Archive›Yarmouth · 28 April 2026

Yarmouth

28 April 2026 · 7 races

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2:12 — Follow @attheraces On X Apprentice Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Mr Ubiquitous likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Me Tarzan led; the map had Mr Ubiquitous in front.

Me Tarzan won at 4.50 — led, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Mr Ubiquitous

Prominent · 1

Noble Guest

Midfield · 2

Me TarzanDancing Terror

Hold Up · 2

Diamont KatieWay To Dubai

Mr Ubiquitous will be the dominant pace-setter from the gates with his prominent style, likely getting an uncontested lead given the lack of other confirmed front runners. Me Tarzan and Noble Guest may press from prominent positions early but both have shown they can settle, while Diamont Katie, Way To Dubai and Dancing Terror will need to be produced from off the pace. The single pace angle creates a tactical race where Mr Ubiquitous controls the tempo completely. This race shape strongly favours the front runner and prominent racers who can track the pace, as the hold-up horses face the difficult task of making up ground against a horse that can dictate fractions.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Ubiquitous Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Mr Ubiquitous gets his preferred steady fractions and isn't pressured early

He dictates a sustainable pace that suits his stamina reserves and kicks clear in the final furlong when the hold-up horses have too much to do. The prominent runners Me Tarzan and Noble Guest benefit from tracking the pace but can't match his finishing kick.

Mr UbiquitousMe TarzanNoble GuestDiamont Katie

Prominent Pressure Cooker

30% probability

If Me Tarzan or Noble Guest press Mr Ubiquitous from the start creating faster fractions

The increased pace compromises Mr Ubiquitous's stamina advantage and sets up the race for the hold-up horses to close strongly. Diamont Katie's proven finishing speed becomes the decisive factor in a fast-run race.

Diamont KatieWay To DubaiMr UbiquitousMe Tarzan

Noble Guest Comeback Special

15% probability

If Noble Guest shows his best form after the 189-day break and travels strongly throughout

His class advantage tells as he produces his peak 7f form to outgun the field in the closing stages. The long absence proves beneficial rather than detrimental with George Margarson having him spot-on for return.

Noble GuestMr UbiquitousMe TarzanDiamont Katie

Dancing Terror Surprise Package

10% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes a sprint finish from the 2f pole

His hold-up style proves perfect for a slowly-run tactical affair where raw finishing speed matters most. Amanda Perrett's horse finds the improvement needed to capitalize on a gift pace scenario.

Dancing TerrorDiamont KatieWay To DubaiMr Ubiquitous

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Mr Ubiquitous's early fractions will determine the entire race outcome - if he goes too fast early he becomes vulnerable

WATCH

Noble Guest's fitness after 189 days off the track is the major unknown factor that could upset all calculations

NOTE

Diamont Katie's penalty for last week's win may not be enough to stop her if the pace sets up right for closers

WATCH

Me Tarzan's ability to lay up close enough to Mr Ubiquitous without getting into an early speed duel

NOTE

Way To Dubai needs a genuine strong pace to be competitive given his advancing years and recent moderate form

2:47 — Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Good · CLS4 · 6 runners

Lead contested: Nevasca Cinza v FirewalkerHISTORIC

How it ran

Creative Queen and Firewalker led, as the map showed.

Izzy Fast won at 51.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up.

1 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Nevasca CinzaFirewalker

Prominent · 1

Shining Guest

Midfield · 1

Unique Procedure

Hold Up · 2

Creative QueenIzzy Fast

Nevasca Cinza and Firewalker will engage from the gates in this small field, with Nevasca Cinza showing more consistent early pace on recent form. Shining Guest may press from a prominent position but lacks recent action, leaving the two leaders to set a solid tempo over this sharp 6f trip. The small field and dual pace angle suggests a sustained gallop rather than stop-start fractions. This race shape favours horses with tactical speed who can position close to the pace, as the likely honest tempo will stretch the field and expose pure hold-up horses.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Nevasca Cinza Controls

45% probability

If Nevasca Cinza breaks cleanly and dictates terms from the front

The consistent front-runner gets first run on proven form and holds off late challenges in a race that suits her forward-going style. Her recent placings at this trip on similar ground give her the tactical edge over less proven rivals.

Nevasca CinzaFirewalkerCreative QueenShining Guest

Firewalker Bounces Back

25% probability

If Firewalker shows his expensive breeding and settles better than at Doncaster

The 360,000gns purchase finds his level against maidens after failing to handle a stronger pace last time. David Egan can use his natural speed to control the race and kick clear in the final furlong.

FirewalkerNevasca CinzaCreative QueenShining Guest

Creative Queen Swoops Late

20% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong between the two leaders

William Haggas' filly gets the perfect setup from her hold-up style as Nevasca Cinza and Firewalker soften each other up. Cieren Fallon times his run to perfection as the early pace takes its toll.

Creative QueenNevasca CinzaFirewalkerShining Guest

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If neither leader shows early gate speed or one takes a backward step

The race becomes a tactical affair with no genuine pace, allowing the outsiders to stay competitive longer. The lack of early pressure means stamina and finishing kick become more important than pure speed.

Shining GuestCreative QueenNevasca CinzaUnique Procedure

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Firewalker's early positioning - if he breaks slowly again like at Doncaster his chance is immediately compromised

WATCH

Creative Queen needs genuine early pace between the leaders to set up her late run effectively

NOTE

Nevasca Cinza's gate speed will determine if she can control from the front or gets headed early

WATCH

Shining Guest showing any early zip after 277 days off would indicate serious stable confidence

NOTE

The gap between front two and the field after two furlongs will reveal if this becomes a two-horse race

3:22 — Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 11 runners

Sea Mehalah Run likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Sporty Socks led; the map had Sea Mehalah Run in front.

Karios won at 29.00 — raced midfield, as the map had it.

1 of 10 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sea Mehalah Run

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 7

FletcherLucky SevensMontuSporty SocksOut In The ColdKariosCracking Anna

Hold Up · 3

Keep It ClassicDarkest RedPrivate Project

Sea Mehalah Run will be the sole pace-setter from the gates, establishing a comfortable rhythm through the early stages without pressure from the field of hold-up horses behind. Lucky Sevens showed front-running ability when winning here last week but is more prominent than lead, while the remaining nine runners all prefer to come from off the pace. This creates a scenario where Sea Mehalah Run dictates terms through moderate fractions before the inevitable cavalry charge in the final three furlongs. The lack of pace pressure strongly favors hold-up horses who can finish strongly, as they'll get the perfect setup to unleash their finishing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If Sea Mehalah Run sets honest but undemanding fractions and fades as usual in the finish.

The patient hold-up horses get the ideal tactical setup with plenty of pace to aim at in the closing stages. Strong finishers like Lucky Sevens, Montu and Private Project can time their runs perfectly.

Lucky SevensMontuPrivate ProjectSporty Socks

Front Runner Stays Strong

20% probability

If Sea Mehalah Run finds improved stamina after the 152-day break and sustains his effort.

Despite his history of fading, the uncontested lead allows him to dictate ideal fractions and hold on from the closers. The long absence could have benefited his stamina reserves.

Sea Mehalah RunLucky SevensMontuPrivate Project

Pace Collapses Completely

10% probability

If Sea Mehalah Run goes too slowly early and creates a sprint finish scenario.

The race becomes a tactical crawl before exploding into a dash, suiting horses with the best turn of foot rather than sustained stamina. This radical tempo change could shake up the form book entirely.

Darkest RedKeep It ClassicFletcherLucky Sevens

Early Pace Challenge

5% probability

If Lucky Sevens or another runner challenges Sea Mehalah Run for the early lead.

The unexpected pace battle creates faster fractions that could collapse both early leaders and set up the race for the most patient hold-up horses. This scenario least likely given the field composition.

MontuPrivate ProjectSporty SocksOut In The Cold

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Sea Mehalah Run's early tempo will dictate the entire race shape - if he goes too fast or too slow it changes everything.

WATCH

Lucky Sevens could challenge early rather than sit behind, which would create unexpected pace pressure and benefit the patient hold-up horses more.

WATCH

Private Project and Montu both prefer hold-up tactics - watch for traffic problems in the straight with so many similar running styles.

NOTE

The going has been called Good to Firm consistently across the card, potentially favoring horses with proven form on faster surfaces.

NOTE

Several runners return from long breaks including Fletcher (228d) and Karios (186d) - watch for market support indicating readiness.

3:57 — attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap

1m3½f · Good · HCAP · 4 runners

Sword Of Wessex likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Pershalla led; the map had Sword Of Wessex in front.

Sword Of Wessex won at 1.80 — raced prominently, where the map had it led. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Sword Of Wessex

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 2

PershallaOne Million Dreams

Hold Up · 1

Atlantic Sunset

Sword Of Wessex is the sole confirmed front runner in this small field, but his hold-up style suggests he may not lead from the off, creating a potential pace vacuum early. With all four runners showing hold-up tendencies, the early gallop could be sedate until someone forces the issue. One Million Dreams and Pershalla both have recent winning form and may be willing to press forward if the pace becomes crawling. This shape strongly favours horses with tactical speed who can quicken from off the pace, rather than pure hold-up horses who need a strong gallop.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Steady Pace Quickens Late

45% probability

If the early pace is moderate and quickens from halfway

The tactical speed horses can position perfectly and deliver their finishing kicks to best effect. One Million Dreams and Pershalla, both recent winners, are best equipped for this scenario.

One Million DreamsPershallaSword Of WessexAtlantic Sunset

Crawling Pace Sprint Finish

30% probability

If no horse wants to make the running early creating a slow gallop

The race becomes a sprint from the turn with pure finishing speed paramount. Pershalla's recent Kempton win in similar circumstances makes her dangerous.

PershallaOne Million DreamsAtlantic SunsetSword Of Wessex

Sword Of Wessex Leads Throughout

15% probability

If Sword Of Wessex abandons hold-up tactics and makes running from the start

His class edge could prove decisive if he gets an uncontested lead on the front end. The others may struggle to peg back a loose leader over this trip.

Sword Of WessexAtlantic SunsetPershallaOne Million Dreams

Strong Early Gallop

10% probability

If multiple horses go forward early creating genuine pace pressure

The race becomes a true test of stamina over this extended trip. Atlantic Sunset's poor recent form makes him vulnerable despite the strong pace suiting hold-up horses.

One Million DreamsPershallaSword Of WessexAtlantic Sunset

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

One Million Dreams carrying a 7lb claiming rider who may struggle with tactical decisions in a slowly-run race

WATCH

Pershalla's hood fitting has transformed her but she needs to reproduce Kempton form on turf after all-weather success

NOTE

Sword Of Wessex's actual running position early will reveal whether he truly leads or tracks as recent form suggests

WATCH

Atlantic Sunset's 83-day layoff combined with poor recent form makes fitness a major question mark

4:28 — British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Shallow to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Shallow led, as the map showed.

Havana Pusey won at 7.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Shallow

Prominent · 2

Havana PuseyIronist

Midfield · 2

Lady MarikoLady Manzor

Hold Up · 2

Miss NightfallBridget's View

Shallow will take the field along from the front with only Ironist and Havana Pusey likely to race prominently early, creating a sustainable pace scenario. The majority of the field (Miss Nightfall, Lady Manzor, Bridget's View, Lady Mariko) are hold-up types who will need the race to develop. With limited early pace pressure on Shallow, she can dictate terms and potentially steal a march on the closers. This race shape strongly favours the early pace, particularly Shallow who can control the tempo, and prominent racers who can track without pressure.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Shallow Controls Tempo

55% probability

If Shallow gets an uncontested lead and dictates a modest pace

She can kick clear in the straight before the hold-up horses get organized, with any prominent tracker like Havana Pusey able to follow her move. The lack of early pressure allows the leaders to save energy for a decisive strike.

ShallowHavana PuseyIronistLady Mariko

Sustained Kick Required

25% probability

If the pace becomes genuinely strong through the middle stages

The hold-up horses get their preferred setup but need to find significant improvement to reel in the early leaders. Lady Mariko's recent winning form gives her the best chance of the closers.

Lady MarikoMiss NightfallShallowBridget's View

Prominent Tracker Strikes

12% probability

If Havana Pusey or Ironist can sit close enough to Shallow without racing keenly

They can utilize their class advantage when Shallow comes under pressure, timing their move to perfection in the final furlong. The pace becomes optimal for horses racing just behind the leader.

Havana PuseyIronistShallowLady Mariko

Complete Pace Collapse

8% probability

If Shallow goes too slow early and the field bunches up turning for home

It becomes a sprint finish where the best horse on the day wins regardless of tactics. The higher-rated fillies can assert their class in a scramble.

Miss NightfallHavana PuseyLady MarikoBridget's View

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Shallow getting an easy lead through the first half-mile will make her very difficult to peg back

WATCH

Havana Pusey racing too keenly if she tries to press Shallow early, which would compromise her finishing kick

NOTE

Lady Mariko's position turning for home, as she'll need to be closer than usual given the likely modest pace

WATCH

The overall tempo through the middle furlong - if it's too steady the closers are in trouble

NOTE

Ironist handling the step up in trip, as her recent form has been over shorter distances

5:03 — Get Raceday Ready Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Lead contested: Dion Baker v Top BillerHISTORIC

How it ran

Grand Citadel and Sir Rodneyredblood led; the map had Dion Baker and Top Biller in front.

Moonhall Lass won at 3.25 — raced prominently, where the map had it raced midfield. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Dion BakerTop Biller

Prominent · 2

Grand CitadelSir Rodneyredblood

Midfield · 2

Moonhall LassChiedozie

Hold Up · 3

Edergole's GiftGriseldaNo Gain

Dion Baker and Top Biller will clash from the gates with both horses committed front-runners who set honest gallops. With only two natural leaders in a nine-runner field, they'll establish a solid tempo without being suicidal, creating an even-paced race rather than stop-start fractions. The modest early pace will compress the field turning for home, setting up a scramble in the final two furlongs. This shape clearly favours hold-up horses who can pick off tired leaders, with the patient tactics getting the better of the early speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-up horses dominate

55% probability

If Dion Baker and Top Biller go steady early fractions

The pace will be just honest enough to string out the field but not fast enough to stop closers, allowing the back markers to unleash late runs. Moonhall Lass, Griselda, and Chiedozie can all finish strongly from off the pace.

Moonhall LassGriseldaChiedozieNo Gain

Front pair collapse late

25% probability

If the two leaders go too fast trying to shake each other off

Dion Baker and Top Biller will weaken dramatically in the final furlong after an overly competitive early duel. This opens the door for prominent racers like Grand Citadel and Sir Rodneyredblood to sweep past the tiring pace-setters.

Grand CitadelSir RodneyredbloodEdergole's GiftMoonhall Lass

One leader dominates throughout

12% probability

If Top Biller gets an uncontested lead with Dion Baker settling behind

The race will develop into a tactical affair with a slow tempo that doesn't play to the closers' strengths. Top Biller can dictate terms from the front and prove too strong in the closing stages with energy preserved.

Top BillerDion BakerGrand CitadelSir Rodneyredblood

Messy scramble finish

8% probability

If the pace collapses completely and the field bunches up

A slowly-run race will turn into a sprint finish where track position and racing luck become crucial factors. Any horse drawn well and getting a clear run can win regardless of running style in a blanket finish.

No GainChiedozieTop BillerGrand Citadel

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch Dion Baker and Top Biller clash early - if they go too fast they'll both stop dramatically

WATCH

Monitor Griselda's position turning in - she's been fading late and needs everything to fall right

NOTE

Check Moonhall Lass gets clear running room in straight as she'll need space to unleash finishing kick

WATCH

Watch for Grand Citadel to get prominent position early as she needs to be handy to strike

NOTE

Observe No Gain's position at halfway - Cosgrave will want him settled but not too far back

5:35 — Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap

5f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Takincareofbizness to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Zoustar Dreams led; the map had Takincareofbizness in front.

Go Lockers Go won at 3.00 — raced prominently, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

0 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Takincareofbizness

Prominent · 2

Sea Her ExcelSaeculamation

Midfield · 2

Sweet EchoBlueaway

Hold Up · 2

Go Lockers GoZoustar Dreams

Takincareofbizness will lead from the start with minimal early pressure, as Sea Her Excel and Saeculamation are the only prominent runners likely to track close. The majority of the field (Sweet Echo, Zoustar Dreams, Go Lockers Go, Blueaway) prefer to come from behind, creating a bunched hold-up group settling in rear. With just one confirmed leader and light early pressure, Takincareofbizness can dictate a measured gallop before the field closes late. This tactical setup strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can secure good positions without duelling early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Takincareofbizness maintains a steady tempo without serious early challenge

The gelding can build a crucial advantage before the hold-up horses mount their challenge, with Sea Her Excel tracking prominently to strike late. The lack of pace pressure allows the front two to dominate the finish.

TakincareofbiznessSea Her ExcelSaeculamationGo Lockers Go

Prominent Pair Dominate

30% probability

If Sea Her Excel and Saeculamation both track Takincareofbizness closely from the start

The three-horse leading group creates genuine pace that suits the prominent runners perfectly, allowing them to kick clear of the hold-up brigade. Superior positioning trumps raw ability in this sprint finish.

Sea Her ExcelSaeculamationTakincareofbiznessZoustar Dreams

Hold-Up Surge Success

15% probability

If the pace collapses completely and becomes pedestrian throughout

Zoustar Dreams and Go Lockers Go can overcome their poor positioning as the race becomes a pure sprint from the furlong pole. The class horses assert late despite giving the leaders a significant start.

Go Lockers GoZoustar DreamsSweet EchoBlueaway

Complete Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Takincareofbizness goes very slowly and the field remains tightly bunched turning for home

The race becomes a messy scramble where any horse can win from any position, favouring those drawn well or with the strongest finishing kick. Positioning becomes irrelevant in a blanket finish.

Sweet EchoBlueawayGo Lockers GoZoustar Dreams

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Takincareofbizness dictates the gallop completely as the only natural leader with no early pressure expected

WATCH

Sea Her Excel's positioning behind the leader as De Sousa rarely gets tactics wrong in small fields

NOTE

Go Lockers Go's early behaviour since he can take strong hold which would compromise his hold-up style

NOTE

Sweet Echo's condition after 150 days off as fitness could be crucial in this competitive sprint

WATCH

The overall pace development as a slow gallop would completely change the complexion of this race

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 28 April 2026.

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