Archive›Yarmouth · 21 April 2026

Yarmouth

21 April 2026 · 7 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:00 — British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

2:35 — Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

1m3½f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Brilliant Star likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Brilliant Star and Fanciulla Del West led, as the map showed.

Brilliant Star won at 1.22 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Brilliant Star

Prominent · 1

Fanciulla Del West

Midfield · 2

KenkellyClarissa Eclipse

Hold Up · 2

Millie's A MinxClose To Me

Brilliant Star will break forward from her prominent style and establish the early lead, with Fanciulla Del West likely to track closely behind in second. The pace will be genuinely run but sustainable at this staying trip, as neither front-runner faces serious early pressure from the small field. Hold-up horses Millie's A Minx and Close To Me will settle at the back, relying on the strong pace to set up their finishing kicks. This genuine pace over 1m3½f clearly favors closers and hold-up performers who can unleash late runs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Strong Pace Favors Closers

55% probability

If Brilliant Star and Fanciulla Del West duel early and maintain a solid gallop throughout

The sustained pace will stretch the field and tire the early leaders, allowing hold-up horses to close strongly in the final furlong. Millie's A Minx and any newcomers with stamina can capitalize on the strong foundation pace.

Millie's A MinxKenkellyClarissa EclipseFanciulla Del West

Brilliant Star Wire-to-Wire

25% probability

If Brilliant Star gets loose on the lead without serious early pressure

She can dictate comfortable fractions and kick clear when the pace lifts, making it difficult for closers to reel her in. The Gosden training and class edge becomes decisive in a tactical affair.

Brilliant StarFanciulla Del WestKenkellyClarissa Eclipse

Newcomer Surprise Package

12% probability

If either Kenkelly or Clarissa Eclipse shows significant improvement from their connections

The lightly-raced newcomers benefit from the strong pace setup and produce debuts that exceed market expectations. Their fresh legs and potential pedigree advantages come to the fore.

KenkellyClarissa EclipseBrilliant StarMillie's A Minx

Fanciulla Del West Upset

8% probability

If the Ed Walker filly builds on her encouraging Newcastle form and handles the step up

She can track Brilliant Star's pace and prove strongest in the closing stages, with her previous course experience providing a crucial edge. The 5lb claim from Ashley Lewis adds extra value.

Fanciulla Del WestBrilliant StarKenkellyMillie's A Minx

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Brilliant Star could get loose on the lead if Fanciulla Del West doesn't press early, making her very difficult to catch

WATCH

Both newcomers Kenkelly and Clarissa Eclipse are complete unknowns but carry strong pedigree credentials from top connections

WATCH

Millie's A Minx needs major improvement after dire previous form but the step up to 1m3½f could unlock hidden stamina

NOTE

Track the early pace battle between Brilliant Star and Fanciulla Del West as it will dictate the entire race shape

NOTE

Good to firm ground conditions favor all runners with no specific going concerns in this field

3:10 — Get Raceday Ready Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Pantile's Gift likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Heated Moment led; the map had Pantile's Gift in front.

Room Fourteen won at 3.75 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pantile's Gift

Prominent · 3

King Of BerkshireIzz'nt She HotKokushoku

Midfield · 2

BoilermakerHeated Moment

Hold Up · 3

Crimson RamblerJoyful LawyerRoom Fourteen

Pantile's Gift is the sole confirmed front runner and will dictate terms from the rail, likely to get an uncontested lead with the next closest early pace being the prominent runners King Of Berkshire, Izz'nt She Hot, and Kokushoku. This creates a moderate gallop rather than a searching test, with the field bunched behind the leader through the early stages. The majority of the field consists of hold-up horses (Room Fourteen, Joyful Lawyer, Heated Moment, Crimson Rambler) who will need the pace to collapse late. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners who can track the leader and kick when the tempo lifts, as they won't need to rely on a strong gallop to bring back front runners.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Dominates

45% probability

If Pantile's Gift gets soft sectionals on the front end

The leader maintains his recent winning form with minimal pressure, controlling the race from pillar to post while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground on the moderate pace. His recent Newcastle win suggests he can sustain a gallop over this trip when not pressured early.

Pantile's GiftKing Of BerkshireIzz'nt She HotKokushoku

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If the early pace is genuine enough to set up the race

King Of Berkshire or Izz'nt She Hot can track Pantile's Gift closely before producing a finishing kick in the final two furlongs. The Gosden-trained Izz'nt She Hot particularly appeals with her consistent form and the booking of apprentice Catton suggesting confidence.

Izz'nt She HotKing Of BerkshireKokushokuPantile's Gift

Hold-Up Horse Rallies

15% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely testing and collapses

The searching gallop brings Crimson Rambler or Room Fourteen into contention from off the pace as the early leaders tire. Crimson Rambler's recent good form in blinkers and ability to finish strongly makes him the most likely beneficiary of this scenario.

Crimson RamblerRoom FourteenJoyful LawyerPantile's Gift

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Pantile's Gift goes very slowly and kicks clear late

The leader gets such soft fractions that he can quicken away from the field in the straight, leaving both prominent and hold-up horses struggling to respond. This suits only the leader who can control and then accelerate when ready.

Pantile's GiftIzz'nt She HotKing Of BerkshireCrimson Rambler

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Pantile's Gift if he gets an easy lead through moderate fractions - could prove very hard to peg back with his current winning momentum

WATCH

Izz'nt She Hot for market support given Gosden's 9/28 strike rate and the confident jockey booking despite the apprentice's claim

NOTE

Early pace development between Pantile's Gift and the prominent group - if they go too steadily it will compromise the hold-up horses' chances

WATCH

Crimson Rambler for his finishing kick if the pace is genuine - his recent AW wins show he's in good form and this longer trip should suit

NOTE

Weather conditions at Yarmouth as Good to Firm ground throughout the card may play against hold-up horses who prefer more cut in the ground

3:45 — Infobond Technical Manpower Services Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

My Mate Kev to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

My Mate Kev led, as the map showed.

Caragio won at 4.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

My Mate Kev

Prominent · 2

IronistDark Side Thunder

Midfield · 1

Fenlander

Hold Up · 2

Bill PlumbCaragio

My Mate Kev will take this field along as the sole confirmed front runner, setting what should be a sustainable pace without significant early pressure from the small field. Dark Side Thunder and Ironist are likely to track prominently behind the leader, while Fenlander may also press forward given his prominent style. The hold-up horses Bill Plumb and Caragio will need to rely on the pace being strong enough to come from behind, but with limited early speed this looks unlikely to develop into a searching gallop. This race shape strongly favours prominent runners and the leader, as the lack of pace pressure should allow those near the front to kick clear in the final two furlongs.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Sustainable Pace Holds

45% probability

If My Mate Kev gets an uncontested lead and the pace stays manageable

The leader and prominent trackers will have too much in reserve for the hold-up horses to peg back. Those positioned within three lengths at halfway will dominate the finish.

My Mate KevDark Side ThunderIronistFenlander

Front Rank Duel

30% probability

If Dark Side Thunder or Ironist press My Mate Kev from early and create genuine pace

The increased gallop will set up the race perfectly for Fenlander to deliver his finishing kick from just behind. The early leaders may pay for their exertions in the final furlong.

FenlanderIronistMy Mate KevDark Side Thunder

Hold-Up Success

15% probability

If the pace becomes surprisingly strong with multiple horses contesting the early running

Bill Plumb and Caragio will benefit from the stronger gallop as gaps open up ahead of them. Both have shown they can finish strongly when the race develops to suit.

Bill PlumbCaragioFenlanderIronist

Pace Collapse

10% probability

If My Mate Kev goes very slowly early and no one wants to take him on

The race becomes a sprint from the three-furlong pole where class and recent form matter most. Whoever has the most natural speed will prevail in a bunched finish.

IronistFenlanderDark Side ThunderMy Mate Kev

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

My Mate Kev could get an uncontested lead and prove very difficult to pass if allowed to dictate terms completely

WATCH

Ironist returns from a long absence but has strong course form and could be primed for a big run fresh

NOTE

Fenlander's positioning early will be crucial as he needs to be close enough if the pace stays moderate

WATCH

Bill Plumb requires a strong pace to be effective but may struggle to get into contention from too far back

NOTE

The lack of natural pace-forcers behind My Mate Kev could create a tactical race that suits those who lead or press

4:20 — Seadell Shops & Chalets At Hemsby Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

Ocean Of Storms to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Angel Summer led; the map had Ocean Of Storms in front.

Space Bear won at 3.75 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Ocean Of Storms

Prominent · 3

Eyes FrontArgy BhajiWild Rosie

Midfield · 2

EightthreeoneAngel Summer

Hold Up · 2

Space BearLove Alive

Ocean Of Storms stands alone as the sole confirmed front runner in this field, setting up a sustainable pace scenario with minimal early pressure. The prominent runners Argy Bhaji, Eyes Front and Wild Rosie will settle just behind but are unlikely to challenge Ocean Of Storms for the early lead. With five hold-up horses including Eightthreeone, Space Bear, Angel Summer and Love Alive, the race sets up as a classic pace collapse scenario where the leaders get soft fractions. This race shape strongly favours the early pace and prominent runners who can avoid traffic problems and benefit from uncontested fractions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Lead Holds

45% probability

If Ocean Of Storms gets easy fractions without pressure from the prominent trio

Ocean Of Storms faces no early challenge and dictates comfortable splits, while the hold-up brigade gets strung out behind with limited room to manoeuvre in the straight. The lack of pace pressure allows the leader and prominent runners to dominate the finish.

Ocean Of StormsArgy BhajiEyes FrontWild Rosie

Prominent Pounce Late

30% probability

If Argy Bhaji or Eyes Front track the leader perfectly and time their challenge

The prominent runners get the ideal trip tracking Ocean Of Storms' modest gallop, then have enough left to collar the leader in the final furlong. Their superior recent form and fitness edge tells when it matters.

Argy BhajiEyes FrontOcean Of StormsSpace Bear

Hold-Up Hero Emerges

15% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong with prominent runners pressuring Ocean Of Storms

A faster pace stretches the field and creates gaps for the hold-up horses to exploit down the outside. Eightthreeone's recent win and Space Bear's consistency could pay dividends if they get clear sailing.

EightthreeoneSpace BearAngel SummerLove Alive

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Ocean Of Storms goes very slowly and bunches the entire field

The race becomes a sprint finish with all eight runners in contention turning for home. Traffic problems and hard luck stories dominate as horses with early pace positioning maintain crucial advantages despite the slow tempo.

Wild RosieOcean Of StormsEyes FrontArgy Bhaji

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Ocean Of Storms could steal this if allowed uncontested fractions with no pace pressure from behind

WATCH

Traffic problems likely in straight with five hold-up horses needing room simultaneously

NOTE

Argy Bhaji and Eyes Front both need to break smartly to secure ideal tracking positions

WATCH

Wild Rosie's 175-day absence creates fitness doubts despite tactical advantage

NOTE

Space Bear requires genuine pace up front to be effective from hold-up position

4:55 — AKS Skip Hire Services Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 12 runners

Shimmering Spin to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Shimmering Spin led, as the map showed.

Philanthropist won at 7.00 — raced midfield, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 11 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shimmering Spin

Prominent · 3

MiletusDashing DickCaptain Parma

Midfield · 4

GrabajabbaMan Of DesertMister MojitoRogue Allegiance

Hold Up · 4

PhilanthropistGorgeous Mr GeorgeDocumentingCandonomore

Shimmering Spin is the sole confirmed front-runner and will dictate terms from the outset, likely getting an uncontested lead with Dashing Dick, Captain Parma and Miletus settling just behind in prominent positions. The large field of hold-up horses including Grabajabba, Philanthropist, Candonomore, Mister Mojito, Gorgeous Mr George, Documenting, Man Of Desert and Rogue Allegiance will be bunched towards the rear, creating traffic problems in the straight. With minimal early pace pressure, Shimmering Spin can control the tempo and kick for home, while the prominently-raced horses get first run on the pack behind. This race shape strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can avoid the inevitable traffic jam from the turn.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner

45% probability

If Shimmering Spin gets an easy lead and isn't pressed early

The pace will be moderate allowing the leader to conserve energy and kick clear in the straight while the field bunches behind. Hold-up horses will struggle to make ground through traffic with only 2f to play with.

Shimmering SpinDashing DickCaptain ParmaMiletus

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Dashing Dick or Miletus track the leader closely and pounce late

The front pair will dominate while the hold-up brigade gets caught in traffic turning for home. Prominent horses get first run and can collar a weakening leader.

MiletusDashing DickCaptain ParmaShimmering Spin

Hold-Up Hero Threading

15% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong or traffic clears unexpectedly

One of the better hold-up horses finds clear water and superior class tells in a sustained finish. The front-runners have gone too hard or traffic opens up.

GrabajabbaPhilanthropistGorgeous Mr GeorgeMister Mojito

Chaos Traffic Jam

10% probability

If the field compresses badly turning for home with multiple horses blocked

The race becomes a lottery with positioning crucial and several fancied runners unable to get clear runs. An unfancied runner who gets luck in running could capitalise.

CandonomoreRogue AllegianceMan Of DesertDocumenting

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Shimmering Spin getting an uncontested lead could prove decisive with no other natural pace in this race

WATCH

Traffic problems turning for home will be severe with 9 hold-up horses likely bunched together at the rear

NOTE

Dashing Dick and Miletus as the prominent racers are best placed tactically to strike from just behind the leader

WATCH

The 171-day absence for Dashing Dick raises fitness concerns despite his ideal racing position

NOTE

Grabajabba and Philanthropist need the pace to collapse or significant traffic luck to be competitive from hold-up positions

5:25 — Mark Sumner Golf Supplies Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Very Demure likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Three Builders and Regal And Real led; the map had Very Demure in front.

Lucky Sevens won at 11.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Very Demure

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 6

Ibiza LightsLady Of CloverAkrivosRegal And RealPoetic GraceLucky Sevens

Hold Up · 3

Three BuildersShe's CraftySerragasso

Very Demure will be the only sustained front runner in this field of predominantly hold-up horses, setting an uncontested lead from the rail. With eight of the ten runners preferring to settle behind and only one prominent runner, the pace will be steady and sustainable through the early stages. This creates a tactical advantage for horses that can travel kindly in the early positions, as Very Demure is unlikely to be pressed hard enough to compromise her stamina. The race shape strongly favours prominent racers and those hold-up horses with proven tactical speed, as they'll benefit from the solid gallop without facing a punishing early pace.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Front Runner

45% probability

If Very Demure jumps well and establishes an easy lead without pressure

Her sustainable pace allows her to kick clear turning in, while the hold-up brigade gets in each other's way behind. The cheekpieces and step back to 1m from longer trips could unlock improvement for Hollie Doyle's mount.

Very DemureShe's CraftyLady Of CloverAkrivos

Late Charge Prevails

30% probability

If the pace becomes too steady and Very Demure stops in the final furlong

The hold-up horses get a perfect stalking trip and unleash their finishing kicks simultaneously. She's Crafty and Lady Of Clover benefit most from their recent form and tactical speed.

She's CraftyLady Of CloverAkrivosThree Builders

Pace Collapses Early

15% probability

If Very Demure goes too fast early or gets headed before halfway

The race becomes a sprint finish where the freshest horses with natural speed prevail. Three Builders benefits from the long absence and gelding operation, while others tire from tactical positioning.

Three BuildersShe's CraftyVery DemureLady Of Clover

Tactical Nightmare

10% probability

If Very Demure is slowly away or refuses to lead, creating a crawling pace

With no natural leader, the race becomes a tactical mess with stop-start fractions. The most experienced tactical riders like De Sousa and Mitchell can navigate the chaos better than the 3lb claimer.

Lucky SevensShe's CraftyAkrivosRegal And Real

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Very Demure's jumping from stall 1 - if she's slowly away, the entire pace dynamic collapses

WATCH

She's Crafty and Lady Of Clover getting prominent early positions - they need to avoid getting drawn into pace battles

NOTE

Three Builders' market support given the long layoff and gelding - any confidence would be significant

WATCH

Connor Planas (3lb claimer) navigating the tactical demands with Poetic Grace against experienced riders

NOTE

Any of the hold-up horses showing early speed in the paddock - suggests connections want them closer to the pace

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 21 April 2026.

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