Archive›Yarmouth · 13 May 2026

Yarmouth

13 May 2026 · 6 races

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2:08 — Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Suitcase Smith likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Cuban Girl led; the map had Suitcase Smith in front.

Kamaway won at 8.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Suitcase Smith

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

TonalQueen Of Good NewsCuban GirlSiam FoxKamawayEl FoxCampani

Hold Up · 3

Volto Di MedusaGladiadoraHello Cotai

Suitcase Smith is the only confirmed pace-setter in this field of predominantly hold-up horses, giving him an uncontested lead from the start. With ten hold-up runners behind him, Smith can dictate a steady tempo without early pressure, creating a tactical advantage at Yarmouth's tight turns. The large pack of hold-up horses will bunch up behind the leader, setting up a frantic sprint finish as they all come with late runs simultaneously. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the traffic problems that will inevitably affect the crowded field of hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Running

60% probability

If Suitcase Smith gets an easy lead and maintains stamina

Smith dictates perfect fractions without pressure, then holds off the late charge as hold-up horses get caught in traffic behind. The tactical advantage of clear running proves decisive over superior ratings.

Suitcase SmithGladiadoraQueen Of Good NewsTonal

Late Bunch Finish

25% probability

If the hold-up horses navigate traffic cleanly

Smith leads but gets swamped in the final furlong as multiple hold-up horses unleash their finishing kicks simultaneously. Superior class and recent form tell in a blanket finish.

Hello CotaiQueen Of Good NewsGladiadoraTonal

Smith Folds Early

10% probability

If Suitcase Smith's 36-day break shows and he weakens

The leader cracks before the furlong pole, leaving the hold-up horses to sort it out in a messy sprint. The best recent form and strongest finishers benefit from the collapse.

Queen Of Good NewsHello CotaiGladiadoraCampani

Traffic Chaos Benefits

5% probability

If multiple hold-up horses get severely hampered

Poor draws and bunching create carnage in the straight, allowing a horse with luck in running to capitalize. Those drawn wide or getting early position prosper.

CampaniCuban GirlVolto Di MedusaKamaway

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Suitcase Smith's early pace - if he goes too fast early his 36-day break will show and he'll fold

WATCH

Traffic problems in the home straight with ten hold-up horses all finishing together creating interference

NOTE

Hello Cotai and Queen Of Good News for smooth passages - both have class to win if getting clear runs

WATCH

Cuban Girl's fitness after 36 days off and headgear change suggesting needed sharpening up

NOTE

Gladiadora's position turning for home - recent form suggests she can win with clean passage

2:40 — Bodhi Solutions Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 13 runners

Lead contested: Almaty Star v Twilight FunHISTORIC

How it ran

Kinswoman and Twilight Fun led, as the map showed.

Naana's Sparkle won at 8.50 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Almaty StarTwilight Fun

Prominent · 5

KinswomanNaana's SparkleMichaela's BoyGrandladForager

Midfield · 2

MesaafiAlondra

Hold Up · 4

Rocking EndsNogo's DreamCressida WildesExistent

Almaty Star and Twilight Fun will contest the early lead, with both habitual front-runners likely to go forward from the gate. This creates an honest gallop over the straight five furlongs, with the prominent runners like Kinswoman, Naana's Sparkle, and Grandlad tracking just behind the leaders. The hold-up horses including Nogo's Dream, Existent, and Rocking Ends face a difficult task given the limited time and distance to make up ground. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can sit close to the pace and kick when it matters, as they avoid the risks of both battling for the lead and needing too much late ground.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Honest Pace Favours Prominents

55% probability

If the two leaders settle into a sustainable rhythm without killing each other

The prominent runners get the perfect setup to strike in the final furlong, with those tracking closest having the tactical advantage. Kinswoman and Naana's Sparkle are ideally positioned to exploit this scenario given their style and class.

KinswomanNaana's SparkleGrandladMichaela's Boy

Leaders Duel Benefits Closers

25% probability

If Almaty Star and Twilight Fun engage in a fierce early battle and weaken each other

The pace collapses in the final furlong allowing the hold-up horses to storm through late. Nogo's Dream and Rocking Ends have the class to capitalize if given this opportunity.

Nogo's DreamRocking EndsExistentAlondra

Front Runner Dominates Wire

12% probability

If one of the leaders gets an uncontested lead and kicks clear

Almaty Star proves strongest of the pace-setters and has enough left to hold off all challengers. His recent Yarmouth win over course and distance makes this a live possibility.

Almaty StarTwilight FunKinswomanGrandlad

Pace Compromise Suits Mid-Division

8% probability

If the pace is neither too fast nor too slow, creating a muddling gallop

The versatile prominent runners who can adapt their position get the best of both worlds. Michaela's Boy and Grandlad can adjust tactics to suit the evolving race dynamics.

Michaela's BoyGrandladMesaafiForager

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Almaty Star and Twilight Fun go off too fast early as this could set up a dramatic late finish for the hold-up horses

WATCH

Monitor Kinswoman for signs of rustiness given her 208-day absence, though her class makes her a leading contender

NOTE

Observe Naana's Sparkle's early positioning as she returns from a break with new headgear applied

WATCH

Check if the hold-up horses get the strong pace they need, as a slow early gallop would seriously compromise their chances

NOTE

Watch for Grandlad's positioning early as he tries to follow up his last-start victory with consistent prominent tactics

3:18 — Download The At The Races App Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · CLS4 · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:53 — Get Raceday Ready Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 5 runners

Creative Queen to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Creative Queen led, as the map showed.

Creative Queen won at 2.25 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Creative Queen

Prominent · 1

Viviana

Midfield · 1

Secret Harvest

Hold Up · 2

Butterfly BeachReigning Queen

Creative Queen will lead unopposed from the start with Viviana likely tracking her in second position down the back straight. The lack of early pace pressure means Creative Queen can dictate terms and control fractions through the first half-mile. With only one genuine front-runner, the pace will be genuine but manageable, setting up a finish where stamina and tactical positioning become crucial over raw early speed. This race shape strongly favours hold-up horses like Reigning Queen and Butterfly Beach who can benefit from the controlled tempo and finish fastest when the pace lifts in the final furlong.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If Creative Queen sets steady fractions without early pressure

The controlled tempo allows closers to conserve energy and unleash their best finishing kick when the pace inevitably quickens approaching the final furlong. Both Reigning Queen and Butterfly Beach can position perfectly off the moderate gallop.

Reigning QueenButterfly BeachSecret HarvestViviana

Front-runner controls completely

25% probability

If Creative Queen maintains her lead without serious challenge through halfway

She dictates comfortable sectionals throughout and has enough left to repel late challenges, with Viviana providing the main threat from her stalking position. The lack of sustained pressure allows the leader to stay strong late.

Creative QueenVivianaButterfly BeachReigning Queen

Mystery newcomer strikes

12% probability

If Secret Harvest shows significant improvement on debut

The unknown quantity exploits the steady pace setup to deliver a performance well above expectations from either prominent or hold-up tactics. Creative Queen's honest pace sets up the perfect scenario for a well-handicapped newcomer.

Secret HarvestButterfly BeachCreative QueenReigning Queen

Pace collapses completely

8% probability

If no horse applies meaningful pressure to Creative Queen through 4 furlongs

The race becomes a sprint finish from the 2-furlong pole where pure acceleration matters most regardless of running style. This tactical scramble could favour any horse with a sharp turn of foot.

VivianaCreative QueenSecret HarvestReigning Queen

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Creative Queen must prove she can repel late challenges after setting her own fractions for most of the journey

WATCH

Butterfly Beach faces fitness concerns after nearly six months off the track despite her tactical advantage

NOTE

Secret Harvest represents the biggest unknown factor with no form guide to assess her likely impact on race dynamics

WATCH

The lack of genuine pace pressure could result in a slowly-run affair that becomes a pure sprint finish

NOTE

Viviana's prominent style could see her caught between the leader and closers if the pace becomes tactical

4:28 — AKS Skip Hire Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Shimmering Spin to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Physique led; the map had Shimmering Spin in front.

Beagle Bay won at 1.83 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shimmering Spin

Prominent · 3

PhysiquePotomac RiverNoble Guest

Midfield · 2

AnthropologistBerry Clever

Hold Up · 3

Believe The StormBeagle BayFifty Nifty

Shimmering Spin is the lone confirmed front-runner and will dictate a sustainable early gallop without pressure from gate to home. With Physique, Potomac River, and Noble Guest sitting prominent but unlikely to challenge for the lead, the pace will be honest but not destructive. The majority field - Beagle Bay, Fifty Nifty, Berry Clever, Anthropologist, and the absent Believe The Storm - are all hold-up merchants who will be tracking from midfield and beyond. This tactical setup creates a perfect storm for closers, as the uncontested leader will face a wall of finishers in the straight with superior finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Closers Swamp Leader

65% probability

If the hold-up horses get the right splits and momentum turning for home

Shimmering Spin's lack of pace pressure early means the closing brigade gets ideal racing conditions with a sitting target to reel in. The sheer weight of numbers (six hold-up runners) means several will get clear runs to overhaul the tiring leader.

Berry CleverAnthropologistBeagle BayFifty Nifty

Prominent Horses Strike

20% probability

If Physique or Noble Guest can secure ideal positions behind the leader without using energy

The prominently-raced pair get first run on the weakening Shimmering Spin while the hold-up horses are still finding their stride. Their tactical advantage of racing closer allows them to capitalize before the back-markers arrive.

PhysiqueNoble GuestPotomac RiverShimmering Spin

Leader Wires Field

10% probability

If Shimmering Spin gets soft sectionals and kicks clear turning for home

The uncontested front-runner builds an unassailable advantage through gentle early fractions then finds another gear when it matters. The hold-up horses are left with too much ground to make up despite their superior finishing speed.

Shimmering SpinPhysiqueNoble GuestBerry Clever

Pace Collapses Completely

5% probability

If Shimmering Spin goes too slow early and the race becomes a sprint from the 2f pole

The entire field converges in a bunch finish where the best horse on the day prevails regardless of tactics. Class and current form become the decisive factors rather than running style advantages.

Noble GuestBerry CleverAnthropologistPhysique

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Shimmering Spin could steal this if given ridiculously soft fractions with no pace pressure from the prominent horses

WATCH

Noble Guest and Physique must be watched for early tactical positioning as they hold the key to pressuring the leader

NOTE

Berry Clever's 3lb weight advantage with the apprentice could prove decisive in a tight finish between the closers

WATCH

Track any hold-up horses getting trapped on the rail turning for home as clear running room will be crucial

NOTE

Beagle Bay's class advantage may tell if the Beckett runner gets the clean passage his style demands

5:03 — Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Victor Cee to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Staniel Cay and Grey Horizon led; the map had Victor Cee in front.

U S S Charleston won at 6.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Victor Cee

Prominent · 3

Koffee And KaleGrey HorizonLoleeta

Midfield · 2

U S S CharlestonStaniel Cay

Hold Up · 1

London Is Blue

Victor Cee will take this race up as the sole confirmed leader, with Koffee And Kale, U S S Charleston, Staniel Cay, Grey Horizon, and Loleeta all prominent racers likely to track him closely in the early stages. With five prominent runners and only one hold-up horse (London Is Blue), this creates a compressed field behind Victor Cee over this minimum trip. The pace should be reasonable rather than fierce given Victor Cee won't face immediate pressure, but the sheer weight of numbers tracking means the race will quicken sharply from the 2f pole. This race shape favours horses with tactical speed who can position prominently and finish, as London Is Blue faces a near-impossible task from the rear in a small field over 5f.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Controlled Front End

45% probability

If Victor Cee dictates fractions without serious early pressure

The leader gets first run and the prominent pack has to come around him late, but the response may come too late over this sharp trip. Front-running tactics prove most effective when the pace isn't collapsed.

Victor CeeStaniel CayKoffee And KaleU S S Charleston

Prominent Surge

30% probability

If the prominent runners apply gradual pressure to Victor Cee from halfway

The pace lifts steadily and those with the best tactical speed can strike approaching the final furlong, overwhelming the leader. Superior class tells in the closing stages.

Staniel CayKoffee And KaleVictor CeeU S S Charleston

Early Positioning Battle

15% probability

If multiple prominent runners jostle for position behind Victor Cee early

The pace quickens sooner than ideal and those who secure the smoothest passage gain a decisive advantage. Racing room becomes crucial in the final 2f.

U S S CharlestonKoffee And KaleStaniel CayLoleeta

Hold-Up Challenge

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely in the first 3f

London Is Blue gets the perfect setup to unleash a sustained finish from the rear, catching the field napping. The prominent runners pay for conservative early positioning.

London Is BlueStaniel CayVictor CeeKoffee And Kale

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Victor Cee's early fractions will determine if he can sustain or gets swamped by superior pace

WATCH

London Is Blue's position after 2f will reveal if there's any realistic hope from the rear

NOTE

U S S Charleston's response to the step back to 5f after recent 6f efforts

WATCH

Staniel Cay's ability to secure clean passage given the weight of prominent runners

NOTE

Grey Horizon's headgear change impact given disappointing recent running

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 13 May 2026.

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