactical nous from experienced connections pays dividends.

My Mate RogerAl MasloolMaster Of KeraunosGeneric

Class Hold-Up Prevails

20% probability

If Generic or Enemy Agent can secure a clear passage and unleash superior finishing speed

The higher-rated hold-up horses overcome tactical disadvantage through sheer ability, with Oisin Murphy's positioning skills or Enemy Agent's proven turn of foot proving crucial. Traffic problems still make their task difficult.

GenericEnemy AgentMy Mate RogerMaster Of Keraunos

Lightly Raced Surprise

5% probability

If one of the newcomers like Sierra Sue or Whole Lotta Rosie possesses hidden ability and gets the right trip

Unknown potential combines with a good draw or tactical ride to spring an upset. However, the lack of experience against seasoned opponents makes this outcome unlikely.

Sierra SueWhole Lotta RosieSharp RomanceMokata

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Master Of Keraunos must be watched for any signs of stopping in the final furlong as the hold-up horses launch their challenges

WATCH

Monitor the pace through the first half-mile as a genuine gallop would compromise Master Of Keraunos and favour the closers

NOTE

Check how quickly My Mate Roger and Al Maslool can secure prominent positions behind the leader in the early stages

WATCH

Watch for traffic problems affecting Generic and Enemy Agent who need clear runs to deploy their finishing kicks

NOTE

Observe any market moves for the lightly raced newcomers Sierra Sue or Whole Lotta Rosie indicating hidden ability

5:06 — TigerBet.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Good · NOV · 6 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Outback Heat and Ya Karim led, as the map showed.

Organise won at 1.53. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

OrganiseYa KarimPentonvilleOutback Heat

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 1

Weheedd

Hold Up · 1

Hengest

Organise, Ya Karim, Outback Heat and Pentonville will all contest the early lead in this small field, creating a ferocious gallop from the start. With four confirmed front-runners in a six-horse race, the pace will be unsustainably fast through the opening half-mile. The sustained tempo will find out any stamina limitations and likely set up a late charge. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses and those with proven finishing kicks over pure speed merchants.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Finish

65% probability

If the four front-runners engage in early speed duel

The blistering early gallop will drain the leaders, creating ideal conditions for a closer to sweep past tired horses. Hengest's hold-up style becomes a major tactical advantage despite his lower rating.

WeheeddHengestYa KarimOrganise

Organise Survives Duel

20% probability

If Organise can establish clear lead early

The Gosden runner's superior class rating of 88 allows him to dictate terms and kick clear when the others falter. His recent Salisbury win confirms he handles pressure racing.

OrganiseYa KarimWeheeddOutback Heat

Ya Karim Times Challenge

10% probability

If Ya Karim settles just off brutal early pace

His previous good course form and proven ability to rate behind pace gives him tactical edge over pure leaders. The 180-day break could have freshened him significantly.

Ya KarimOrganisePentonvilleWeheedd

Outback Heat Wire Job

5% probability

If inexperienced runners fail to handle pressure

His recent Salisbury win came in similar small field tactical battle where he showed determination. The 66-day gap provides ideal freshness for another front-running effort.

Outback HeatPentonvilleOrganiseYa Karim

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Organise faces career-toughest pace battle with three other confirmed leaders ensuring no easy lead for the Gosden runner.

WATCH

Hengest's 322-day absence is concerning but his hold-up style could prove ideal if the pace collapses as expected.

WATCH

Ya Karim's 180-day break raises fitness questions despite his previous course form suggesting suitability for conditions.

NOTE

Weheedd represents unknown quantity but Haggas runners often improve significantly from debut to second start.

NOTE

Four front-runners in six-horse field guarantees unsustainable early pace and potential for dramatic late moves.

5:40 — TigerBet.co.uk Price Boosts Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Twilight Jet likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Almaty Star led; the map had Twilight Jet in front.

Almaty Star won at 9.00 — led, where the map had it raced prominently. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Twilight Jet

Prominent · 2

Almaty StarThunder Star

Midfield · 2

Golden LongSkellig Isle

Hold Up · 2

Pixie DivaBrave Nation

Twilight Jet will take the field along from the front with Almaty Star and Thunder Star likely to track closely in the early stages. With only one confirmed front runner in a small field, Twilight Jet can dictate a manageable tempo without immediate pressure, though his tendency to fade late remains a concern. The race should develop into a sprint finish from the 2f pole as the hold-up horses including Pixie Diva, Brave Nation and Skellig Isle make their moves. This tactical setup strongly favours the prominent racers who can track the pace and kick, while the pure hold-up horses face the challenge of making up significant ground in a short 5f dash.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Setup

45% probability

If Twilight Jet leads unchallenged through halfway and maintains a steady tempo

The prominent runners get an ideal tow into the race and can unleash their finishing kicks from advantageous positions. Almaty Star and Thunder Star are perfectly positioned to capitalise when Twilight Jet inevitably weakens.

Almaty StarThunder StarPixie DivaTwilight Jet

Early Pace Pressure

30% probability

If Almaty Star or Thunder Star challenge Twilight Jet early and create a genuine speed duel

The increased tempo plays into the hands of closers who get a strong pace to aim at from the back. Pixie Diva and Skellig Isle can time their runs perfectly as the pace collapses.

Pixie DivaSkellig IsleGolden LongBrave Nation

Hold-Up Horse Surge

15% probability

If the early pace is genuinely slow and the front runners crawl through the opening furlongs

The race becomes a pure sprint finish where class tells and the best finishers can overcome their positioning disadvantage. Brave Nation's higher rating and Pixie Diva's quality shine through in a bunch finish.

Brave NationPixie DivaSkellig IsleAlmaty Star

Twilight Jet Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If Twilight Jet gets soft fractions and finds renewed stamina to resist the late challengers

His front-running style pays dividends on a track that can favour pace, especially with his proven 5f record. The closers leave their runs too late to catch a rejuvenated leader.

Twilight JetThunder StarAlmaty StarGolden Long

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Twilight Jet's jumping and early position - if he misses the break or gets headed early, the race dynamic completely changes

WATCH

Thunder Star and Almaty Star's positioning behind Twilight Jet - their proximity to the leader will determine if they can sustain a challenge

NOTE

Pixie Diva's position at halfway - needs to be handy enough to strike in the final 2f rather than relying on a pure closing kick

WATCH

The pace through the opening 2f - if genuinely slow, the hold-up horses become much more dangerous

NOTE

Skellig Isle's early position with the visor on - improvement expected but needs to overcome the minimum trip from the rear

6:10 — TigerBet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Time To Sparkle likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Lady Vanguard led; the map had Time To Sparkle in front.

Zoustellar won at 12.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Time To Sparkle

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

Sports DayBlue CelestialPhantom ShadowLady VanguardZoustellar

Hold Up · 2

Station BarSlack Bob

Time To Sparkle is the sole confirmed pace-setter and will control this race from the front without pressure, likely setting a comfortable tempo around the bend into the straight. With seven hold-up horses behind, there will be minimal early pressure on the leader, creating a sustainable gallop that could prove difficult to peg back. The large pack of closers including Station Bar, Blue Celestial, and Slack Bob will need to time their moves perfectly from off the pace. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those with tactical pace, as the soft early fractions will make it hard for pure hold-up horses to pick up enough ground late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Time To Sparkle gets an easy lead and kicks clear approaching the furlong pole

The lone pace-setter will have conserved energy through gentle fractions and can find another gear when the closers challenge. Hold-up horses will struggle to make up the deficit against a horse that's had everything go his way tactically.

Time To SparkleStation BarSlack BobBlue Celestial

Strong Closer Prevails

30% probability

If one of the hold-up horses produces an exceptional late burst despite the tactical disadvantage

Station Bar or Blue Celestial times their challenge perfectly and overcomes the pace bias through superior class or fitness. The sustained drive from the back proves just enough to collar the tiring leader.

Station BarBlue CelestialTime To SparkleSlack Bob

Pace Collapse Scenario

15% probability

If Time To Sparkle sets fractions that are too slow and dies dramatically in the final furlong

The leader's tactics backfire as the crawling pace leaves him vulnerable to multiple challengers with any turn of foot. Several hold-up horses converge on the weakening front-runner in a messy finish.

ZoustellarSlack BobLady VanguardBlue Celestial

Early Pace Duel

10% probability

If another runner decides to challenge Time To Sparkle for the early lead unexpectedly

Station Bar or Blue Celestial gets aggressive early, creating faster fractions that set up the race for a genuine closer. The pace duel compromises both early leaders and opens the door for a late swooper.

Slack BobSports DayPhantom ShadowLady Vanguard

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Time To Sparkle must be watched for how easily he gets to the front - if uncontested, he becomes very dangerous

WATCH

Station Bar's early positioning will be crucial - any move to challenge early would change the entire race dynamic

WATCH

Blue Celestial's jockey Clifford Lee may need to be more aggressive than usual given the lack of pace

NOTE

Zoustellar with the tongue-tie could show improved settling which might help adapt to the tactical scenario

NOTE

The overall tempo through the first half-mile will determine if any of the hold-up horses can get competitive

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 11 April 2026.

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