Archive›Yarmouth · 20 May 2026

Yarmouth

20 May 2026 · 6 races

✓ Historic — full access

Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

5:35 — British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Soft · NOV · 11 runners

Havana Grey Star likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Havana Lightning led; the map had Havana Grey Star in front.

Havana Lightning won at 4.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Havana Grey Star

Prominent · 2

Sea Of SardiniaMinnie Bear

Midfield · 5

Sydney GraceHarlequin SkyHalliwell StreamAlpaca's BulletPersian Sunset

Hold Up · 3

Havana SpriteHavana LightningSable Island

Havana Grey Star and Minnie Bear are the only confirmed early pace angles, with Sea Of Sardinia also likely to show some speed from her prominent style. This creates a very modest pace scenario in a field dominated by hold-up types like Havana Sprite, Havana Lightning, and Sable Island, plus several unknown debutants. The lack of genuine speed will result in a steady gallop that builds into a sprint finish over the final two furlongs. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can position close to the pace without pressure, as the hold-up horses will face a wall of horses when the race develops.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Runners Dominate

60% probability

If the modest early pace plays out as expected with Havana Grey Star and Minnie Bear setting uncontested fractions

The lack of pressure allows prominent runners to save energy for a sustained finish while hold-up types get caught in traffic. Horses positioned within the first half of the field turn this into a tactical battle where class and positioning trump pure finishing speed.

Havana Grey StarSydney GraceHalliwell StreamHarlequin Sky

Debutant Breakthrough

20% probability

If one of the Chapple-Hyam newcomers Halliwell Stream or Harlequin Sky shows natural early speed

The addition of extra pace stretches the field more than expected, creating gaps for talented newcomers with unknown ability. The 140,000gns price tag on Halliwell Stream suggests significant ability that could overwhelm this modest field.

Halliwell StreamHarlequin SkySydney GraceHavana Grey Star

Hold-Up Horses Rally

12% probability

If jockeys get creative and the pace becomes even more sedate than anticipated

The crawling gallop allows patient hold-up types like Havana Sprite and Havana Lightning to overcome positioning disadvantages. De Sousa on Halliwell Stream and Spencer on Havana Grey Star may contribute to a tactical crawl that suits closers.

Havana SpriteHavana LightningPersian SunsetSable Island

Pace Collapse Sprint

8% probability

If Minnie Bear and Sea Of Sardinia both fade as expected, leaving only Havana Grey Star to make the running

The complete absence of pace pressure creates a mad dash over the final furlong where any horse with a turn of foot can win. This chaos scenario opens the door for long shots with unknown finishing kicks.

Persian SunsetSable IslandAlpaca's BulletHavana Sprite

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for market moves on Halliwell Stream and Harlequin Sky as Chapple-Hyam debutants often improve dramatically from their first appearances

WATCH

Monitor how aggressively Spencer positions Havana Grey Star early, as her difficult ride tendency could resurface under pressure

NOTE

Observe whether Minnie Bear and Sea Of Sardinia show improved focus after disappointing debuts, as their early positioning will dictate pace development

WATCH

Check if any hold-up horses get trapped wide or behind the modest pace, as positioning will be crucial in this tactical affair

NOTE

Watch for signs of greenness from the four debutants, as inexperience could lead to costly positioning errors in a race lacking natural pace

6:10 — British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Soft · NOV · 8 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

6:40 — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

1m2f · Soft · HCAP · 8 runners

Law Supreme likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Goldie Trickett and Dream Pirate and Special Breeze led; the map had Law Supreme in front.

Jack Sparowe won at 10.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Law Supreme

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 6

SolannaDream PirateGoldie TrickettSpecial BreezeJack SparoweUrban Warrior

Hold Up · 1

King's Hand

Law Supreme is the only confirmed front runner in this field of hold-up specialists, giving him a tactical advantage to dictate terms without pressure. With seven hold-up horses likely to settle behind, the pace will be steady through the early stages before quickening from the 3f pole as the pack closes in. The soft going will emphasize stamina and those who can stay on strongly, while the lack of early pace means positioning will be crucial turning for home. This race shape strongly favors front runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic problems that will emerge in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Law Supreme Controls

45% probability

If Law Supreme gets an uncontested lead and travels well into the straight

He can dictate fractions and kick clear when the field closes, while the hold-up horses get caught in traffic behind. His recent good form and Billy Loughnane's return booking suggest connections expect him to exploit this tactical edge.

Law SupremeKing's HandDream PirateJack Sparowe

Hold-Up Traffic Jam

30% probability

If the large pack of hold-up horses creates significant interference in the straight

Several contenders will get blocked runs while one or two find clear passages to strike late. The soft ground will help stamina-laden horses who stay on strongest through the chaos.

Dream PirateJack SparoweSolannaSpecial Breeze

King's Hand Moves Early

15% probability

If King's Hand or another hold-up horse positions more prominently than usual to avoid traffic

They can track Law Supreme's pace and have first run on him turning in, capitalizing on better positioning. This breaks up the traditional hold-up pack and creates cleaner racing.

King's HandGoldie TrickettLaw SupremeUrban Warrior

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Law Supreme goes too slowly early and gets swamped by the entire field straightening up

The race becomes a messy sprint finish where the best turn of foot wins regardless of ground or stamina. Fresh horses with class will prevail over those relying on tactical advantages.

Goldie TrickettSpecial BreezeUrban WarriorDream Pirate

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Law Supreme's early fractions - if he goes too fast early he'll empty out, too slow and he gets swamped by the pack

WATCH

Dream Pirate's jumping and alertness after 32 days off - needs to be sharp from the gates to get a good position

WATCH

Traffic problems turning for home with seven hold-up horses likely bunched together entering the straight

NOTE

Goldie Trickett's behavior in the hood for the second time - any signs of settling better than previous runs

NOTE

Jack Sparowe's start - his tendency to be slowly away could be fatal in a race where positioning is crucial

7:10 — Get Raceday Ready Handicap

1m6f · Soft · HCAP · 6 runners

Relocal likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Golden Garden led; the map had Relocal in front.

Iwantmytimewithyou won at 2.62 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Relocal

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 4

BetelgeuseIwantmytimewithyouSaratoga GoldDereham

Hold Up · 1

Golden Garden

Relocal is the only confirmed front-runner in this small field and will be allowed to dictate terms from the front without pressure. The remaining five runners (Saratoga Gold, Golden Garden, Betelgeuse, Dereham, Iwantmytimewithyou) all show hold-up tendencies, creating a tactical nightmare with no pace pressure. Relocal can steal significant lengths in the middle stages before the hold-up brigade organise their challenges. This race shape strongly favours the front-runner and any horse that can race closer to the pace than usual.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Relocal Gets Away

45% probability

If Relocal jumps out smartly and the hold-up horses are slow to respond early

Relocal builds an unassailable lead through the middle sections while the pack waits too long to challenge. The front-runner's early advantage proves decisive when the closers finally mount their efforts.

RelocalBetelgeuseIwantmytimewithyouSaratoga Gold

Late Surge Prevails

30% probability

If the hold-up horses time their runs perfectly despite the lack of pace

The patient tactics pay off as stronger finishers benefit from the slower tempo and kick clear in the final furlong. Relocal's early advantage gets reeled in by superior class.

BetelgeuseIwantmytimewithyouSaratoga GoldGolden Garden

Dereham's Experience Tells

15% probability

If the veteran's stamina and course knowledge overcome the tactical disadvantage

Dereham uses his 244-day break positively and his proven ability at this trip to outbattle rivals in a messy finish. The 10-year-old's racecraft compensates for the lack of early pace.

DerehamRelocalBetelgeuseSaratoga Gold

Pace Collapse Scramble

10% probability

If multiple horses make premature moves creating a stop-start rhythm

The tactical race becomes a lottery with horses getting in each other's way and the finish turning into a sprint. Whoever finds the clearest run and quickest turn of foot prevails.

Golden GardenIwantmytimewithyouSaratoga GoldBetelgeuse

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Relocal must jump alertly to capitalise on his tactical advantage before the field realises the pace deficit

WATCH

Watch for any hold-up horse positioned closer than usual early as they could steal Relocal's tactical edge

WATCH

Dereham's fitness after 244-day layoff is crucial given his low weight advantage could be decisive

NOTE

Billy Loughnane's tactics on Iwantmytimewithyou may be more aggressive than usual given the pace scenario

NOTE

Golden Garden's hurdles-to-flat switch under different connections adds uncertainty to his likely tactics

7:40 — Download The At The Races App Handicap

1m · Soft · HCAP · 10 runners

Ribston Pippin likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Cezarro led; the map had Ribston Pippin in front.

Tilani won at 3.12 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ribston Pippin

Prominent · 1

Charming Fellow

Midfield · 5

TilaniPoke The BearHavana TobouggalooLastchancezouloonCezarro

Hold Up · 3

KamawayTimely AffairEmery Down

Ribston Pippin sits as the sole confirmed front-runner with Charming Fellow the only other prominent runner, creating a genuine pace collapse scenario at Yarmouth. The absence of genuine pace angles means Ribston Pippin can dictate terms uncontested through steady fractions, while the massed ranks of hold-up horses including Kamaway, Tilani, Timely Affair and Havana Tobouggaloo will be bunched behind him. This tactical setup heavily favours the front two who can steal a march, while the hold-up brigade face a traffic-laden sprint finish. The pace dynamic strongly favours prominent runners and those with tactical speed to position early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Two Dominate

45% probability

If Ribston Pippin and Charming Fellow get soft fractions uncontested

They build an unassailable lead while the hold-up horses are caught flat-footed in a slowly-run race that becomes a sprint too late. The front pair have every chance to hold on with their positional advantage.

Ribston PippinCharming FellowTilaniKamaway

Strong Closer Prevails

30% probability

If one hold-up horse gets a dream run through the pack

Despite the pace collapse, a well-positioned closer with superior class finds gaps and timing to reel in the leaders in the final furlong. Superior recent form tells.

TilaniKamawayTimely AffairHavana Tobouggaloo

Timely Affair Class

15% probability

If Timely Affair can overcome his tactical disadvantage with superior ability

His recent defeat of Ribston Pippin gives him a form edge that overcomes the pace bias, finding late gaps to reverse Southwell form. Class conquers tactics.

Timely AffairTilaniKamawayRibston Pippin

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Ribston Pippin goes too slowly and gets swamped late

The singular leader crawls through moderate fractions allowing the entire field to challenge together in a blanket finish. Any horse with a turn of foot can capitalize.

Havana TobouggalooPoke The BearEmery DownCezarro

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch for Ribston Pippin and Charming Fellow building decisive leads if uncontested through soft fractions

WATCH

Monitor Tilani's positioning turning for home as recent Newbury winner needs clear run from back

NOTE

Track Timely Affair's early position as hold-up style contradicts his form advantage over Ribston Pippin

WATCH

Observe if Kamaway can overcome tactical disadvantage despite strong recent C&D winning form

NOTE

Check Silvestre De Sousa's positioning on Poke The Bear as he returns to less-favored turf surface

8:10 — Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap

7f · Soft · HCAP · 11 runners

Chilly Breeze to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Uppercase and Giorgio M led; the map had Chilly Breeze in front.

Berry Clever won at 3.25 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Chilly Breeze

Prominent · 4

Ziggy's CondorTactical PlanNoble GuestGiorgio M

Midfield · 3

Berry CleverWelljudgedMiddleton View

Hold Up · 3

Tennessee GoldRogue AllegianceUppercase

Chilly Breeze will dictate from the front with no other confirmed leaders, setting a sustainable gallop on the soft ground. Giorgio and Tactical Plan will track closely in the prominent positions, while Noble Guest may also press forward given his style. The lack of early pace pressure means Chilly Breeze can control sectionals, but this creates a tactical race where positioning at the turn becomes crucial. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track the pace and strike turning for home, as the single leader creates no burn-up scenario to soften up the front division.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Prominent Strike Gold

45% probability

If the prominent runners get first run on Chilly Breeze approaching the final furlong

The soft ground and controlled pace allows trackers to quicken decisively when they make their moves. Giorgio and Tactical Plan are perfectly positioned to exploit this, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground from too far back.

GiorgioTactical PlanNoble GuestZiggy's Condor

Leader Stays Strong

25% probability

If Chilly Breeze maintains his gallop and the prominent division fails to quicken decisively

The controlled sectionals and long absence work in the leader's favour as fitness tells late. Berry Clever's recent C&D second shows these conditions suit, and he can pick up the pieces if the pace collapses.

Chilly BreezeBerry CleverTactical PlanGiorgio

Hold-Up Horse Surge

20% probability

If the pace becomes truly dawdling and allows the back markers time to wind up

Tennessee Gold and Welljudged get the strong tempo they need from the back, with their class telling in a sprint finish. The soft ground aids their late kick as the prominent division ties up after tracking too closely.

Tennessee GoldWelljudgedRogue AllegianceBerry Clever

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If Chilly Breeze goes too slowly and creates a stop-start race with multiple moves

The race becomes a tactical mess where any horse in the right position at the right time can capitalise. Ziggy's Condor's experience and Noble Guest's versatility could prove decisive in a scramble.

Noble GuestZiggy's CondorUppercaseMiddleton View

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Chilly Breeze faces significant fitness concerns after 279 days off with an inexperienced jockey who may misjudge the pace

WATCH

Tennessee Gold and other hold-up horses could be compromised if the controlled early pace becomes too sedate for their running style

NOTE

Giorgio represents the in-form Loughnane stable and looks the natural beneficiary if the race unfolds as expected

WATCH

Noble Guest carries a 3lb claimer in what could become a tactically demanding race requiring mature judgment

NOTE

Berry Clever's recent C&D form makes him the standout danger if the prominent division fails to deliver

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 20 May 2026.

Tonight’s free races, in your inbox

Every free race on the card, mapped in full: how each should be run, who is likely to lead, and where every runner is expected to race. One email a morning. No tips, no selections.

One email a day. Unsubscribe whenever. Every race, every meeting →