Archive›Yarmouth · 30 April 2026

Yarmouth

30 April 2026 · 7 races

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Read from the in-running comments·How often this is right →

2:05 — Get Raceday Ready Handicap

1m1f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

Prince Hector likeliest to leadFREEHISTORIC

How it ran

Hibernate led; the map had Prince Hector in front.

Hibernate won at 2.75 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

1 of 4 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Prince Hector

Prominent · 1

Dash Power

Midfield · 3

Twilight GuestShielas WellDuke Orsino

Hold Up · 2

HibernateMerapi

Prince Hector will take the field along as the sole confirmed front runner, with Dash Power likely settling prominently just behind. With only seven runners and limited early pace pressure, Prince Hector can dictate a comfortable tempo through the first mile before the race develops. The moderate gallop will suit hold-up horses like Shielas Well, Merapi, and Hibernate who can close strongly in the straight. This race shape strongly favours closers who can benefit from the steady pace and deliver their finishing kick.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Closers Dominate Finish

55% probability

If Prince Hector sets an uncontested lead allowing closers to wind up.

The moderate pace plays perfectly into the hands of the hold-up brigade who can unleash sustained finishes. Shielas Well and Merapi benefit most from the tactical setup and trip.

Shielas WellMerapiHibernateTwilight Guest

Front Runner Holds On

25% probability

If Prince Hector maintains his lead and the closers leave it too late.

The eight-year-old's stamina tells as he keeps finding despite the challengers, with Dash Power picking up the pieces. Limited early pace allows the leaders to have enough left in reserve.

Prince HectorDash PowerShielas WellMerapi

Prominent Horses Strike

12% probability

If Dash Power and other prominent runners time their moves perfectly from mid-pack.

Those tracking the pace can kick clear before the hold-up horses get into gear. The moderate tempo suits horses who can sit handy and deliver a telling blow two furlongs out.

Dash PowerPrince HectorTwilight GuestHibernate

Surprise Package Emerges

8% probability

If Duke Orsino or another outsider benefits from the strong pace and trip.

The slower tempo and step up in distance transforms one of the maidens into a different proposition. Fresh legs and the tactical advantage of being overlooked could pay dividends.

Duke OrsinoHibernateDash PowerMerapi

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Prince Hector's jumping and early pace - if he goes too fast early it transforms the entire race dynamic

WATCH

Twilight Guest's fitness after 109 days off and whether David Egan can get him competitive from the start

WATCH

Merapi's ability to reproduce her Yarmouth second under pressure when the pace quickens

NOTE

Duke Orsino's response to the step up in trip and whether the longer distance brings improvement

NOTE

Shielas Well's settling pattern early as she needs to be positioned to deliver her customary late charge

2:40 — Branfords Restaurant & Bar Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Good · NOV · 6 runners

Baandee to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fashion People and Baandee led, as the map showed.

Fashion People won at 1.30 — led, where the map had it was held up. One of the race scenarios named it.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Baandee

Prominent · 0

None

Midfield · 3

Venetian SkyMe An' AllToo Too Divine

Hold Up · 2

Fashion PeopleNight Shining

Baandee will lead from the gate, having made the running in her last two starts at Chelmsford, with no other natural pace setters in this field. Fashion People and the other hold-up horses (Night Shining, Too Too Divine, Me An' All) will settle behind, creating a strung-out formation rather than any early pressure. With only one front runner and a small field, the pace will be measured and controlled, allowing Baandee to dictate terms without harassment. This tactical setup strongly favours the lone front runner Baandee, as she can set her own fractions without pace pressure, while the hold-up horses face the challenge of making up ground against a horse who won't tire from battling early.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Baandee Controls Completely

65% probability

If Baandee breaks cleanly and faces no early pressure from the field

She dictates comfortable fractions and has enough left to resist late challenges, making her turf debut successfully. The hold-up horses struggle to make up the deficit against an ungalloped leader.

BaandeeFashion PeopleNight ShiningVenetian Sky

Fashion People Times Run

20% probability

If Fashion People gets the perfect trip tracking Baandee and produces her Newcastle winning form

The class horse unleashes a sustained challenge in the final furlong, with Buick's timing proving decisive. Baandee's inexperience on turf shows when pressure arrives.

Fashion PeopleBaandeeVenetian SkyNight Shining

Pace Collapses Early

10% probability

If Baandee goes too fast early or struggles adapting from all-weather to turf

The front runner ties up in the final furlong, opening the door for a closer. Fashion People or Night Shining benefit from the pace scenario falling apart.

Night ShiningFashion PeopleVenetian SkyToo Too Divine

Outsider Strikes

5% probability

If the market underestimates Venetian Sky's Newmarket promise or Night Shining's class

The Haggas or Boughey runner produces significant improvement from their debut runs. The pace setup suits their patient tactics perfectly.

Venetian SkyNight ShiningFashion PeopleBaandee

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Baandee's turf adaptation is critical - any signs of struggling with the surface change could open the race up

WATCH

Fashion People's long absence means watch for ring rustiness or lack of early pace positioning

NOTE

Night Shining needs to break more alertly than at Newmarket where she was slowly away

WATCH

The small field size means any non-runner would significantly alter the pace dynamics

NOTE

Watch Venetian Sky for signs of the promise Haggas saw when running her at Newmarket as a newcomer

3:15 — Gold & Silver Exchange Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Good · CLS4 · 9 runners

Alpine Culture to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Fahidi led; the map had Alpine Culture in front.

Euston Hall won at 6.00 — raced prominently, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 9 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Alpine Culture

Prominent · 3

FahidiEuston HallRevelio

Midfield · 2

Venetian LionAdamlyi

Hold Up · 3

KimbaraThat Darn CantorZiggy's Avenger

Alpine Culture will set the pace alone from the front with minimal early pressure in this thin field of nine. The leading three-year-old has shown consistent front-running ability and faces no other confirmed pace-setters, allowing him to dictate comfortable fractions. Behind him, prominent runners like Revelio, Fahidi and Euston Hall will track in second and third, while the hold-up horses Kimbara, Ziggy's Avenger and That Darn Cantor sit towards the rear waiting to strike. This uncontested pace scenario strongly favours front-runners and prominent racers who can secure good early positions without expending energy.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Uncontested Leader Wins

45% probability

If Alpine Culture gets soft fractions on the front end without early pressure

He can kick clear in the straight with energy reserves intact while the hold-up horses struggle to make up ground from deep positions. The flat Yarmouth track and good going conditions suit his sustained pace-setting style perfectly.

Alpine CultureRevelioFahidiEuston Hall

Prominent Tracker Strikes

30% probability

If Alpine Culture sets steady pace but gets collared by a closer in the final furlong

The patient prominent runners like Fahidi or Euston Hall can track the leader cheaply before quickening past him late. Their superior class ratings suggest they have more acceleration once positioned handily.

FahidiEuston HallAlpine CultureVenetian Lion

Hold-Up Horse Swoops

15% probability

If the early pace becomes genuinely slow and bunches the field for a sprint finish

Kimbara can utilise his finishing kick from the rear as he showed promise when fourth at Newmarket last time. The condensed field would suit his come-from-behind style if he gets racing room.

KimbaraVenetian LionAlpine CultureFahidi

Longshot Surprise

10% probability

If the favourites fail to handle the step up in trip or race fitness concerns show

Revelio returns from a long break with strong breeding for the distance and could outrun his odds. His dam's Group 1 connections suggest untapped ability despite the lengthy absence.

RevelioAdamlyiVenetian LionEuston Hall

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Alpine Culture could get uncontested lead and prove impossible to peg back if fractions suit

WATCH

Venetian Lion represents powerful Haggas yard and could show significant improvement on debut

NOTE

Revelio's lengthy absence may hide fitness but breeding suggests he wants every yard of this trip

WATCH

Hold-up horses like Kimbara need genuine pace to aim at but may find little to work with

NOTE

Fahidi carries head high which could indicate temperament issues under pressure in finish

3:50 — Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 7 runners

King's Courtier to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Grindleton led; the map had King's Courtier in front.

Alice De Clare won at 1.91 — raced midfield, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

3 of 7 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

King's Courtier

Prominent · 3

RoserunnerGrindletonTime To Sparkle

Midfield · 1

Alice De Clare

Hold Up · 2

Heart SignSports Day

King's Courtier provides the sole confirmed early leader, setting up a controlled gallop without pressure from the gate. The prominent runners Grindleton, Roserunner and Time To Sparkle will track closely but none are aggressive pace-pressers. This creates a measured tempo that allows the hold-up horses Alice De Clare, Heart Sign and Sports Day to get into contention from off the pace. The sustainable gallop and lack of early pace pressure heavily favours the hold-up brigade who can time their runs perfectly in the straight.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Hold-Up Horses Dominate

65% probability

If King's Courtier sets his usual honest gallop without being pressed hard early

The moderate pace allows Alice De Clare and Sports Day to position perfectly and unleash their finishing kicks. Both showed strong late pace recently and this tactical setup plays directly into their hands.

Alice De ClareSports DayHeart SignTime To Sparkle

Prominent Tracker Strikes

20% probability

If Roserunner or Grindleton can position ideally tracking the leader and kick clear

The handicap debutant angle works for Grindleton or Roserunner's all-weather form translates effectively to turf. They avoid the tactical complexities and strike when the pace lifts approaching the straight.

RoserunnerGrindletonAlice De ClareTime To Sparkle

King's Courtier Wire-To-Wire

8% probability

If the pace stays extremely sedate and King's Courtier finds significant improvement

His recent fourth at Wolverhampton suggests better form and with claim reducing his burden, he could steal this. The lack of early pressure allows him to dictate throughout and hold on grimly.

King's CourtierTime To SparkleSports DayAlice De Clare

Pace Collapses Completely

7% probability

If the gallop becomes pedestrian and turns into a sprint finish

The race becomes a pure speed test over the final two furlongs favouring horses with instant acceleration. Time To Sparkle's recent course form gives her the edge in a bunched finish where track knowledge matters.

Time To SparkleAlice De ClareSports DayRoserunner

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

King's Courtier's early fractions will determine the entire race shape - if he goes too slow it becomes a sprint finish favouring different horses entirely

WATCH

Alice De Clare's quick turnaround from Beverley success seven days ago could impact her finishing kick in the final furlong

WATCH

Grindleton's market movement given 203-day absence and handicap debut - any strong support suggests the Kubler yard expects significant improvement

NOTE

Sports Day's position turning for home after showing improved form here recently - needs to be handy to utilise his strong finishing kick

NOTE

Roserunner's turf debut adaptation from all-weather success - early positioning will indicate how well he's handling the surface change

4:25 — Download The At The Races App Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Good · HCAP · 5 runners

Lead contested: Clouds Hill v Golden HorseHISTORIC

How it ran

Clouds Hill led, as the map showed.

Clouds Hill won at 9.50 — led, as the map had it. One of the race scenarios named it.

4 of 5 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 2

Clouds HillGolden Horse

Prominent · 1

Lordsbridge Blu

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 2

A Major PayneBeach Point

Golden Horse and Clouds Hill are both confirmed front-runners who will contest the early lead, creating an honest gallop from the start. With only five runners, the two pace-setters will likely maintain a decent clip through the middle stages, preventing this from becoming a crawl. A Major Payne and Beach Point as hold-up horses will need the leaders to maintain their effort, while Lordsbridge Blu sits in the prominent position to track the pace. This race shape favors horses that can sit close to the pace and kick, as the two leaders may compromise each other's finishing efforts.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Dual Pace Collapse

45% probability

If Golden Horse and Clouds Hill engage in a prolonged speed duel from the start

The two leaders will weaken significantly in the final furlong, allowing the prominent tracker to capitalize on their honest work. Lordsbridge Blu gets the ideal setup to strike late from his tracking position.

Lordsbridge BluA Major PayneBeach PointGolden Horse

One Leader Dominates

25% probability

If Golden Horse or Clouds Hill establishes a clear early advantage without serious pressure

The uncontested leader maintains energy for a strong finish while the other front-runner fades from chasing. The winner gets soft fractions early and has enough left to repel late challenges.

Golden HorseClouds HillLordsbridge BluA Major Payne

Hold-Up Success

20% probability

If the two front-runners maintain a genuinely strong gallop throughout without collapsing

The honest pace sets up perfectly for the hold-up horses to unleash their finishing kicks. A Major Payne and Beach Point benefit from the strong early tempo created by the dual pace angle.

A Major PayneBeach PointLordsbridge BluGolden Horse

Front Runner Wire-to-Wire

10% probability

If one of the leaders breaks clear early and the other fails to engage in a speed duel

The remaining front-runner gets uncontested fractions and builds an insurmountable lead on the small field. With limited pressure throughout, they maintain enough energy to hold off all challengers.

Golden HorseClouds HillLordsbridge BluA Major Payne

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Watch if Golden Horse shows any ring-rust from his 222-day absence as this could leave Clouds Hill uncontested on the lead

WATCH

Monitor the early fractions between Golden Horse and Clouds Hill - if one submits quickly the race shape changes dramatically

NOTE

Observe Lordsbridge Blu's early positioning as he holds the key tactical advantage if the pace scenario unfolds

WATCH

Check if A Major Payne can secure a clear passage in the straight with only five runners limiting room for maneuver

NOTE

Watch Beach Point's response to pressure as his hold-up style needs the pace battle to materialize properly

4:57 — Sky Sports Virgin 512 Fillies' Handicap

7f · Good · HCAP · 8 runners

4 vying for the leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Harlequin Angel led, as the map showed.

Harlequin Angel won at 11.00 — led, as the map had it.

2 of 8 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 4

ZighyYou'll Think Of MeHarlequin AngelAngels' Share

Prominent · 3

Brisk SymphonyWetsandMoonshine

Midfield · 0

None

Hold Up · 1

Here I Bow

Zighy, You'll Think Of Me, Harlequin Angel and Angels' Share will all look to lead or be prominent early, creating a fierce battle for the front over 7f at Yarmouth. This quartet of front-runners will force a genuine end-to-end gallop with no let-up from flag to finish. The relentless pace will stretch the field out and test stamina reserves in the closing stages. This race shape strongly favours prominent racers and hold-up horses who can capitalise on the inevitable pace collapse, while pure front-runners face the difficult task of surviving their own speed.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Pace Collapse Benefits Closers

45% probability

If the four front-runners engage in a speed duel through halfway

The genuine gallop will set up perfectly for hold-up horses to sweep past tired leaders in the final furlong. Here I Bow's patient style under Coakley becomes a major tactical advantage.

Here I BowMoonshineBrisk SymphonyWetsand

Prominent Racer Finds Gap

30% probability

If one horse can sit just off the early pace without getting involved in the speed battle

A prominent racer can time their move perfectly as the leaders tire, striking at the ideal moment with fresher reserves. Brisk Symphony or Moonshine can exploit this tactical position.

Brisk SymphonyMoonshineWetsandHere I Bow

Front Runner Wire To Wire

15% probability

If one of the leaders can dictate terms and moderate the early fractions

Zighy's recent winning form could see him control the pace and kick clear when others expect him to stop. His fitness advantage from a 15-day break may prove decisive.

ZighyAngels' ShareYou'll Think Of MeHarlequin Angel

Sustained Speed Battle

10% probability

If all four front-runners refuse to give ground and maintain maximum pressure throughout

The pace becomes so strong that even the hold-up horses struggle to make up the ground, leading to a messy finish where stamina matters most. Form may go out the window in a war of attrition.

WetsandHere I BowBrisk SymphonyMoonshine

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Zighy and You'll Think Of Me could engage in a match race from the gates given both are confirmed front-runners with similar tactical approaches

WATCH

Here I Bow's jumping from the rear may struggle if the pace is so strong that even hold-up horses can't make up the ground

NOTE

Moonshine and Brisk Symphony positioning in the first furlong will reveal if they can avoid the early speed battle

WATCH

The four front-runners could create such genuine pace that 7f becomes a stamina test favouring the more experienced campaigners

NOTE

Angels' Share under Fallon may try to steal a march if the other leaders hesitate at the start

5:30 — Eastern Power Systems 'Confined' Handicap (For horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)

1m · Good · HCAP · 6 runners

Okiru to leadHISTORIC

How it ran

Okiru led, as the map showed.

Guest House won at 10.00 — was held up, where the map had it raced midfield.

2 of 6 runners raced in the group the map gave them

Race shape

Lead · 1

Okiru

Prominent · 2

Norfolk BlueArmstrong

Midfield · 1

Guest House

Hold Up · 2

ZooterDel Corso

Okiru is the sole confirmed front runner and will face no early pressure, allowing him to dictate a comfortable tempo through the early stages. Armstrong may track prominently but lacks the pure pace to challenge Okiru's lead, while the majority of the field (Zooter, Del Corso, Guest House) are hold-up types who need to be delivered late. Norfolk Blue sits between prominent and hold-up but has been absent for 224 days. This uncontested pace scenario strongly favours front runners and prominent racers who can position close to the tempo without having to make ground from the rear.

Runner profiles

Race scenarios

Okiru Controls Uncontested

60% probability

If Okiru breaks cleanly and faces no early pressure from Armstrong

He dictates ideal fractions and kicks clear turning for home, while the hold-up horses struggle to make up significant ground on good to firm going. The lack of pace pressure allows the leader to save energy for a sustained finish.

OkiruArmstrongDel CorsoZooter

Late Charge Succeeds

20% probability

If the pace becomes too steady and Okiru stops in the final furlong

The hold-up horses get their preferred scenario with a sprint finish, allowing Zooter or Del Corso to unleash their finishing kicks. Tom Marquand's tactical awareness could prove decisive on Zooter.

Del CorsoZooterArmstrongOkiru

Armstrong Applies Pressure

12% probability

If Armstrong travels strongly and puts Okiru under pressure from the halfway point

The increased tempo sets up perfectly for Armstrong's prominent style while compromising Okiru's stamina reserves. David Egan positions Armstrong to strike approaching the final furlong when Okiru begins to weaken.

ArmstrongDel CorsoOkiruZooter

Norfolk Blue Revival

8% probability

If Norfolk Blue overcomes his 224-day absence and runs to his best Lingfield form

His prominent style benefits from tracking the uncontested pace, and Cieren Fallon times his challenge perfectly. The good to firm ground suits his profile better than his recent all-weather efforts.

Norfolk BlueArmstrongDel CorsoOkiru

Race position map

LeadProminentMidfieldHold up

Watch points

KEY

Norfolk Blue's fitness after 224 days absence - any market support would be significant given the layoff concerns

WATCH

Okiru's jump from all-weather to turf debut - his front-running style needs to translate effectively to the surface

NOTE

Armstrong's early positioning behind Okiru - David Egan's tactics will determine if he applies pressure or sits quietly

WATCH

Guest House's finishing effort given his tendency to fade - needs to show more sustained effort than typical pattern

NOTE

The pace through the opening two furlongs - if too steady it could bring the hold-up horses into contention

About this analysis

Every race on PaceMap is read from the in-running comments of each runner’s recent form — how a horse actually ran, not only where it finished. Those comments decide the groups above, and the same comments are read back after the race to score what was published. The record is public, including the months it was worse.

Read the method behind this analysis →

This meeting ran on 30 April 2026.

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