Archive›Yarmouth · 28 May 2026

Yarmouth

28 May 2026 · 6 races

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2:18 — Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m3½f · Good · NOV · 2 runners

Pierian likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Pierian led, as the map showed.

Pierian won at 1.03 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 2 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Pierian

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Spirit Dreamer

Pierian will set the early pace from her prominent position with no other confirmed front runners in this two-horse novice contest. Spirit Dreamer's hold-up style means he'll track behind and rely on a finishing kick from off the pace. With Pierian able to dictate terms unopposed early, she can control the tempo and kick clear when ready. This race shape strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can capitalize on uncontested leads.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pierian Controls Tempo

65% probability

If Pierian gets an easy lead and dictates moderate fractions

She can quicken when ready from the front and Spirit Dreamer's finishing kick comes too late. The class difference and tactical advantage proves decisive for the Haggas filly.

PierianSpirit Dreamer

Spirit Dreamer Late Rally

25% probability

If Pierian goes too fast early or ties up in the closing stages

Spirit Dreamer's hold-up style allows him to close strongly when the pace collapses. His Balding stable form and fresher appearance gives him the edge late.

Spirit DreamerPierian

Pierian Wire To Wire

8% probability

If the pace stays steady throughout and no collapse occurs

Pierian maintains her advantage from pillar to post with Tom Marquand managing the tempo perfectly. Spirit Dreamer never gets close enough to mount a serious challenge.

PierianSpirit Dreamer

Close Finish Battle

2% probability

If both horses hit the front together in the final furlong

An unlikely scenario given the tactical setup, but if Spirit Dreamer times his run perfectly to join Pierian late. The superior class of Pierian would likely prevail in a driving finish.

PierianSpirit Dreamer

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Pierian goes off too fast early - could set up Spirit Dreamer's late rally in this small field

WATCH

Monitor Spirit Dreamer's position turning for home - needs to be within striking distance to use his finishing kick effectively

NOTE

Observe Pierian's response when Spirit Dreamer makes his move - her class advantage should tell if challenged

2:48 — Download The At The Races App Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Drifts Away likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Daring Legend led; the map had Drifts Away in front.

Sea Suite won at 4.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Drifts Away

Prominent · 1

Sea Suite

Midfield · 4

Fifty NiftyDaring LegendStenmarkBerry Clever

Hold Up · 3

ZubaruDapper GuestJakarta

Drifts Away represents the only confirmed front-runner in this field and should enjoy an uncontested lead early on with Sea Suite potentially providing some company from a prominent position. The majority of this field are hold-up horses who will settle behind a modest tempo, creating a bunched field turning for home. With limited early pace pressure, the front-runners and prominent racers gain a significant tactical advantage as the hold-up brigade will need to mount sustained challenges from unpromising positions. This race shape clearly favors horses that can race handy to the pace rather than those relying on closing kicks.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Front Runner Dominates

45% probability

If Drifts Away gets soft fractions and stays strong

The lack of pace pressure allows him to dictate terms throughout and prove hard to peg back. Sea Suite can pick up the pieces if the leader weakens, but prominent racers hold all the aces.

Drifts AwaySea SuiteBerry CleverZubaru

Hold-Up Hero Strikes

30% probability

If the pace is genuinely slow and becomes a sprint

The bunched finish suits a horse with a sharp turn of foot who can exploit traffic problems. Berry Clever's recent C&D win under these conditions makes him the most likely beneficiary.

Berry CleverZubaruFifty NiftyJakarta

Returning Class Tells

15% probability

If Jakarta or Fifty Nifty produce peak form

Their higher ability levels shine through despite tactical disadvantages from deep positions. The class gap overcomes positional concerns in what becomes a truly-run race.

JakartaFifty NiftyDrifts AwayStenmark

Pace Collapse Chaos

10% probability

If Drifts Away stops quickly and Sea Suite fades

The lack of early pace creates carnage in the straight with no clear leader. An unconsidered hold-up horse benefits from the scramble as favorites disappoint.

StenmarkDapper GuestSea SuiteDaring Legend

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Drifts Away gets away with very soft fractions on the lead and proves impossible to reel in

WATCH

Berry Clever settles closer than usual which would give him perfect tactical position

NOTE

Sea Suite's inexperienced jockey manages pace positioning correctly from the gates

WATCH

Jakarta shows early zip suggesting full fitness return after long absence

NOTE

Multiple hold-up horses struggle for racing room in expected bunched finish

3:23 — British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · NOV · 5 runners

Pace map not available — insufficient prior race data for this field.

3:53 — Norwich Inns Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Harlington likeliest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Hengest and Man Of Desert led; the map had Harlington in front.

Hengest won at 2.10 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Harlington

Prominent · 1

Give Me The Night

Midfield · 1

Man Of Desert

Hold Up · 2

HengestKing's Hand

Harlington is the sole confirmed front runner in this small field and will be allowed to dictate terms without early pressure. Give Me The Night may sit prominent but lacks the natural pace to challenge Harlington early, leaving the leader uncontested through moderate fractions. The three hold-up horses (Hengest, Man Of Desert, King's Hand) will be bunched behind a pedestrian pace, setting up a sprint finish where tactical positioning becomes crucial. This sustainable pace scenario strongly favours the front runner who can control the tempo and kick clear when the hold-up horses are still organising their challenges.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Harlington Controls Throughout

45% probability

If Harlington gets an uncontested lead and maintains his recent form.

The 5yo can dictate comfortable fractions and has enough tactical speed to repel late challenges, especially with his proven stamina at this trip. The hold-up horses will find themselves with too much ground to make up in the straight.

HarlingtonGive Me The NightHengestKing's Hand

Hold-Up Sprint Finish

35% probability

If the pace becomes pedestrian enough for closers to overcome the positioning disadvantage.

Hengest's class edge and recent winning form could shine through in a bunched finish where his superior acceleration matters most. Man Of Desert and King's Hand would also benefit from this tactical setup.

HengestKing's HandMan Of DesertHarlington

Prominent Tracker Strikes

12% probability

If Give Me The Night can improve dramatically off his lowered mark while tracking Harlington.

The 4yo could benefit from the pace scenario while sitting in the ideal stalking position, though his poor recent form makes this outcome unlikely. His trainer's poor 14-day record adds further doubt.

Give Me The NightHarlingtonHengestKing's Hand

Pace Collapse Chaos

8% probability

If Harlington weakens dramatically after 38 days off and Give Me The Night fails to capitalise.

A messy finish would develop with no clear pace narrative, potentially allowing Man Of Desert to sneak through despite his maiden status. This requires multiple horses to underperform significantly.

Man Of DesertKing's HandHengestGive Me The Night

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Harlington's fitness after 38 days off - any early signs of rustiness could completely change the race dynamic

WATCH

How aggressively Give Me The Night positions early - if he challenges Harlington for the lead it could set up the hold-up horses perfectly

NOTE

King's Hand's positioning turning for home - his recent form suggests he needs clear running room to deliver his best effort

WATCH

Man Of Desert's ability to overcome traffic issues that plagued him last week at Kempton

NOTE

Whether Hengest can overcome the tactical disadvantage of likely needing to come from further back than ideal

4:23 — Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap

6f · Good · HCAP · 10 runners

Twilight Fun to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Twilight Fun led, as the map showed.

Another Abbot won at 3.75 — was held up, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Twilight Fun

Prominent · 4

Valley Ofthe KingsFirst FolioCarbine HarvesterFantasy Master

Midfield · 2

Style KingNeyva's Angel

Hold Up · 3

Another AbbotTravel AgentIzzy Fast

Twilight Fun will lead from the gate with no other confirmed front-runners to challenge him early, setting a sustainable gallop. First Folio, Fantasy Master, Carbine Harvester and Valley Of The Kings all want prominent positions, creating congestion and scrimmaging behind the leader from 3f out. This bunching will compromise the prominent brigade and create traffic problems entering the final 2f. The lack of early pace pressure on Twilight Fun combined with the prominent logjam strongly favours either the lone leader or hold-up horses who can find clear water late.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Leader Gets Away

45% probability

If Twilight Fun maintains his kick from the front without serious challenge

The prominent pack gets tangled up behind him while he dictates terms unchallenged, then kicks clear when the scrimmaging starts. Hold-up horses struggle to make up the ground on the firm surface.

Twilight FunFirst FolioAnother AbbotTravel Agent

Hold-Up Horses Prevail

30% probability

If the prominent congestion creates serious traffic problems 2f out

The pace collapse allows the back markers to sweep through on the outside with clear runs. Travel Agent and Another Abbot benefit most from the change of pace.

Travel AgentAnother AbbotNeyva's AngelIzzy Fast

Prominent Survivor Emerges

15% probability

If one prominent runner avoids the traffic and gets first run

Fantasy Master or First Folio gets the jump on their prominent rivals and has enough left to hold off the closers. The winner comes from those with the best recent form.

Fantasy MasterFirst FolioTravel AgentTwilight Fun

Complete Pace Collapse

10% probability

If Twilight Fun stops quickly and the prominent pack implodes

The moderate early pace becomes a crawl, setting up a cavalry charge from the rear. Neyva's Angel and Izzy Fast get the strongest finish from the back.

Neyva's AngelIzzy FastAnother AbbotTravel Agent

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Twilight Fun's early fractions - if he goes too fast early he'll tie up badly in the final furlong

WATCH

Traffic problems 2f out when First Folio, Fantasy Master, Carbine Harvester and Valley Of The Kings converge

WATCH

Travel Agent's position turning in - needs clear room to unleash his recent finishing kick

NOTE

Another Abbot's stalking position - Marquand must avoid getting trapped behind the prominent wall

NOTE

Fantasy Master's jump from the stalls - his gate speed could determine whether he avoids or joins the scrum

5:00 — Get Raceday Ready Handicap

1m · Good · HCAP · 9 runners

Regal Guest to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Siam Fox and Merapi led; the map had Regal Guest in front.

Siam Fox won at 5.00 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Regal Guest

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 5

El FoxSuitcase SmithTypefaceKitty's DreamCharlatan

Hold Up · 3

MerapiKing Of CharmSiam Fox

Regal Guest represents the only confirmed front runner in this field of nine hold-up horses, giving him an uncontested lead from the outset. With no pace pressure, he can dictate fractions and control the tempo throughout the 1m journey on good to firm ground. The eight hold-up horses will need to overcome traffic problems and poor positioning as they converge late behind the lone leader. This race shape heavily favours prominent runners who can track Regal Guest early and those with proven tactical speed to secure good positions, while pure hold-up horses face significant disadvantages.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Survives

45% probability

If Regal Guest maintains steady fractions without early pressure

The lone pace-setter controls the race from pillar to post while the field of hold-up horses gets bunched up behind him. Late challengers struggle to make meaningful inroads against a horse with first run on them.

Regal GuestMerapiEl FoxTypeface

Early Tracker Pounces

30% probability

If Merapi or El Fox secure good early positions behind Regal Guest

One of the handier hold-up horses tracks the leader closely and has enough tactical speed to strike in the final furlong. The rest of the field gets caught in traffic as expected.

MerapiEl FoxTypefaceCharlatan

Traffic Chaos Helps Outsider

15% probability

If the main contenders get shuffled back or blocked in running

The bunched field creates significant interference problems allowing a 20/1+ shot with a clear run to emerge late. Lesser fancied horses benefit from cleaner passages.

King Of CharmSiam FoxSuitcase SmithKitty's Dream

Late Charge Overcomes All

10% probability

If multiple hold-up horses find clean runs simultaneously in the final two furlongs

Superior class tells as the better horses overcome the tactical disadvantage through sheer ability. The pace collapse allows them to finish strongly despite poor positioning early.

CharlatanTypefaceMerapiEl Fox

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Regal Guest sets uncontested fractions and may prove impossible to peg back

WATCH

Traffic problems developing in the final quarter-mile as eight hold-up horses converge

NOTE

Merapi and El Fox securing early positions behind the leader for tactical advantage

WATCH

Charlatan's turf return after AW success - adaptation to surface change

NOTE

Kitty's Dream making debut for Ed Dunlop after 234-day absence

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 28 May 2026.

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